Best pick for Spain Thursday! 西甲马竞VS埃尔切
2022-12-29

Jarkko

外籍分析师

西甲

12/30 04:30

已完赛

解读理由:

There is no denying that Atletico have been really poor this season so far, for being Atletico that. They have gained 24 points from 14 games, that is even 3 points more than their performance data suggests, and they have lost already to Cadiz and Mallorca.

Yet they are 5th in the table, a win might take them up to third position, and there are some good transfers ahead in January if they can get rid of Joao Felix who is not favoured by Diego Simeone, 3rd choice striker Cunha is also leaving, but already the strong striker Borja Iglesias from Betis has said yes and is likely to join the team.

It speaks volumes of Atleticos season so far that they are even out of Champions league already, but it is only a good thing considering their league success.

A lot of players were in Qatar, but the good news is that most of if not all of them are available! We can see Morata fed by Griezmann who has found a completely new role and form!

Elche?

I am trying to find something positive to say, but I can not. Statswise they have the goalkeeper who has saved the most shots and is winning the xG, but is a good thing? It means basically that the defense is leaking goals and good chances and it will not continue forever. Still, Elche are now already with their 3rd manager of the season even if the player material is problem, not the coach. Elche have gained 4 points from 14 games, some performance data might suggest that they should have more points, but it is false information as xG easily gets higher when your team find themselves in a losing position, which Elche has done, a lot!

Elche have been in a leading position for 119 minutes in total so far this season, and while being in the lead they have managed to create 0.06 xG worth of goal expectation! They are bad, they are scared, they will not win easily any match with this squad this season.

Atletico started their after break season with a win in the cup v lower league club, Elche did the same vs 4th tier club Guadalajara, but their two last came at 82th and 90+ minutes and it was not an easy win or a moral booster of any kind. Instead of trying to do the impossible at Atletico away tonight they might think ahead of their next cup match away at Ceuta, which is a more winnable fixture, yet not a sure thing.

Team news are not that important at this point. Atletico have a huge squad to choose from, Elche miss a few players but as there is no player in their squad who would make Atletico bench it does not really matter.

It is possible that Atletico season will be a full failure and that Simeone leaves, but I can not see them winning Elche at least by two goals on Thursday night!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

不可否认的是,马竞本赛季到目前为止表现非常糟糕。他们在14场比赛中获得了24分,比他们的表现数据显示的还要多3分,他们已经输给了加的斯和马略卡。

然而,他们目前在积分榜上排名第五,一场胜利可能会让他们上升到第三位,如果他们能摆脱迭戈·西蒙尼不喜欢的若昂·菲利克斯,一月份还有一些不错的转会,三号前锋库尼亚也将离开,但来自贝蒂斯的强壮前锋博尔哈·伊格莱西亚斯已经同意并很可能加盟球队。

到目前为止,这足以说明马竞这个赛季甚至已经退出了欧冠联赛,但考虑到他们在联赛中的成功,这只是一件好事。

很多球员都在卡塔尔,但好消息是他们中的大多数人(如果不是全部的话)都可以上场!我们可以看到莫拉塔在格列兹曼的帮助下找到了一个全新的角色和形式!

埃尔切吗?

我想找点积极的东西说,但我说不出来。从国家层面来看,他们有扑救最多射门的门将,正在赢得xG,但这是一件好事吗?这基本上意味着防守在不断地泄漏进球和机会,而且这种情况不会永远持续下去。尽管如此,埃尔切现在已经有了他们本赛季的第三位主教练,即使球员的材料是问题,而不是教练。埃尔切在14场比赛中获得了4分,一些表现数据可能表明他们应该得到更多的积分,但这是错误的信息,因为当你的球队发现自己处于劣势时,xG很容易获得更高的分数,而埃尔切已经做了很多!

本赛季到目前为止,埃尔切总共在119分钟内处于领先地位,在领先的同时,他们成功地创造了0.06 xG的进球期望!他们很糟糕,他们很害怕,本赛季他们不会轻易赢得任何比赛。

马竞在赛季结束后以一场对低级别联赛俱乐部的胜利开始了他们的赛季,埃尔切也在对阵第四级别俱乐部瓜达拉哈拉的比赛中取得了同样的胜利,但他们的最后两场比赛是在第82分钟和90分钟以上,这不是一场轻松的胜利,也不是一场道德上的鼓舞。与其在今晚对阵马竞的比赛中尝试做不可能的事情,他们可能会考虑下一场在休达的比赛,这是一场更有可能获胜的比赛,但还不确定。

现在球队的消息并不那么重要。马竞有一个庞大的阵容可供选择,埃尔切错过了一些球员,但由于他们的阵容中没有球员可以成为马竞的替补,这并不重要。

马竞本赛季可能会是一个彻底的失败,西蒙尼可能会离开,但我不认为他们在周四晚上至少赢了埃尔切两球!

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