Livingston VS St. Mirren

Livingston welcome St. Mirren for this Scottish Premiership round 19 clash at Tony Macaroni Arena early Thursday morning Beijing time. The biggest bookmakers with the largest betting limits see the match as a coin toss (50-50%) game offering both teams odds of about 2.75 to win. However, in my opinion the visitors deserve to be solid  favorites! They have grabbed 23 points so far but their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 20.08. Moreover, they have a bad score difference of 16:26! Their main problem has been the ineffective offense that lacks structure, speed and passing accuracy near the opponent's goal. Their strikers and midfielders are also not skilled enough individually for the team to succeed at this level. Their current position in the standings is 8th and I would be very surprised if they were able to make it to the top-6 six - and the Championship Group at the end of the season.. They would probably have to buy new players to improve their position in the league table.. Moreover, I would not be surprised to see them dropdown by one or two places.. They have recorded two defeats and one draw in the last three games in this league.. They were extremely bad in their most recent match and suffered a humiliating 0-4 loss away from home in the hands of Hibernian – a team that have the same number of points (23) in to their account. The hosts had a whopping 78% ball possession and recorded close to 30 goal attempts – Livingston only recorded eight. Moreover, Hibernian also created massively more scoring attempts (11-3), total passes (558-167). and completed passes - 477-91. Less than 91 completed passes is an exceptionally low number in professional football. Even taking Holt's red card in the first half into account.this number tells a lot about Livingston's performance.. The hosts also recorded much more attacks and dangerous attacks – 80-10! Livingston can surely improve a bit from this performance but their defense was so leaky and unorganized that even a decent improvement might not be enough to win here..

Before the Hibernian game the hosts lost to Celtic 1-2 away from home. Celtic are a strong team who currently top the standings but we must realize that the narrow loss clearly flatters Livingston as Celtic recorded close to 80% ball possession and 23 scoring attempts - Livingston only managed three.. The hosts also created much more in expected goals (xG) and much more dangerous attacks – 132-19. Before this they did beat Dutch Sittard 3-0 in a friendly but the final score is quite misleading.. St. Mirren have grabbed 24 points so far but theut xPTS is 27.22. Their goal difference is clearly better than that of the hosts. They have netted the ball 20 times and allowed 24 goals but their number of goals allowed (xGA) is just 22.13. They do have an edge in all areas of the game! They have avoided the defeat in three games in a row now and have looked much better than Livingston for quite a long time already.. They also beat the hosts in October 2-1.In their most recent match they beat Aberdeen, who are in the 3rd place in the standings! It was a fine 3-1 home win and they even missed two penalties. Aberdeen's A. Stewart did receive a red card in the 35th minute though. Before this they were excellent and took a point from Rangers through a 1-1 draw at home. Rangers, currently 2nd in the standings, were massive favorites in this game, priced around 1.40 to win on the betting market. Rangers were the better team but not dominant at all! St. Mirren managed to record a respectable 10 scoring attempts. The host defended in a very organized way and the visitors only had one more shot on goal – 4-3. Livingston will be without midfielder Holt after, 29, as he was sent off in the defeat against Hibernian. Belgian Stephane Omeonga expected to replace him in the starting eleven. Furthermore, the hosts' coach Martindale cannot field Jamie Brandon and probably Tom Parkes as well - due to injuries. Indeed, worryingly for the hosts, they may have to name a quite similar starting lineup to the one that disappointed four days ago. S. George's situation is unclear at the time of writing this preview. St Mirren's experienced left-back Richard Tait is still out because of an injury. A. Greive is also unavailable due to personal reasons.

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利文斯顿VS圣米伦

北京时间周四凌晨，利文斯顿在托尼通心粉球馆迎接苏格兰超级联赛第19轮的圣米伦队。拥有最大投注限额的最大博彩公司将这场比赛视为抛硬币(50-50%)游戏，两队的获胜赔率约为2.75。然而，在我看来，游客应该是可靠的。最喜欢的!到目前为止，他们已经获得了23分，但他们的期望分数(xPTS)只有20.08分。而且，他们的比分差了16:26!他们的主要问题是进攻不力，在对手球门附近缺乏结构、速度和传球精度。他们的前锋和中场球员的个人技术也不足以让球队在这个水平上取得成功。他们目前的排名是第8，如果他们能够在赛季结束后进入冠军小组，我会感到非常惊讶。他们可能不得不购买新球员来提高他们在积分榜上的位置。此外，如果他们的排名下降一两个名次，我也不会感到惊讶。在最近的三场联赛中，他们取得了两负一平的战绩。他们在最近的一场比赛中表现非常糟糕，并在客场0-4惨败于爱尔兰人，这是一支拥有相同分数(23分)的球队。东道主的控球率高达78%，射门次数接近30次，而利文斯顿只有8次。此外，爱尔兰人也创造了更多的得分尝试(11-3)，总传球(558-167)。并完成传球- 477-91。少于91次的传球在职业足球中是一个非常低的数字。即使把霍尔特在上半场的红牌也算在内。这个数字很能说明利文斯顿的表现。主机也记录了更多的攻击和危险的攻击- 80-10!利文斯顿肯定可以在这场比赛中有所提高，但他们的防守漏洞太多，而且没有组织，即使有像样的提高也不足以赢得这场比赛。

在与爱尔兰人的比赛之前，东道主客场1-2负于凯尔特人。凯尔特人是一支目前排名第一的强队，但我们必须意识到，微弱的失利显然让利文斯顿感到高兴，因为凯尔特人记录了接近80%的控球率和23次得分尝试，而利文斯顿只有3次。东道主也创造了更多的预期进球(xG)和更危险的进攻- 132-19。在此之前，他们确实在一场友谊赛中以3-0击败了荷兰西塔德，但最终比分相当具有误导性。圣米伦目前已经拿到了24分，但xPTS是27.22分。他们的净胜球明显多于东道主。他们已经破门20次，失球24个，但失球数(xGA)只有22.13个。他们在比赛的各个领域都有优势!他们已经避免了连续三场比赛的失败，并且在很长一段时间里看起来比利文斯顿要好得多。他们还在10月以2比1击败了东道主。在最近的一场比赛中，他们击败了排名第三的阿伯丁!这是一场漂亮的主场3-1胜利，他们甚至罚丢了两个点球。阿伯丁的斯图尔特在第35分钟吃到红牌。在此之前，他们表现出色，在主场1-1战平流浪者，从流浪者手中拿到1分。游骑兵队目前排名第二，在这场比赛中是最大的热门，在博彩市场上的价格约为1.40美元。游骑兵队是更好的球队，但根本没有统治力!圣米伦队取得了令人尊敬的10次得分。东道主的防守非常有组织，客队只多了一次射门，比分是4比3。利文斯顿将失去29岁的中场霍尔特，因为他在对阵爱尔兰人的比赛中被红牌罚下。比利时人斯蒂芬·奥梅翁加有望取代他进入首发11人的位置。此外，东道主教练马丁代尔由于伤病原因不能让杰米·布兰登上场，可能还有汤姆·帕克斯。的确，让东道主担心的是，他们可能不得不选择一个与四天前令人失望的首发阵容非常相似的阵容。在写这篇预告时，乔治的情况还不清楚。圣米伦经验丰富的左后卫理查德·泰特(Richard tait)仍因伤缺阵。答:格雷夫也因个人原因无法访问。