[85% correct] Premier League is back! 英超阿森纳VS西汉姆联
2022-12-26

Ricards

外籍分析师

英超

12/27 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

After a long break, the English Premier League is back with 7 games on Monday night! The last game on Boxing Day is going to be between Arsenal and West Ham United. Before the World Cup, Arsenal played great as they have 12 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss which gives them 1st place in the standings while West Ham has only 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses which allow being to the 16th position. I'm predicting that Arsenal will get win.

For the 1st time since the 2007/2008 season and 5th overall, Arsenal is at the top of the standings in Christmas. Arsenal doesn't want history to repeat as they didn't win a title in a single season when they were leading in Christmas. Arsenal had a strong finish to the Premier League before the World Cup as they had 3 wins in a row. The biggest loss for the team has been Gabriel Jesus who got injured in the World Cup, he got surgery and will be out until February. Arsenal has won all 6 home games this season, scored 19 times and allowed just 7 which is one the best results in the league. Overall, Arsenal has conceded 11 times this season and that is the best result in the Premier League.

West Ham isn't having a dream season. The team lost the last 3 games prior to World Cup and they are only a point above the relegation zone. Nayef Aguerd and Alphonse Areola were a part of the World Cup squads of Morocco and France respectively, who both made it to the latter stages, so they will likely be unavailable for this one. Away from home, West Ham has been one of the worst teams with just 4 points total, 3 goals scored and 7 allowed.

Let's compare the teams from the xG perspective. Arsenal has been so far the 2nd-best team on offense with 2.53 expected goals at home while West Ham is the 7th-best away from home with 1.62 expected goals. Arsenal's defense has been excellent as they are expected to allow just 0.98 goals in front of their fans while West Ham has the 14th-best defense with 1.60 expected allowed goals on the road.

During the World Cup, both teams had some friendly games. Arsenal beat Lyon and AC Milan but lost to Juventus in the last game. West Ham was able to beat Cambridge United and Udinese but had a draw against Fulham. We can see that opponents are totally different for both teams and that speaks about their level. In the last 6 meetings between both teams, Arsenal has won 5 times and West Ham hasn't been able to beat Arsenal in front of their fans in the last 7 games.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

经过长时间的休息,英超联赛周一晚上将迎来7场比赛!节礼日的最后一场比赛将在阿森纳和西汉姆联队之间进行。在世界杯之前,阿森纳表现出色,他们取得了12胜1平1负的成绩,排名第1位,而西汉姆联仅取得了4胜2平9负的成绩,排名第16位。我预测阿森纳会赢。

这是自2007/2008赛季以来的第一次,也是第5次,阿森纳在圣诞节排名第一。阿森纳不希望历史重演,因为他们在圣诞节领先的时候没有在一个赛季中赢得冠军。阿森纳在世界杯前取得了3连胜,在英超联赛中表现强劲。球队最大的损失是加布里埃尔·热苏斯,他在世界杯上受伤,他做了手术,将会缺阵到二月份。阿森纳本赛季6个主场全胜,打进19球,失球7次,这是联赛中最好的成绩之一。总的来说,阿森纳本赛季已经丢了11次球,这是英超联赛中最好的成绩。

西汉姆联队没有一个梦幻的赛季。这支球队在世界杯前输掉了3场比赛,现在只比降级区高出1分。纳耶夫·阿格尔德和阿方斯·阿雷奥拉分别是摩洛哥和法国的球员,他们都进入了世界杯的最后阶段,所以他们很可能无法参加本届世界杯。在客场,西汉姆联是最差的球队之一,他们总共只得到4分,进了3球,丢了7球。

让我们从xG的角度来比较这些团队。到目前为止,阿森纳在主场以2.53个预期进球排名进攻第二,而西汉姆联则以1.62个预期进球排名客场第七。阿森纳的防守非常出色,他们在球迷面前预计只失球0.98个,而西汉姆联的防守排名第14,预计在客场失球1.60个。

世界杯期间,两队进行了一些友谊赛。阿森纳击败了里昂和AC米兰,但在最后一场比赛中输给了尤文图斯。西汉姆联击败了剑桥联队和乌迪内斯,但与富勒姆打平。我们可以看到两支球队的对手完全不同,这说明了他们的水平。在两队近6次交锋中,阿森纳赢了5场,而西汉姆联近7场比赛都没能在球迷面前击败阿森纳。


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