In my opinion Southampton have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Southampton have really good record at home against Brighton as they didn't lost in last 9 of 10 home matches against them.

Southampton coming for this game with almost best possible line up. On the other hand Brighton best player Mac Allister is unavailable today, in addition to that key central defender Webster and key striker Welbeck are doubtful. That should have very bad impact on guests performance today.

Southampton signed new coach Nathan Jones, he already won in Cup game. Atmosphere in team should be good and he looking for great debut at home in Premier League - 6 of last 8 Southampton managers didn't lost in their first Premier League home game.

Southampton loves to play at Boxing Day, they didn't lost in 9 of last 10 such matches. At home Southampton didn't lost in last 6 home matches in a row at Boxing Day. On the other hand Brighton failed to win in 11 of last 12 matches at Boxing Day. Brighton failed to win in last 6 consecutive away matches at Boxing Day.

For me those stats looks really convincing. I really don't see Brighton as a fav here. In midweek they have been knocked out of EFL Cup by League One team Charlton. For sure their confidence is not on the highest possible level.

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在我看来，南安普顿很有机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

南安普顿在主场对阵布莱顿的战绩非常好，因为他们在主场对阵布莱顿的10场比赛中有9场没有输球。

南安普顿为这场比赛准备了几乎最好的阵容。另一方面，布莱顿最好的球员麦克·阿利斯特今天无法上场，除此之外，主力中卫韦伯斯特和主力前锋维尔贝克也说不准。这对客人今天的表现应该会有很坏的影响。

南安普顿签下了新教练内森·琼斯，他已经在杯赛中获胜了。球队的气氛应该很好，他希望在英超的主场有一个伟大的首秀——过去8位南安普顿主帅中有6位在他们的首个英超主场比赛中没有输球。

南安普顿喜欢在节礼日比赛，他们在过去的10场比赛中有9场没有输球。在主场，南安普顿在节礼日的最后6场主场比赛中没有输球。另一方面，布莱顿在节礼日的12场比赛中有11场没有获胜。布莱顿在节礼日连续6场客场比赛都没有赢球。

对我来说，这些数据看起来真的很有说服力。我真的不喜欢布莱顿。在周中他们被英甲球队查尔顿淘汰出了EFL杯。可以肯定的是，他们的信心还没有达到最高水平。