It's a late call, but odds on Perth Glory raised up by 0.25 in last two hours on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and now I see excellent value on home side.

Perth record against Wellington is not bad as they didn't lost in 23 of last 37 matches against them.

Perth will start with solid line up and we will see on the pitch key players like Amini, McEneff or Clisby. On the other hand Wellington is without their second-best scorer Ben Waine.

Perth season looks bad so far, but in 7 rounds they played 6 away matches! Also team played better than results shows: they should concede 1.5 goals less and score one goal more.

Wellington played two away matches and still without a win (5 goals conceded in the process). Wellington results looks better than really should - they scored 16 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 11.5. It's big difference at this stage of the season.

It's 50/50 match up for me, odds on hosts are simply too high.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

这是一个很晚的决定，但珀斯荣耀的赔率在过去两个小时内在亚洲大型市场上上升了0.25，现在我在主场看到了极好的价值。

珀斯对阵惠灵顿的战绩并不差，因为他们在过去37场比赛中有23场没有输球。

珀斯将以稳固的阵容开始比赛，我们将在球场上看到像阿米尼、麦肯夫或克利斯比这样的关键球员。另一方面，惠灵顿失去了他们的第二得分手本·韦恩。

到目前为止，珀斯赛季看起来很糟糕，但在7轮比赛中他们打了6场客场比赛!球队表现也比结果显示的要好:他们应该少丢1.5球，多进1球。

惠灵顿打了两场客场比赛，仍然没有取得胜利(在这个过程中丢了5球)。惠灵顿的结果看起来比实际情况要好——他们进了16个球，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该进11.5个球。在赛季的这个阶段，这是很大的不同。

对我来说是50/50的匹配，主机的赔率太高了。