20/16 in last Australian matches! 🎯🎯🎯 澳超布里斯班VS西悉尼
2022-12-23

Przem

外籍分析师

澳超

12/23 16:45

已完赛

解读理由:

I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements.

Odds on hosts raised up by 0.10 in last an hour on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.

Western currently have solid streak at this stadium as they didn't lost 5 of last 7 matches on the road against Brisbane.

According to the stats Western have better defensive formation - they kept 4 clean sheets (the best result in whole league). Also Western have lower expected goals conceded number than Brisbane: 9.2 vs 8.5.

Western also is much better team with the ball and they should be able to control things in the middle zone. Western have 421 accurate passes per game (2nd best in whole league), Brisbane have 304 (2nd worst team).

Both teams are on very similar level in attack so really small margins will make difference at the end of the day. On those circumstances I see excellent value at double chance on away side. I don't see more than 33% for hosts to win this game.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我一直等到最后一刻才下注,因为我想看看最新的赔率走势。

在亚洲大型市场上,主机的赔率在过去一小时内上升了0.10,我完全同意这一趋势。

西部队目前在这个球场表现稳定,因为他们在过去7场客场对阵布里斯班的比赛中没有输掉5场。

根据数据,西部有更好的防守阵型——他们保持了4场零封(全联盟最好的成绩)。西方国家的预期失球数也比布里斯班低:9.2比8.5。

西部也有更好的控球能力,他们应该能够控制中场。西部队场均有421次准确传球(全联盟第二),布里斯班队场均有304次(倒数第二)。

两支球队在进攻上的水平非常相似,所以很小的差距会在比赛结束时产生差别。在这种情况下,我认为客场双倍的机会非常有价值。我认为东道主赢得这场比赛的可能性不会超过33%。


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