Rio Ave VS Maritimo

Rio Ave welcome Maritimo for this Liga Portugal round 14 clash at Estádio do Rio Ave in Vila do Conde early Saturday morning Beijing time. The biggest bookmakers with the largest stake limits offer odds around 2.10 for the hosts to take all three points. These odds are way too high in my view! I see Rio Ave having a 56% chance to win! They were promoted from LigaPortugal2 for this season but have exceeded my, the betting market's and surely most football analysts' expectations so far and I have significantly raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class from my in-depth preseason analysis.. The bookies, however, just keep under-estimating them.. They  seem to be very high in confidence at the moment. According to my sources they also have an awesome team spirit.. Despite being a fresh team in the highest tier their players' total market value according to a well-respected German website, Tranfersmarkt.com, is only marginally smaller than that of the visitors. However, Maritimos's squad's listed total value of 15.10 million euros is way too high.. Indeed, at least four players are over-valued. I would say that the fair value is only 10-10.5 million. As for the hosts, 14.58 million is too low. They do not have any super stars but have a great coach and are a very well organized unit. Even so, they can still improve even further! They have won four of their most recent five games and the only loss came against strong Sporting CP 0-2 at home in the League Cup. They did play pretty well though and the visitors first scored no sooner than in the 62th minute. Rio Ave did struggle trying to break Sporting's very solid defense but the ball possession was just 46-54%.  Sporting were massive favorites in this clash - priced around 1.40 to win in the betting market. In their most recent match they beat Farense – also in League Cup 2-1 and were clearly the better team despite being the underdogs according to the bookies..

The key idea behind this pick is, in fact, to go against the very lame visitors!  Yes, as mentioned above Sporting CP are of course a classy team, the third-best team in the league in my view, but still Maritimo were abysmal in their most recent game losing 0-5 in Lisbon in a League Cup game. Many of Maritimo's players did not even really fight - especially after the 2-0 goal.. Before this a LigaPortugal2 team Farense beat them 2-0 and whilst they did have some scoring chances, their offense lacked everything needed to win speed, structure, passing accuracy and creativity. On the 1st of this month they suffered a home defeat to today's opponents 0-1 – rather weirdly as favorites according to the bookmakers.. Their forward Jesus Andres Ramirez Diaz did receive a red card already in the first half but even considering this factor I was far from impressed by their performance..They have taken just six points in Liga Portugal and have netted the ball just eight times!  Pathetic! Their defense has been bad as well – they have conceded 27 goals.. Things look grim for them and I believe their goal this season is the desperate battle to avoid relegation.. They have won just one of their most recent 17 matches – losing most of them! They seem to have totally lost their confidence.. Away from home they have struggled for a long time already.. They unarguably have some potential to improve though - they took 10th last season but I still think the betting market fails to recognize just how weak they are at the moment! Rio Ave will enter the pitch without the services of Venezuelan striker Jesus Ramirez, who will serve the last of his three-game suspension for the sending off red card against Maritimo  early this month. On the injury front, the hosts' under-rated coach Freire will have to manage without midfielder Joca, who has been out because of a nasty knee problem he got in September against Braga. A player to watch is Abdul-Aziz Yakubu, 24, who has been an excellent performer for Rio Ave this season. The Ghanaian, who has recorded 11 goal involvements in all competitions this season, As for the visitors, Geny Catamo,21, picked up a muscle injury in October. Italian forward Stefano Beltrame,29 is also injured.

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Ave VS Maritimo

里约热内卢欢迎马里蒂莫参加这场西甲葡萄牙第14轮的比赛，地址是北京时间周六凌晨，在孔戴城Estádio do里约热内卢Ave。最大的博彩公司开出的赔率为2.10左右，赌东道主能拿下全部三分。在我看来，这种可能性太高了!我看里约热内卢有56%的机会赢!他们本赛季从葡甲联赛升级，但迄今为止已经超出了我、博彩市场以及大多数足球分析师的预期，我从我的季前赛深入分析中大幅提高了他们的实力评级，这反映了球队的纯粹水平。然而，博彩公司一直低估他们。活动对象;在那一刻，他似乎非常自信。根据我的消息来源，他们也有令人敬畏的团队精神。据德国著名网站transfersmarkt.com统计，尽管他们是一支顶级球队，但球员的总市值仅略低于访问者的总市值。然而，马里蒂莫斯队1510万欧元的总身价实在太高了。事实上，至少有四家公司被高估了。我认为它的公允价值只有1,000 - 1,050万美元。对于东道主来说，1458万的数字太低了。他们没有任何超级球星，但有一个伟大的教练，是一个非常有组织的团队。即便如此，他们仍然可以进一步提高!他们在最近的5场比赛中赢了4场，唯一的一场失利是在联赛杯主场0-2输给了强大的CP竞技队。他们确实踢得很好，客队在第62分钟第一次进球。Ave在尝试打破竞技队坚固的防守时确实很吃力，但是控球率只有46-54%。在这场比赛中，体育是最受欢迎的，在博彩市场上的定价约为1.40美元。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们2-1击败了法兰斯，同样是在联赛杯中，他们显然是更好的球队，尽管根据博彩公司的说法，他们处于劣势。

事实上，这个选择背后的关键思想是为了对抗那些非常蹩脚的游客!是的，正如上面所提到的，里斯本竞技当然是一支优秀的球队，在我看来是联赛第三强的球队，但是马里蒂莫在最近的一场联赛杯比赛中以0-5输掉了比赛。马里蒂莫的许多球员甚至没有真正战斗——尤其是在2-0的进球之后。在此之前，葡萄牙法伦斯队以2-0击败了他们，虽然他们确实有一些得分机会，但他们的进攻缺乏赢得比赛所需的速度、结构、传球精度和创造力。本月1日，他们在主场0比1输给了今天的对手——这在博彩公司看来是相当奇怪的热门。他们的前锋赫苏斯·安德烈斯·拉米雷斯·迪亚兹在上半场已经吃到红牌，但即使考虑到这个因素，他们的表现也远没有给我留下深刻的印象。他们在西甲葡萄牙只拿到了6分，而且只进了8次球!可悲的!他们的防守也很糟糕，丢了27个球。形势对他们来说很严峻，我相信他们本赛季的目标是拼死保级。他们在最近的17场比赛中只赢了一场，而且大部分都输了!他们似乎完全失去了信心。离家在外，他们已经奋斗了很长时间。毫无疑问，他们有一些提升的潜力——上赛季他们排名第十，但我仍然认为博彩市场没有意识到他们目前的实力有多弱! Ave将在没有委内瑞拉前锋赫苏斯·拉米雷斯的情况下上场，他将在对阵maritimoo的比赛中因红牌罚下而停赛三场的最后一场比赛中出场。本月初，在伤病方面，东道主被低估的教练弗莱雷将不得不面对没有中场约卡的情况，约卡因为9月份对阵布拉加的比赛中膝盖严重受伤而缺阵。一名值得关注的球员是24岁的阿卜杜勒-阿齐兹·雅库布，他本赛季在里约热内卢Ave表现出色。加纳人本赛季在所有比赛中都有11个进球，至于客队，21岁的盖尼·卡塔莫在10月份肌肉受伤。29岁的意大利前锋斯特凡诺·贝尔特拉姆也受伤了。