A WINNER from Scotland?
2022-12-23

Tapio

外籍分析师

苏超

12/24 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Motherwell VS Kilmarnock

Motherwell and Kilmarnock lock horns in this Scottish Premiership round 18 clash at Fir Park early Saturday morning Beijing time. The biggest, usually pretty sharp bookmakers with the largest stake limits offer odds of slightly over 2.00 on the hosts to take all three points. However, I would not be surprised to see their odds come down by kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on the hosts.. They have a 57% chance of winning with today's expected lineups. Motherwell will be without striker Louis Moult, who is currently being back at Burton Albion for a serious injury issue. Jake Carroll is still out of action because of a knee issue.Mugabi's and McGinley's situation is unclear at the time of writing this analysis.. On a more positive note Rolando Aarons has recovered from a hamstring twinge and could be in the starting eleven. Stephen O'Donnell will likely be given a chance at fullback due to Paul McGinn's injury. For Kilmarnock  Scott Robinson might start the game following his return from a long-term injury last week. Kyle Lafferty is still suspended. Furthermore,Calum Waters  situation is questionable as he is recovering from a hamstring issue. Moreover, Alan Power, Rory McKenzie and Ash Taylor are risking suspension if they receive a yellow during the match and this might have a small effect on their performance on the pitch.. Motherwell currently occupy the 9th place in the standings with 17 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 19.98. They have netted the ball 20 times and allowed 22 goals. They definitely have the potential to improve in all areas of the game and I trust their under-rated coach! Let's not forget that last season they played well and finished in 6th place with a respectable 40 points.

Kilmarnock, on the other hand, were promoted to this level for this season after narrowly winning The Championship with 67 points and goal difference of 50:27. It was, however, a pretty erratic season for them and I would not be surprised to see them struggle a lot this season – and perhaps be relegated back to the second tier! The bookies, quite weirdly, seem to see them having more potential though..In In reality they lack quality in all areas of the game and should buy new players as soon as possible.. I rate them as the second-worst team in this league with a total of 12 teams. They have grabbed 15 points but the xPTS number is just 12.02. They have netted the ball just 13 times – the lowest number in this league. Kilmarnock lack creativity and structure in offense. They were not particularly bad in their most recent match despite losing to Hearts 1-3 away from home and, in fact, even created a decent number of scoring chances but it was easy to see how low they are in confidence at the moment. Indeed, their defense was extremely shaky. Hearts' offense is surely better than Motherwell's but I would not be surprised to see the hosts score several goals here. Neither team have been in good form. Kilmarnock have lost four of their last five matches and even the win – on the 12th of November – was an undeserved one! 1-0 was the final score at home against Hibernian.  Indeed, the visitors had 53% ball possession and recorded more scoring attempts, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks.. The hosts have taken a draw and a win and suffered three defeats in their latest five games but they have faced strong teams like Tottenham, Celtic who dominate this league and Hearts. They do have very loyal fans and the home advantage is substantial here!

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马瑟韦尔VS基尔马诺克

北京时间周六凌晨,马瑟韦尔和基尔马诺克在苏格兰超级联赛第18轮的比赛中交锋。规模最大、通常相当精明的博彩公司开出最大赌注上限,为东道主提供略高于2点的赔率,以获得全部3分。然而,看到他们的赔率在开赛时下降,我不会感到惊讶,因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在东道主身上。以今天的阵容来看,他们有57%的胜算。马瑟韦尔将失去前锋路易斯·莫特,他目前因为严重的伤病问题回到了伯顿阿尔比恩队。杰克·卡罗尔仍然因为膝盖问题缺席比赛。在撰写本文时,穆加贝和麦克金利的情况尚不清楚。从积极的方面来看,罗兰多·阿隆斯已经从腿筋疼痛中恢复过来,可能会进入首发11人名单。由于保罗·麦克吉恩的受伤,斯蒂芬·奥唐纳很可能会有机会出任后卫。基尔马诺克队的斯科特·罗宾逊上周从长期伤病中恢复后可能会首发比赛。凯尔·拉弗蒂(Kyle lafferty)仍被禁赛。此外,富勒姆·Waters 目前他的情况尚不确定,因为他正在从腿筋的伤势中恢复。此外,如果阿兰·鲍尔、罗里·麦肯齐和阿什·泰勒在比赛中吃到黄牌,他们将面临停赛的风险,这可能会对他们在球场上的表现产生一点影响。马瑟韦尔目前以17分位居积分榜第9位。然而,他们的期望点数(xPTS)是19.98。他们已经破门20次,失球22个。他们绝对有潜力在比赛的各个方面提高,我相信他们被低估的教练!别忘了上赛季他们打得不错,以40分排名第六。

另一方面,基尔马诺克队在本赛季以67分和净胜球50:27的比分险胜英冠后,升入了这一级别。然而,对他们来说,这是一个相当不稳定的赛季,我不会惊讶于看到他们在这个赛季挣扎很多——也许会降级到第二梯队!奇怪的是,博彩公司似乎认为他们有更大的潜力,但实际上他们在比赛的各个方面都缺乏质量,应该尽快购买新球员。我认为他们是联盟中第二差的球队,一共有12支球队。他们已经获得了15分,但xPTS数字只有12.02分。他们只进了13次球,是联盟中最少的。基尔马诺克的进攻缺乏创造力和结构。在最近的一场比赛中,尽管他们在客场1-3输给了哈茨,但他们并不是特别糟糕,事实上,他们甚至创造了相当多的得分机会,但很容易看出他们目前的信心有多低。事实上,他们的防守非常不稳固。哈特的进攻肯定比马瑟韦尔的好,但我不会惊讶于看到东道主在这里进了几个球。两个队的状态都不好。基尔马诺克在过去的五场比赛中输掉了四场,即使是11月12日的胜利也是不应得的!1-0是主场对阵爱尔兰人队的最终比分。事实上,客队有53%的控球率,记录了更多的得分次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、攻击次数和危险攻击。东道主在最近的五场比赛中取得了一平一胜,遭遇了三场失利,但他们面对的是像热刺、统治联赛的凯尔特人和哈茨这样的强队。他们确实有非常忠实的球迷,主场优势在这里是巨大的!


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