A LUCRATIVE match in Belgium! 比甲根特VS标准列日
2022-12-23

Tapio

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Gent VS Standard Liege

St. Liege try to challenge Gent in this Belgian Jupiler Pro League clash at Ghelamco Arena early Saturday morning Beijing time. ”Try” is indeed probably all they can do as the hosts are very clear favorites here - even more clear than the bookmakers estimate, I see them having a 67% chance to send the visitors home without any points.This is league is of pretty good level by European standards but the difference to top-4 leagues is still pretty big.. Even so, Club Brugge even qualified for the Playoffs! This league is relatively high-scoring and we have every reason to expect several goals and entertainment for football fans here, The over 2.5 total goals is much more probable than under 2.5. The hosts are much stronger in all areas of the game – the biggest edge they have in offense but their defense is also much more solid than that of St. Liege despite the seemingly narrow gap in the number of allowed goals – 22 and 18 that is. In terms of expected goals allowed (xGA) Gent's should have conceded just 16.02 goals. The visitors' number on the other hand, is 24.88. Gent have much more skilled strikers and better offensive structure and usually pass the ball faster as well. Their midfielders also actively take part in attacking. Indeed, they have netted the ball 32 times so far in this league – St. Liege have scored just 22 goals but their xG number is just 19.98. Gent currently occupy the 5th place in the standings but I see them having a genuine chance of making it to top-4 and the Championship group at the end of the season! Indeed, I rate them as the 4th-best team in this league in my power rating that reflects the teams overall class. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 33.04. Last season they finished in 5th place with 62 points to their account after the regular season.

St. Liege, on the other hand, finished in 14th place with just 36 points. I did expect them to improve a little this season but them finishing in the current 7th place – or even the top-8 would be a major surprise. I rate them as the 13th-best team in the Jupiler Pro League. St. Liege's xPTS is 22.05 and the actual number in the pocket is 25. The visitors have lost five of their latest six games and were abysmal in their most recent game losing 0-4 to Antwerp away from home in a Belgian Cup! Let's remember that I see Gent is slightly better than Antwerp.. The hosts recorded 13 scoring attempts – poor St. Liege's number was just three. Moreover, Antwerp created many more goal attempts (8-1) as well as attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they lost to a not very strong French team, Valenciennes, 0-1 in a friendly and before that another French team, Nice, humiliated them through a 4-1 win – also in a friendly. Even if I do not give too much emphasis to friendlies the way they defended was horribly shaky and they seem to be low in confidence.Their latest win in this league came almost two months ago.. Gent, on the other hand, are in amazingly good form and have won seven matches in a row! Furthermore, they have not lost any of their most recent 10 matches! They did need extra time in their latest game against Cercle Brugge KSV in a cup game but deserved the 2-0 win. Before this they were excellent especially offensively and beat a pretty good Dutch team, Heerenveen, 4-1 in a friendly. Let's also remember that Gent have dominated the recent head-to-head record between the two teams and have not lost any of the last five games against St. Liege, winning four of these five.. The hosts' Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Darko Lemajic and Tarik Tissoudali are all unfortunately out because of injuries. St. Liege will be without Philip Zinckernagel and Konstantinos Laifis who are suspended. Furthermore, Gilles Dewaele, Nathan Ngoy and Renaud Emond are all expected to be unavailable due to injuries.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

根特VS标准列日

< / p > < p >。北京时间周六凌晨,列日队将在Ghelamco球馆迎战根特队。“尝试”可能是他们唯一能做的,因为这里的主人很明显是最受欢迎的——甚至比博彩公司估计的还要明确,我认为他们有67%的几率让游客零分回家。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平相当不错,但与前四名联赛的差距仍然很大。即便如此,布鲁日俱乐部甚至有资格进入季后赛!这个联赛的得分相对较高,我们有充分的理由期待球迷们在这里进球和娱乐。总进球数超过2.5的可能性比2.5以下的要大得多。东道主在比赛的各个方面都要强大得多——他们最大的优势是进攻,但他们的防守也比圣列日更坚固,尽管失球数的差距看起来很窄——22和18。从预期失球(xGA)来看,根特本应该只丢16.02球。另一方面,访客的数字是24.88。金特拥有更熟练的前锋和更好的进攻结构,通常传球也更快。他们的中场球员也积极参与进攻。事实上,到目前为止,他们在这个联赛中已经进球32次——圣列日只进了22球,但他们的xG数字只有19.98。金特目前在积分榜上排名第五,但我认为他们有真正的机会在赛季结束后进入前四和英冠小组!事实上,在我的实力评分中,他们在联盟中排名第四,这反映了球队的整体水平。他们的期望点数(xPTS)是33.04。上赛季,他们在常规赛结束后以62分排名第五。

另一方面,圣列日仅以36分排名第14位。我确实希望他们能在本赛季有所提高,但他们目前只排在第7位,甚至排在前8都是一个很大的惊喜。我认为他们在Jupiler职业联赛中排名第13。圣列日的xPTS是22.05,口袋里的实际数字是25。客队在最近的6场比赛中输掉了5场,在最近的比利时杯客场0-4输给安特卫普的比赛中表现非常糟糕!让我们记住,我看到根特比安特卫普略好。东道主记录了13次得分,而可怜的圣列日队只有3次。此外,安特卫普创造了更多的进球尝试(8-1)以及攻击和危险的攻击。在此之前,他们在一场友谊赛中以0-1输给了一支实力不强的法国球队瓦伦西安,在此之前,另一支法国球队尼斯也在一场友谊赛中以4-1的比分让他们蒙羞。即使我不太重视友谊赛,但他们的防守方式非常不稳定,他们似乎缺乏信心。他们最近一次在联赛中获胜是将近两个月前的事了。另一方面,金特的状态非常好,已经连续赢了七场比赛!此外,他们在最近的10场比赛中没有输过一场!他们在最近一场对阵布鲁日的杯赛中确实需要加时赛,但他们理应以2-0获胜。在此之前,他们表现出色,尤其是在进攻端,在一场友谊赛中以4-1击败了一支相当不错的荷兰队海伦芬。让我们也记住,根特在最近两支球队的面对面比赛中占据了主导地位,并且在最近五场对阵圣列日的比赛中没有输过,这五场比赛赢了四场。东道主安德烈亚斯·汉切-奥尔森、达科·勒马季奇和塔里克·蒂苏达利都不幸因伤缺阵。圣列日将失去菲利普·辛克纳格尔和康斯坦蒂诺斯·莱菲斯,他们被停职。此外,吉勒·德瓦莱、内森·恩戈伊和雷诺·埃蒙德都因伤缺阵。


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