Brisbane Roar VS Western Sydney Wanderers

Brisbane Roars welcome Western Sydney (WS) Wanderers for this Australian A-League clash at Moreton Daily Stadium Friday afternoon Beijing time. This league is not of very high level despite Australia's surprisingly good run in Qatar where they only lost 1-2 in the Playoffs against the eventual champions! Here we have every reason to expect a balanced and a pretty good-level clash by A-League standards. Many goals to be scored is, however, unlikely as both teams have struggled with offensive efficiency so far this season. The hosts have netted the ball just six times so far in this league this season - but have been very solid defensively also only allowing five goals. However, in terms of expected goals allowed (xGA) the number should be clearly bigger - 7.88 to be precise. Their offensive pace is often a little too slow and the attacks in general too predictable. Passing accuracy near the opponent's goal could also be a bit better.. These weaknesses make it too easy for the opponent to organize the defense (too) well. However, they do have a smart coach whom I believe will gradually improve this area of his team's game but it will probably take some time. They did beat Newcastle Jets last Friday away from home and one goal was enough to travel home with all three points. Even so, I was somewhat disappointed by their performance. They let the hosts control the events for most of the game and Newcastle did have close to 65% ball possession. They will definitely have to be more aggressive and put more pressure on the opponent's defense here if they want to win.. Brisbane did record more shots on goal and scoring attempts but the hosts had much more total passes, completed passes, attacks (156-81) and dangerous attacks - 77-49. They did indeed have luck on their side having avoided conceding a goal.

Yes, Brisbane, have lost just two of their latest 10 games but have played many draws and have 10 points to their account. The good streak without defense seems to have made them too hot on the betting market by now.. Indeed, we must remember that they have won just three of their most recent 10 matches and it certainly will not be easy on Friday either! The biggest bookmakers with the largest stake limits see them as favorites here and offer odds of around 2.40 on them to win. However, I would not be at all surprised if their odds were to go up as I expect smart money to pile up on WS Wanderers before the kickoff! Indeed, the visitors are narrow favorites in my view. They have scored just seven goals so far though but in terms of expected goals (xG) the number should be 10 or 11. The exact xG number is 10.51. Even so, thanks to very strong defense - they have conceded just six goals – they have managed to take 14 points and occupy the 2nd place in the standings behind Melbourne City. They have improved a lot from last season, but it seems the bookies have failed to fully recognize this.. I have significantly raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class from my in-depth preseason analysis.. Their coach Mark Rudan,47, - who is an under-rated guy - and his assistant have created an excellent style of play for the team. Even the midfielders actively participate in defending and minimizing the opponent's chances to give a crucial pass to penetrate the defensive unit. There are some similar elements to Morocco in the World Cup - who kept a clean sheet against Spain and Portugal - in the visitors' game..

The visitors were very unlucky to lose their most recent match 0-1. It was an away game against Western United and the visitors had 60% ball possession and recorded more shots on goal, scoring attempts, total passes, completed passes, attacks, dangerous attacks and xG. Western United are not a particularly strong team and I believe that this loss as slim favorites has been given too much emphasis on the betting market.. Before this they faced Wellington Phoenix away from home and were once again the better team despite the 1-1 final score.. rather weirdly they were the underdogs in this match according to the bookies but still recorded 65% ball possession! However, them finishing in the top-2 would certainly be a surprise but they are still the smart bet here - a draw would be enough for me fans and me to extend the winning streak! This match is expected to be much lower-scoring than in the A-League on average.. The probability for under 2.5 total goals is 60% and for the draw 32%.

Brisbane were slightly disappointing before the Newcastle match and it was a 1-1 draw at home against Adelaide United. Before this they were excellent though and beat Sydney FC 3-1 at home. They even missed a penalty and allowed the visitors only two shots on goal. Brisbane were clear underdogs in this match – priced over 3.00 on the betting market to win. Indeed, they have been somewhat erratic this season – on a good day they are surely dangerous but I expect WS Wanderers to stop any possible ” offensive flow” through very organized defending. Last season they did not do too well and we should not expect them to perform well too often this season either.. Furthermore, Brisbane confirmed last week that striker Charlie Austin's contract has been mutually terminated because of family-related issues. Midfielder Jesse Daley, on the other hand, has left the hosts to join Canadian Premier League side Cavalry FC!. Austin started up front in the last match against Newcastle Jets and is expected to be replaced in the starting eleven by Joe Knowles. As for WS Wanderers, Milos Ninkovic and Kusini Yengi did not play in the defeat versus Western United due to an injury and their situation is unclear at the time of writing this preview but I have of course taken this factor into account. Rudan probably will not make too many changes to his starting eleven. The very important and often under-rated Brazilian defender Marcelo ("not quite" as good as Real Madrid's Marcelo) – is expected to continue as captain in the core of the defense together with Tomislav Mrcela.

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布里斯班咆哮队VS西悉尼流浪者队

北京时间周五下午，布里斯班咆哮队在莫尔顿每日体育场迎接西悉尼流浪者队的澳大利亚甲a联赛。这个联赛的水平并不高，尽管澳大利亚在卡塔尔的表现令人惊讶地好，他们在季后赛中只输给了最终的冠军1-2 !在这里，我们有充分的理由期待一场以甲a联赛的标准来平衡和相当高水平的比赛。然而，由于两支球队本赛季到目前为止都在努力提高进攻效率，很多进球是不可能的。到目前为止，东道主本赛季在联赛中只进了6个球，但防守非常稳固，只丢了5个球。然而，就允许的预期目标(xGA)而言，这个数字应该明显更大——准确地说是7.88。他们的进攻节奏往往有点太慢，而且进攻通常太可预测。在对手球门附近的传球精度也可以提高一些。这些弱点使对手很容易把防守组织得太好。然而，他们确实有一个聪明的教练，我相信他会逐渐改善球队的比赛，但这可能需要一些时间。他们确实在上周五客场击败了纽卡斯尔喷气机，一个进球足以让他们带着三分回家。尽管如此，我还是对他们的表现有些失望。他们让东道主控制了比赛的大部分时间，纽卡斯尔确实有接近65%的控球率。如果他们想赢的话，他们肯定会更有侵略性，对对手的防守施加更大的压力。布里斯班确实记录了更多的射门和得分尝试，但东道主的总传球、完成传球、进攻(156-81)和危险进攻(77-49)要多得多。他们确实很幸运，避免了失球。

是的，布里斯班在最近的10场比赛中只输了两场，但他们打了很多平局，并获得了10分。没有防守的连胜似乎使他们现在在博彩市场上太热了。事实上，我们必须记住，他们在最近的10场比赛中只赢了3场，周五的比赛肯定也不会容易!拥有最大赌注限制的最大博彩公司将他们视为最受欢迎的人，并为他们提供约2.40的赔率。然而，如果他们的赔率上升，我一点也不会感到惊讶，因为我预计聪明的钱会在开球前堆积在WS流浪者身上!事实上，在我看来，游客们的可能性很小。到目前为止，他们只进了7个球，但就预期进球(xG)而言，这个数字应该是10或11个。准确的xG值是10.51。即便如此，多亏了强大的防守——他们只丢了6个球——他们成功地拿到了14分，在积分榜上仅次于墨尔本城。他们比上个赛季进步了很多，但似乎博彩公司没有充分认识到这一点。根据我的季前赛深度分析，我大幅提高了他们的实力评级，这反映了球队的纯粹水平。他们47岁的教练马克·鲁丹——一个被低估的家伙——和他的助手为球队创造了一种出色的比赛风格。即使是中场球员也积极参与防守，尽量减少对手突破防守的关键传球机会。在与客队的比赛中，有一些与世界杯上摩洛哥队相似的元素——他们在对阵西班牙和葡萄牙的比赛中零封对手。

客队很不幸地以0比1输掉了最近的比赛。这是一场客场对阵西联的比赛，客队拥有60%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数、得分次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、攻击次数、危险攻击和xG。西联并不是一支特别强的球队，我认为这场失利被赌球市场过分强调了。在此之前，他们在客场面对惠灵顿凤凰城，尽管最终比分是1-1，但他们再次成为更好的球队。相当奇怪的是，根据博彩公司的说法，他们在这场比赛中处于下风，但仍然记录了65%的控球率!然而，他们进入前2名肯定会让人惊讶，但他们仍然是明智的赌注-一场平局对我来说足够了，球迷和我可以延续连胜!这场比赛的平均得分预计会比甲a联赛低得多。总进球数低于2.5球的概率为60%，抽签的概率为32%。

布里斯班在与纽卡斯尔的比赛前表现有点令人失望，他们在主场1-1战平阿德莱德联。在此之前，他们表现出色，并在主场3-1击败悉尼FC。他们甚至罚丢了一个点球，只让客队射了两次门。布里斯班队在这场比赛中明显处于下风，在博彩市场上标价超过3英镑。事实上，他们本赛季有些不稳定——在好的时候，他们肯定是危险的，但我希望WS流浪者通过非常有组织的防守来阻止任何可能的“进攻流”。上赛季他们表现得不太好，我们也不应该期望他们本赛季表现得太好。此外，布里斯班上周证实，由于家庭问题，前锋查理·奥斯汀的合同已经被双方终止。另一方面，中场杰西·戴利已经离开了东道主，加盟了加拿大超级联赛的骑兵队!奥斯汀在上一场对阵纽卡斯尔喷气机的比赛中首发出场，预计他将被乔·诺尔斯取代。至于WS流浪者队，米洛斯·宁科维奇和库西尼·扬吉由于受伤没有参加对阵西联的比赛，他们的情况在写这篇预告的时候还不清楚，但我当然已经把这个因素考虑进去了。鲁丹可能不会对首发11人做太多改变。非常重要但经常被低估的巴西后卫马塞洛(“不太”像皇马的马塞洛那样出色)有望继续与托米斯拉夫·姆塞拉一起担任后防线的核心队长。