The big final! Let's end with a win! 世界杯阿根廷VS法国
2022-12-18

Ricards

外籍分析师

世界杯

12/18 23:00

已完赛

解读理由:

The finale of the World Cup is here! Argentina and France will meet in the last game of the tournament. It's no surprise that both teams are meeting in the finals. Argentina had a great performance in the semi-final against Croatia, they scored 2 goals in the first half and didn't give a chance to opponents with Lionel Messi being a huge part of all 3 goals. France beat Morocco in the semi-final but their performance in the 2nd half wasn't the best because Morocco was very close to scoring at least 1 goal and just the opponent's lack of experience helped France to win in 90 minutes. In this game, I'm predicting that Argentina won't lose in the regular time.

Argentina started the tournament with a shocking loss against Saudi Arabia. Although some people thought already that Argentina will fail at this tournament, this loss played as a big motivation as they haven't lost since then and they have scored at least 2 goals in every game since! That loss against Saudi Arabia was just unlucky because Argentina's xG was 2.26 while Saudi Arabia had just 0.15. France has played well all tournament long. Yes, they lost to Tunisia but France's 2nd roster was playing.

In this tournament, France has scored 15 times but has conceded 4 goals. As for Argentina, they have 12 goals in the World Cup and 4 conceded. Although France has scored more, they had 4 goals in the first game against Australia while Argentina conceded 2 times against Saudi Arabia. Let's compare teams from the xG perspective. France has been the 3rd-best team in the tournament on offense with 2.13 expected goals but Argentina has been the 6th-best team with 1.74 expected goals. On defense, Argentina has been the best team with only 0.80 expected allowed goals but France is just in the 11th position with 1.27.

I like Argentina's chances better. First of all, it's probably the last chance for Lionel Messi to win the World Cup. The team has been playing well and their roster is healthy with no major injury issues. As for France, they have been good as well but they weren't far away to concede against Morocco and were lucky against England as Harry Kane missed the penalty. We can't forget about the injury situation on the French team as they have only a dozen healthy players. Overall, this could be a tight affair that won't end after 90 minutes. No team will want to take a big risk and that's why there could be a penalty shootout!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

世界杯的压轴好戏来了!阿根廷和法国将在本届杯赛的最后一场比赛中相遇。两支球队在总决赛相遇并不令人意外。阿根廷在半决赛对阵克罗地亚的比赛中表现出色,他们在上半场就进了2球,没有给对手任何机会,梅西在这3个进球中发挥了重要作用。法国队在半决赛中击败了摩洛哥队,但他们在下半场的表现并不是最好的,因为摩洛哥队非常接近至少打进1球,而对手缺乏经验帮助法国队在90分钟内获胜。在这场比赛中,我预测阿根廷在常规时间不会输。

阿根廷队在比赛一开始就令人震惊地输给了沙特阿拉伯队。虽然有些人已经认为阿根廷会在这次比赛中失败,但这场失利对他们来说是一个巨大的动力,因为他们从那以后就没有输过,而且他们在每场比赛中至少进了2球!输给沙特阿拉伯只是运气不好,因为阿根廷的xG是2.26,而沙特阿拉伯只有0.15。法国队在整个比赛中都打得很好。是的,他们输给了突尼斯,但是法国的第二名球员上场了。

在本届比赛中,法国队打进15球,但丢了4球。至于阿根廷,他们在世界杯上进了12球,丢了4球。虽然法国队进球更多,但他们在第一场对阵澳大利亚的比赛中就进了4球,而阿根廷队在对阵沙特阿拉伯的比赛中丢了2球。让我们从xG的角度来比较团队。法国队以2.13球的预期进球数在进攻端排名第三,而阿根廷队以1.74球的预期进球数排名第六。在防守方面,阿根廷队一直是最好的球队,预期失球只有0.80个,而法国队仅以1.27个排在第11位。

我更看好阿根廷的机会。首先,这可能是梅西赢得世界杯的最后一次机会。这支球队一直打得很好,他们的阵容很健康,没有大的伤病问题。至于法国队,他们也表现不错,但他们在对阵摩洛哥的比赛中就丢了球,在对阵英格兰的比赛中,他们很幸运,哈里·凯恩罚丢了点球。我们不能忘记法国队的伤病状况,因为他们只有十几名健康的球员。总的来说,这可能是一场激烈的比赛,不会在90分钟后结束。没有球队愿意冒这么大的风险,这就是为什么会有点球大战!


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