[100% last 3 days] BIG prediction! NBA骑士VS步行者
2022-12-16

Ricards

外籍分析师

NBA

12/17 08:30

已完赛

解读理由:

A 10-game NBA night is happening on Friday and I'm going to talk about the game between Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers. Both teams are from Eastern Conference and the Cavaliers are the 3rd best team with 18 wins and 11 losses while Indiana is in the 7th position with 15 wins and 14 losses. In this game, I'm predicting Cleveland to cover the handicap.

For the last 6 games, Cleveland has mixed results as they have 3 wins and 3 losses but 2 losses were on the road, and the team doesn't play so well away from home. The only loss at home versus Sacramento was very random because the Cavaliers didn't score in the last 4 minutes and 50 seconds. Cleveland allowed opponents to score the last 19 points that +8 turned into -11. This kind of game happens very rarely. While the Pacers are in the play-in zone, they have struggled lately as they have just 3 wins in the last 9 games. The road win against the Warriors was impressive and they beat them in Indiana too but we know that the Warriors are terrible away from home. The third win was versus the Wizards which was missing Bradley Beal in that game.

The Cavaliers are tied for the 2nd best home record in the league with 12 wins and only 2 losses. Their 1st loss at home was when Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen didn't play. Cleveland is great at covering the spread at home as they have done it in 11 games! Indiana is not doing so great away from home as they have 6 wins and 8 losses. The Pacers have been road underdogs 11 times this season and they have covered the spread in just 5 games. Both teams are having an equal day of rest before this matchup. In this scenario, Cleveland has covered the spread 63% of the games while Indiana just 39%.

In the last 9 home games, Cleveland has 8 wins and all with at least 8 points. In the last 7 games away from home, the Pacers have 5 losses and 4 of them were with at least 14 points. Per advanced stats, the Cavaliers have the 12th-best offense (115.2), the 2nd-best defense (104.9) and the 3rd-best net rating (10.3). Away from home, the Pacers have just the 22nd-best offense (109.2), the 15th-best defense (113.8) and the 22nd-best net rating (-4.6).

It's hard to see in what areas the Pacers could beat Cleveland. The home team will have all 4 stars available and the combo of Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley is excellent in the defense. With both of them playing, the Cavs have won 15 out of 22 games and this ratio should increase to 16 games. It should also be mentioned, that Cleveland last season won in all 4 meetings.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周五晚上将有一场10场比赛的NBA之夜,我要谈谈克利夫兰骑士队和印第安纳步行者队之间的比赛。两支球队都来自东部,骑士队以18胜11负排名第三,而步行者队以15胜14负排名第七。在这场比赛中,我预测克利夫兰将会克服障碍。

在过去的6场比赛中,骑士队的成绩喜忧参半,他们取得了3胜3负,其中2场失利是在客场,而且球队在客场表现不佳。在主场对阵国王的比赛中,骑士队唯一的失利是非常随机的,因为骑士队在最后4分50秒没有得分。骑士让对手在最后的19分里+8变成-11。这种游戏很少发生。虽然步行者已经进入了比赛区,但他们最近表现不佳,因为他们在过去的9场比赛中只赢了3场。客场对勇士的胜利令人印象深刻,他们在印第安纳州也击败了他们,但我们知道勇士在客场表现很糟糕。第三场胜利是对奇才的比赛,那场比赛缺少了布拉德利·比尔。

骑士队以12胜2负的主场战绩并列联盟第二。他们在主场的第一次失利是多诺万·米切尔和贾勒特·阿伦没有上场。骑士队擅长在主场防守,他们已经在11场比赛中做到了!印第安纳在客场表现不佳,6胜8负。步行者本赛季在客场11次处于劣势,他们只在5场比赛中取得了领先。两队在比赛前都有相等的休息时间。在这种情况下,骑士队在63%的比赛中占据了优势,而步行者只有39%。

在过去的9场主场比赛中,骑士取得了8场胜利,并且都至少得到8分。在过去的7场客场比赛中,步行者输了5场,其中4场至少得到14分。根据高级数据,骑士队拥有第12好的进攻(115.2),第二好的防守(104.9)和第三好的净效率(10.3)。在客场,步行者的进攻(109.2分)排在第22,防守(113.8分)排在第15,净效率(-4.6分)排在第22。

很难看出步行者能在哪些方面击败骑士。主队将拥有全部4位球星,贾勒特·阿伦和埃文·莫布里的组合在防守上非常出色。在他们两个都上场的情况下,骑士在22场比赛中赢了15场,这个比例应该会增加到16场。值得一提的是,骑士上赛季4次交手都赢了。


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