Newcastle Jets VS Brisbane Roar

Newcastle Jets host Brisbane Roar for this Australian A-League round 8 clash at McDonald Jones Stadium in Newcastle Friday afternoon Beijing time. The biggest, usually pretty sharp bookmakers see the hosts as the favorites and have set the odds on them at around 2.35 – at least at the time of writing this preview.. However, I would not be surprised to see the odds on Brisbane to go down before the kickoff.. Indeed, I see them as narrow favorites! The main reason behind the the hosts being over-valued - and Brisbane under-valued is probably the league table. However, both teams have played just six matches in this league so far so would should not give too much emphasis on the standings. Newcastle currently occupy the 6th place with nine points to their account but I only rate them as the 10th best team in my power rating that reflects in this league with a total of 12 clubs. They have been quite erratic this season winning three games but also losing three. On a good they are surely better than Brisbane – and could beat any team in A-League - but quite often they are quite weak.. Their defense has not convinced me in most games so far and they have allowed 11 goals – the same number as Perth Glory who are in the 11th place! They have conceded 12 goals in their moist recent five matches..Some of their defenders make too many silly mistakes and their defensive structure has also been far from solid.. Furthermore, their midfielders should also take part in defending more actively. A good example of abysmal defending and unorganized - and overall bad performance was they away game on the 4th of November when Melbourne Victory crushed them 4-0. Newcastle could not record a single shot on the hosts' goal in this clash!

In their most recent match the hosts were quite good though and took a surprising win on the road against Central Coast Marines 2-1 as very clear underdogs according to the bookies. They did record one more shot on goal (5-4) but it was still a somewhat undeserved win as the hosts did have more ball possession - 52-48% - and also recorded more goal attempts, total passes, completed passes, attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 72-25. I also want to mention that Central Coast Mariners played below their normal level in this match. I believe this win affects the odds too much here.. Brisbane, on the other hand, have lost just one game so far in this league but have played many draws and have just seven points in the pocket. However, in terms of expected points they would have deserved 3-4 more points. I rate them as the 8th-best team in A-League. They have struggled with scoring – netting the ball just five times - but have been very solid defensively also only allowing five goals. Their offense is often a bit too slow and predictable which makes it too easy for the opponent the organize the defense. However, they do have a smart coach whom I trust to improve this area of the game..

I would not be surprised to see them score more than once against the shaky Newcastle defense! Even so, I see this match as more low-scoring than the betting market does. In my view under 2.5 goals is slightly more probable than over 2.5 goals. Consequently I also see the draw as more probable than the bookmakers – 29% is my estimation. I expect the hosts' coach Papastamatis, who is an over-rated guy in my view, to stick with an unchanged starting eleven in this match. Players to follow are especially Mikeltadze and Buhagiar who both scored against Central Coast Mariners. As for Brisbane the former Southampton striker Charlie Austin has played a role in six goals in his latest 10 appearances and is surely dangerous here as well! Brisbane were a bit disappointing in their most recent match and it was a 1-1 draw against Adelaide United. They were excellent before this though and defeated Sydney FC 3-1 at home. They even missed a penalty and allowed the visitors only two shots on goal. Brisbane were clear underdogs in this match – priced over 3.00 to win. Their only loss in A-League came over two months ago against Melbourne United 0-2 at home but did have their chances in this clash an the final score flatters the visitors. Let's not forget that Melbourne have been strong and currently top the standings with 16 points.

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纽卡斯尔喷气机VS布里斯班咆哮

北京时间周五下午，澳大利亚甲a联赛第8轮，纽卡斯尔喷气机队主场迎战布里斯班咆哮队。最大的，通常相当敏锐的博彩公司认为主持人是最受欢迎的，并将他们的赔率设置在2.35左右——至少在写这篇预览文章的时候。然而，如果布里斯班在开球前赔率下降，我不会感到惊讶。事实上，我认为他们是最受欢迎的!东道主被高估，而布里斯班被低估的主要原因可能是联赛排名。然而，两支球队到目前为止都只在联赛中打了6场比赛，所以不应该过于强调排名。纽卡斯尔目前以9分排名第6，但在我的实力评分中，他们只排在第10位，而我的实力评分反映了这个联赛共有12家俱乐部。他们本赛季的表现相当不稳定，赢了三场比赛，但也输了三场。总的来说，他们肯定比布里斯班强，而且可以击败a联赛中的任何一支球队，但他们通常都很弱。到目前为止，他们的防守并没有让我信服，他们已经失球11个——和排名第11位的珀斯荣耀队相同!在最近的五场比赛中，他们已经丢了12个球，他们的一些后卫犯了太多愚蠢的错误，他们的防守结构也很不稳固。此外，他们的中场球员也应该更积极地参与防守。糟糕的防守和无组织的一个很好的例子-整体表现糟糕的是他们在11月4日的客场比赛中，墨尔本胜利队以4-0击败了他们。纽卡在这场比赛中没有一次射门打在主队的球门上!

在最近的一场比赛中，东道主表现相当不错，在客场2-1击败了中央海岸海军陆战队，根据博彩公司的说法，他们是非常明显的失败者。他们确实多了一次射门(5-4)，但这仍然是一场有点不应得的胜利，因为东道主确实有更多的控球率(52-48%)，也有更多的进球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数，尤其是危险的进攻(72-25)。我还想提到的是，中央海岸水手队在这场比赛中的表现低于正常水平。我认为这场胜利对赔率的影响太大了。另一方面，布里斯班到目前为止在联赛中只输了一场比赛，但打了很多平局，只有7分在口袋里。然而，就预期积分而言，他们应该得到3-4分。我认为他们在a联赛中排名第八。他们在进球方面表现不佳，只进了5次球，但防守非常稳固，只丢了5个球。他们的进攻经常有点太慢和可预测，这使得对手很容易组织防守。然而，他们确实有一个聪明的教练，我相信他会提高这方面的比赛。

看到他们在纽卡斯尔不稳定的防守中得分不止一次，我不会感到惊讶!即便如此，我认为这场比赛的得分比博彩市场的要低。在我看来，低于2.5个目标的可能性略高于超过2.5个目标的可能性。因此，我也认为抽签的可能性比庄家更大——我估计是29%。我希望东道主教练帕帕斯塔马蒂斯(在我看来他被高估了)在这场比赛中保持首发11人不变。紧随其后的是米克尔塔泽和布哈吉尔，他们在对阵中央海岸水手队的比赛中都有进球。在布里斯班，前南安普顿前锋查理·奥斯汀在最近的10次出场中打进6球，他在这里也很危险!布里斯班在最近的一场比赛中有点令人失望，他们1-1战平了阿德莱德联队。在此之前，他们表现出色，并在主场3-1击败了悉尼FC。他们甚至罚丢了一个点球，只让客队射了两次门。布里斯班在这场比赛中明显处于下风，以3英镑的价格获胜。他们在a联赛中唯一的一场失利是两个月前在主场0-2输给墨尔本联队，但在这场比赛中他们确实有机会，最终的比分让客队感到满意。我们不要忘记墨尔本一直很强大，目前以16分排名第一。