Covilha VS Nacional da Madeira

Covilha welcome Nacional for this Portuguese League Cup round 3 clash at Estádio José Santos Pinto early Thursday morning Beijing time. A balanced and not probably not a very high-level match is on the cards.. Nacional have started this competition taking a win and a loss in the first two rounds of play. Their score difference is 2:2. Covilha have a draw and one defeat to their account and have a goal difference of 2:4. However, there is not a very big difference between the two teams - especially in this competition which is almost certainly not the main priority for either team.... Both teams play in Liga Portugal2 and have had a disappointing season and are currently in the last place with just six points to their account and have a score difference of 12:27. No, they are not a strong team but are definitely better than the league table suggests and would earn more respected from the bookmakers. I believe they have a genuine chance of avoiding relegation – once again! In terms of expected points (xPTS) they would have deserved several more points than the actual six.. Nacional do have an edge in all areas of the game but in terms of offensive capability the difference is small. Indeed, I have been extremely disappointed by their offense and they have netted the ball just 13 times in Liga Portugal2 so far. They have improved a little in this area of the game lately but not as much as the recent results suggest.. In their most recent match they failed to score though and lost 0-2 away from against Gil Vicente after a quite lame performance. Gil Vicente were clear favorites in this match though – priced around 1.55 to win on the betting market.

Before the Gil Vicente Nacional were surprisingly good and beat Portimonense 2-0 as clear underdogs at home after a very solid defensive performance.. The match was, after all, more balanced than the final score suggests. Furthermore, they beat FC Porto B 4-0 but the result could probable not be much more misleading! Porto had close to 60% ball possession and also recorded more scoring attempts (13-7), attacks and dangerous attacks (87-43) It seems to me that the betting market has massively over-reacted to these results! Taking the substantial home advantage into accoubn I see this match as (50-50%) match without a favorite. This means my fans and I have a 67% chance to win with the recommended +0.5 goals handicap option. Nacional have managed to win just one of their latest five games away from home and even this win was achieved against a very small team Angrense 2-0 in the Portuguese Cup after a pretty lame performance. They were priced around 1.10 to win by the bookies. Nacional were pretty good last season but their level has dropped a lot this season . more than the bookies seem to realize.. Covilha did not have much of a chance to fight for the win in their most recent match and lost to Portimonense 0-2 away from home. They were big underdogs in this match though - the hosts were priced around 1.40 to win. Before this they were much better than expected and proved they have some potential taking a 2-2 draw at home against Gil Vicente after a somewhat balanced clash despite being priced around 7.00 to win! Furthermore, before this they could easily have beaten BSAD at home but it was a 1-1 draw..

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科维尔哈VS马德拉国家队

北京时间周四凌晨，科维利亚欢迎葡萄牙联赛杯第三轮在Estádio José桑托斯平托进行的比赛。一场势均力敌但不太可能是高水平的比赛。国民队在前两轮比赛中取得了一胜一负的成绩。他们的比分差是2:2。科维利亚一平一负，净胜球2比4。然而，两支球队之间并没有太大的区别-特别是在这场比赛中，几乎可以肯定这不是任何一支球队的主要优先级....两支球队都参加了葡甲联赛，本赛季的表现都令人失望，目前仅积6分排在最后，比分差为12:27。不，他们不是一支强队，但肯定比排名表上显示的要好，他们会从博彩公司那里获得更多的尊重。我相信他们真的有机会再次保级!就预期得分(xPTS)而言，他们应该得到比实际6分更多的分数。国民队在比赛的各个方面都有优势，但在进攻能力方面，差距很小。事实上，我对他们的进攻非常失望，到目前为止，他们在葡甲联赛中只进了13个球。他们最近在这方面有了一些进步，但没有最近的结果显示的那么多。在最近的一场比赛中，他们没有取得进球，在对阵吉尔维森特的比赛中，他们的表现相当糟糕，以0-2输掉了比赛。在这场比赛中，吉尔·维森特显然是最受欢迎的球员，他在博彩市场上的定价约为1.55美元。

在此之前，吉尔维森特国民队出人意料地表现出色，在主场2-0击败了波蒂莫内塞，在非常稳固的防守表现后，他们显然处于劣势。毕竟，这场比赛比最终比分所显示的更为平衡。此外，他们4-0击败波尔图B，但结果可能不会更误导!波尔图拥有近60%的控球率，并且记录了更多的得分尝试(13-7)，攻击和危险的攻击(87-43)。在我看来，博彩市场对这些结果反应过度了!考虑到巨大的主场优势，我认为这场比赛是(50-50%)没有最喜欢的比赛。这意味着我的粉丝和我有67%的机会赢得推荐的+0.5个进球的障碍选项。国民队在最近的五场客场比赛中只赢了一场，即使是这场胜利也是在葡萄牙杯对阵一支非常小的球队安格伦斯时取得的，当时他们的表现相当糟糕。博彩公司给出的中奖价格约为1.10美元。上赛季国家队的水平相当不错，但本赛季他们的水平下降了很多。比庄家们似乎意识到的还要多。在最近的一场比赛中，科维尔哈没有太多机会去争取胜利，在客场0-2输给了Portimonense。不过他们在这场比赛中处于绝对劣势——主队获胜的赔率约为1.40。在此之前，他们的表现比预期要好得多，并证明了他们有一定的潜力，他们在主场2-2战平了吉尔维森特，尽管比赛的定价在7.00左右!此外，在此之前，他们本可以在主场轻松击败BSAD，但结果是1-1战平。