Brescia VS Parma

Brescia welcome Parma for this Italian Serie B round 17 clash at Stadio Mario Rigamonti early Tuesday morning Beijing time. A pretty high-quality battle by Serie B standards is on the cards here.. The goal expectancy is, however, typically for his league relatively, low and the draw would certainly not surprise anyone. The probability for this result is 34%. The biggest, usually quite sharp bookmakers with the largest stake limits see Parma as favorites here. I cannot agree with this! With today's expected lineups I see Parma as the marginally stronger team, but the home advantage is substantial here! Brescia have suffered just one defeat so far this Serie B season at Stadio Mario Rigamonti in front of their enthusiastic fans. Parma, on the other hand, have taken all three points just just once on the road – on the 17th of September 2-0 over Ascoli.. Last season Brescia were much better than Parma and were very close to being promoted to the highest tier. Indeed, they finished in 5th place with 66 points. Parma ended up in 12th place with just 49 points in the pocket.

Parma are a traditional Serie A club and do have big financial resources and definitely have improved for this season but the betting market seems to have got carries away by them.. Their potential is clearly given too much emphasis at this point. This has led to over-valuation and we must must oppose them here. I see Brescia having a 38% chance to win. Parma still have a long way to go both on and off the pitch to before they can return to Serie A.. Their players' total market value at a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, is 56.95 million euros which is definitely too high! This might be one of the reason behind the too low odds on them in this match.. I would set the number at around 38-40 million.. At least four players are over-valued. The hosts squad has a listed market value of about 23 million which is a bit too low. Furthermore, Brescia play very well as a team and according to my sources have a good team spirit as well. It is, after all, a team effort as for example Croatia and especially Morocco have proved in Qatar in recent weeks! Many Parma players, on the other hand, often make a little selfish decisions on the pitch.

Brescia currently occupy the 6th place with 24 points and a goal difference of 19:20. I see them having a genuine chance of toppling at least two of the three teams placed above them in the standings – Bari, Genoa and Ternana to be precise - and making it it to the Promotion Semi-finals at the end of the season. Parma have grabbed 23 points so far but have a better goal difference than the hosts – 21:17. I expect them to fight for the promotion as well.. They have won just one and lost three – of their most recent five matches though. Indeed, they have been quire erratic this season. On a good day they can be very dangerous - mostly at home though.. The win came a month ago at their stadium over a pretty poor team Cittadella (16th place) 3-1 and the match was, in reality, a pretty balanced one. Cittadella were shaky in defense and Parma did well to capitalize on the scoring chances. In their most recent match they were disappointing and lost 0-1 at home to Benevento as clear favorites according to the bookies. Parma's Argentinian midfielder Franco Vazquez,33, even missed a penalty in the first half. Yes, Parma would have deserved a point but I was still disappointed that they could not level the score even after the visitors' Hamza El Kaouakibi was sent off some 15 minutes before the final whistle. Brescia have avoided the defeat in four of their most recent five games and would have deserved a win in their most recent match away from home against Cosenza. Indeed, they had close to 60% ball possession and created over 20 scoring attempts. Cosenza's number was 10. They also recorded more total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Even so, it was a 1-1 draw.

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布雷西亚VS帕尔马

北京时间周二凌晨，布雷西亚在马里奥里加蒙蒂球场迎接意甲第17轮的帕尔马。以意乙的标准来看，这是一场高质量的战斗。进球期望值对于他所在的联赛来说是相对较低的，平局当然不会让任何人感到惊讶。这个结果的概率是34%。最大的、通常相当精明的、有最大赌注限制的博彩公司认为帕尔马是最受欢迎的。我不同意!从今天的阵容来看，我认为帕尔马的实力略强，但主场优势在这里是相当大的!布雷西亚本赛季在马里奥里加蒙蒂球场，在他们热情的球迷面前只输了一场。另一方面，帕尔马只在9月17日2-0战胜阿斯科利的比赛中拿下了三分。上赛季布雷西亚比帕尔马强得多，并且非常接近升入顶级联赛。事实上，他们以66分排名第五。帕尔马仅积49分，排在第12位。

帕尔马是一家传统的意甲俱乐部，他们有雄厚的财力，而且在本赛季确实有所改善，但博彩市场似乎被他们冲昏了头脑。在这一点上，他们的潜力显然被过分强调了。这导致了高估，我们必须在这里反对他们。我认为布雷西亚有38%的机会获胜。帕尔马在球场内外都还有很长的路要走，才能重返意甲。他们球员在德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com上的总市值是5695万欧元，这绝对是太高了!这可能是他们在这场比赛中赔率过低的原因之一。我认为这个数字在3800万到4000万之间。至少有四名球员被高估了。这支东道主球队的市值约为2300万美元，这有点太低了。此外，布雷西亚作为一个团队踢得很好，根据我的消息来源，他们也有很好的团队精神。毕竟，这是一个团队的努力，例如克罗地亚，特别是摩洛哥最近几周在卡塔尔证明了这一点!另一方面，许多帕尔马球员在球场上经常做出一些自私的决定。

布雷西亚目前积24分，净胜球19:20，排名第6。我认为他们有真正的机会击败排名在他们之上的三支球队中的至少两支——确切地说，是巴里、热那亚和特尔纳纳——并在赛季结束后进入升级四强。帕尔马到目前为止已经拿到了23分，但净胜球比东道主要多——21:17。我希望他们也能争取升职。在最近的五场比赛中，他们只赢了一场，输了三场。事实上，他们本赛季的表现很不稳定。天气好的时候，它们可能非常危险——不过主要是在家里。一个月前，他们在主场以3:1战胜了实力相当差的奇特泰代拉(排名第16)，这场比赛实际上是一场相当平衡的比赛。奇泰代拉的防守不稳定，帕尔马很好地利用了进球机会。在最近的一场比赛中，他们令人失望，在主场0-1输给了贝内文托，据博彩公司称，他们是最受欢迎的球队。帕尔马33岁的阿根廷中场佛朗哥·巴斯克斯甚至在上半场罚丢了一个点球。是的，帕尔马应该得到一分，但我仍然对他们没有扳平比分感到失望，即使客队的哈姆扎·埃尔考阿基比在终场哨响前15分钟被罚下。布雷西亚在最近的5场比赛中有4场避免了失败，他们在最近的客场对阵科森扎的比赛中应该获得一场胜利。事实上，他们有近60%的控球率，创造了20多次得分机会。科森扎的数字是10。他们还记录了更多的总传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻。即便如此，双方还是打成了1-1平局。