More PROFIT from Portugal? 葡联杯博阿维斯VS吉马良斯
2022-12-13

Tapio

外籍分析师

葡联杯

12/13 04:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Boavista FC VS Vitoria Guimaraes

Boavista welcome Vitoria Guimaraes for this Portuguese League Cup round 3 battle at Estádio do Bessa Século XXI in Porto early Tuesday morning time. The hosts have had a strong start to this competition – much better than Guimaraes. Indeed, Boavista have taken two wins so far and have a score difference of 4:2. Guimaraes, on the other hand, have played two draws so far in this competition. In the opening round of League Cup match Boavista defeated BSAD 3-2 away from home despite the depressing start to the match. BSAD cruised to an early 2-0 lead through Pacheco's and Saramago's goals by the 24th minute. Boavista, however, showed awesome fighting spirit and true desire to do well in this competition scoring the goals in the second half! The win was a fully deserved one as Boavista had 60% ball possession and also recorded much more goal attempts, shots on goal, attacks, dangerous attacks and expected goals (xG). They were clear favorites in this match though. Today the biggest bookmakers with the largest betting limits see this as a very balanced match.. There is quite often some squad rotation in this competition, especially with the very best teams like Porto, Benfica, Sporting Lisbon and Braga which in many cases lead to even big odds movements near the kickoff.. In my view the hosts deserve to be solid favorites with around 44% chance to win with the expected lineups. A draw – with a probability of 32% - would be enough for my fans and me to win again betting on this competition that the bookies do not always seem to know very well..

In the second round of League Cup Boavista were not at their best offensively but still managed to take a 1-0 win at home over Vilafranquense who play in Liga Portugal2. It was a very solid defensive performance and Boavista allowed the visitors only two shots on goal. The hosts were priced around 1.85 to win that clash. Boavista have avoid a defeat on five of their most recent matches at Estádio do Bessa Século XXI. Whilst a big number of fans are not expected in this match the home advantage is definitely still there. There have been a quite high % of home wins in the League Cup this season. Furthermore, Boavista faced a quite strong much bigger team by players' total market value, Spanish Celta Vigo five days ago in a friendly and managed to take a 1-1 draw as very clear underdogs according to the bookies. Vitoria Guimaraes have won just one of their latest five games during the 90 minutes of play. On the 9th of November they did defeat Vizela in a Portuguese match 2-1 in the extra time after a somewhat disappointing performance. In their most recent match they were priced below 1.40 to win at home against BSAD but once again did not meet the expectations and it was a 2-2 draw. Guimaraes were the better team on the pitch though but not by a wide margin. They allowed the visitors too many promising scoring chances and many of their players looked quite lazy at times.. In Liga Portugal Guimaraes have been better than Boavista but not as much as the standings would reflect! The League cup is surely not the main priority for either team but I believe the hosts to be more motivated today. Vitoria Guimaraes must have their focus on taking toppling Casa Pia and a spot in the UEFA Europa League qualification next season. These two teams have the same number of points - 23 – but Guimaraes's number of expected points is just 19.64. They are not that much behind Braga and Sporting who occupy the 3rd and 4th place but I do not see them having a true chance to challenge these clubs..

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

博阿维斯塔VS维多利亚吉马良斯

博阿维斯塔欢迎维多利亚吉马aes参加这场葡萄牙联赛杯第三轮战斗,Estádio do Bessa Século XXI周二凌晨在波尔图举行。东道主在这次比赛中有一个强有力的开端,比吉马良斯好得多。事实上,博阿维斯塔到目前为止已经取得了两场胜利,比分差距为4:2。另一方面,吉马良斯队到目前为止在这场比赛中打了两场平局。在联赛杯首轮比赛中,博阿维斯塔在主场3-2击败了BSAD,尽管比赛开局令人沮丧。凭借帕切科和萨拉马戈的进球,BSAD在第24分钟以2-0领先。然而,博阿维斯塔表现出了令人敬畏的战斗精神和真正的渴望,在这场比赛中取得好成绩,在下半场进球!这场胜利是完全应得的,因为博阿维斯塔有60%的控球率,并且记录了更多的进球尝试、射门、进攻、危险进攻和预期进球(xG)。不过,他们在这场比赛中显然是最受欢迎的。今天,拥有最大投注限额的最大博彩公司认为这是一场非常平衡的比赛。在这项比赛中,经常会有一些阵容轮换,特别是像波尔图、本菲卡、里斯本竞技和布拉加这样的最好的球队,在很多情况下,这甚至会导致开球前的赔率变化。在我看来,根据预期的阵容,东道主应该是最受欢迎的球队,大约有44%的机会获胜。一场平局——有32%的概率——足以让我的粉丝和我在这场博彩公司似乎并不总是很了解的比赛中再次获胜。

在联赛杯的第二轮比赛中,博阿维斯塔的进攻并不是最好的,但他们仍然在主场1-0战胜了在葡萄牙甲级联赛踢球的维拉弗兰昆斯。这是一场非常稳固的防守,博阿维斯塔只让客队两次射门。东道主赢得这场比赛的定价在1.85左右。博阿维斯塔在最近的五场比赛中避免了一场失败Estádio do Bessa Século XXI。虽然在这场比赛中不会有很多球迷,但主场优势仍然存在。本赛季联赛杯的主场胜率相当高。此外,博阿维斯塔在五天前的一场友谊赛中遭遇了一支实力强大,球员总市值更大的球队,西班牙塞尔塔维戈,根据博彩公司的说法,他们以1-1战平了比分。在90分钟的比赛中,维多利亚吉马良斯队在最近的五场比赛中只赢了一场。11月9日,在与葡萄牙的比赛中,他们在加时赛中2-1击败了维泽拉,尽管表现有些令人失望。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场击败BSAD的价格低于1.40,但再次没有达到预期,最终以2-2战平。虽然吉马良斯在场上表现更好,但差距并不大。他们给了客队太多有希望的得分机会,而且他们的许多球员有时看起来相当懒惰。在葡萄牙的西甲联赛中,吉马良斯的表现比博阿维斯塔要好,但没有积分榜所反映的那么好!联赛杯当然不是两支球队的首要任务,但我相信东道主今天会更有动力。维多利亚吉马aes必须集中精力击败卡萨皮亚,并在下赛季获得欧联杯资格。这两支球队的积分相同,都是23分,但吉马aes的预期积分只有19.64分。他们与排名第三和第四的布拉加和里斯本竞技并没有太大的差距,但我不认为他们有真正的机会挑战这些俱乐部。


观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。