A FINE match to bet on! 西乙桑坦德竞技VS米兰德斯
2022-12-12

Tapio

外籍分析师

西乙

12/12 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Racing Santander VS Mirandes

Racing Santander host Mirandes for this LaLiga2 clash at Estadio El Sardinero early Monday morning Beijing time. The biggest, usually quite sharp bookmakers see the hosts as solid favorites and offer odds around 2.25 for them to take all three points. I must, however, disagree with the betting market.! A pretty low-level even by LaLiga2 standards is on the cards here, I'm afraid.. For entertainment there are better matches to watch.. Typically for this league the number of expected goals is low – I would set the number at just 1.84. The probability of a draw is high – 35%. This would bring my fans and me a winner with the recommended bet +0.5 goal handicap option on Mirandes. The chance of winning is 67% Mirandes are definitely the better team here - but not by a wide margin though-. In fact, defensively the hosts do have an edge. The home advantage makes them the favorites – but only very slim in my view.. They have won just one of their latest 12 home matches and lost two of the latest games at Estadio El Sardinero without scoring! They are currently in the 20th place in this league with a total of 22 teams. They have grabbed 18 points but have, quite amazingly, scored just nine goals! This is the lowest number in LaLiga2! Even the rock-bottom team, Ibiza, how netted the ball 14 times. Santander have looked totally useless offensively in most matches. Their strikers do not seem to have the skills to score enough goals at this level.. Their offense has lacked structure, speed and creativity – basically everything needed to score! However, in terms of expected goals they would have deserved a little more.. They can surely improve gradually – but probably not that much, I believe They were promoted to this level for this season and I would not be too surprised too see them going back to the third tier for next season..

The hosts' defense has been quite solid though and I expect them too be quite defensive again here - even in front of their often frustrated fans.. They have now lost four matches in a row and seem to be low in confidence which, of course, makes scoring increasingly difficult. I would guess even a draw In their most recent games Lugo took all three points at Estadio El Sardinero as clear underdogs, priced close to 5.00 to win by the bookmakers. A very lame performance by Santander. Before this, they were defeated by Burgos also at home (0-1). Burgos have been surprisingly strong this season but Santander were clear favorites in this match as well. Indeed, the betting market respects them way too much! Mirandes' offense is massively better than that of Santander and they have scored 21 goals. The problem has been the somewhat shaky defense – they have allowed 25 goals, which is more than the number of expected goals allowed (xGA) of 21.88 though.. However, they can surely improve in this area as the season progresses.. They have 20 points to their account and have lost just two of their latest 10 games and have improved a lot recently. The bookies do not seem to have fully recognized this. In their most recent match they faced Levante, a pretty good team, away from home and grabbed a point through a 2-2 draw. Levante were the slightly better team on the pitch though.. Before this their offense was absolutely on fire and they swept past Albacete 4-2 at home! Let's remember that Albacate are not a bad team at all and are currently in 13th place with 26 points.

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桑坦德竞技VS米兰达斯

北京时间周一凌晨,桑坦德竞技将在撒丁罗球场主场迎战米兰斯。规模最大、通常相当精明的博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的,并为他们提供2.25左右的赔率,让他们拿下三分。然而,我必须反对博彩市场。我担心,即使按照LaLiga2的标准,这也是相当低水平的。就娱乐而言,有更好的比赛可看。一般来说,这个联赛的预期进球数很低——我认为只有1.84个。平局的概率很高——35%。这将给我的粉丝和我带来一个获胜者,推荐的赌注+0.5个进球障碍选项的米兰达斯。赢球的几率是67%,米兰绝对是更好的球队,但差距并不大。事实上,东道主在防守上确实有优势。主场优势让他们更受欢迎——但在我看来只是微乎其微。他们在最近的12场主场比赛中只赢了一场,最近在撒丁罗球场输了两场比赛都没有进球!他们目前在联赛中排名第20位,共有22支球队。他们拿到了18分,但令人惊讶的是,他们只进了9个球!这是LaLiga2中最低的数字!即使是排名垫底的伊比沙队,也有14次得分。桑坦德在大多数比赛中都表现得毫无进攻能力。他们的前锋似乎没有足够的技术在这个级别进球。他们的进攻缺乏结构、速度和创造力——基本上是得分所需要的一切!然而,就预期目标而言,他们应该得到更多。他们肯定会逐渐提高,但可能不会有那么多,我相信他们是在这个赛季升到这个级别的,如果他们下赛季回到第三梯队,我也不会太惊讶。

主队的防守相当稳固,我预计他们在这里也会防守得很好——即使是在他们经常感到沮丧的球迷面前。他们现在已经连续输了四场比赛,信心似乎很低,当然,这使得进球变得越来越困难。在他们最近的几场比赛中,卢戈在撒丁罗球场拿下了全部三分,当时他们明显处于劣势,博彩公司对他们的赔率接近5.00。桑坦德银行的表现很差劲。在此之前,他们也在主场被布尔戈斯击败(0-1)。布尔戈斯本赛季出人意料地强大,但桑坦德在这场比赛中也是最受欢迎的。事实上,博彩市场太尊重他们了!米兰的进攻比桑坦德的要好得多,他们已经进了21个球。问题是他们的防守有些不稳定——他们已经失球25个,这比预期的失球数(xGA) 21.88还要多。然而,随着赛季的进展,他们肯定会在这方面有所提高。他们已经拿到了20分,在最近的10场比赛中只输了两场,最近进步了很多。博彩公司似乎还没有完全认识到这一点。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在客场对阵莱万特,这是一支相当不错的球队,他们通过2-2的平局拿到了一分。尽管莱万特在场上表现稍好一些。在此之前,他们的进攻绝对如火如荼,他们在主场4-2横扫阿尔巴塞特!让我们记住,Albacate不是一支糟糕的球队,目前以26分排名第13位。


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