In my opinion QPR have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

QPR have good mental advantage as they didn't lost any of last 4 matches at home against Burnley.

QPR is really solid team at home, in current season they didn't lost in 7 of 10 home matches. In last home game they lost against Huddersfield 1:2, but that wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for QPR 2.48, for Huddersfield 1.33. If they continue to play on this level, I see good opportunity to bounce back on good track.

On the other hand Burnley is not so strong on away - failed to win in 6 of 10 matches on the road. In current season they overperforming in attack: 40 goals scored, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 29. Today they will play without key offensive player Zarouy (4 goals). In addition to that best scorer Rodriguez (9 goals) is very doubtful for this game.

On those circumstances I see good value on home side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，QPR在今天的比赛中至少有一分的机会。

QPR有很好的心理优势，因为他们在最近4场主场对阵伯恩利的比赛中没有输过一场。

QPR在主场是一支非常稳固的球队，本赛季他们在主场10场比赛中有7场没有输球。在上一场主场比赛中，他们1:2输给了哈德斯菲尔德，但这根本不是应得的结果:QPR的预期进球数为2.48，哈德斯菲尔德的预期进球数为1.33。如果他们继续保持这样的水平，我认为他们有很好的机会重回正轨。

另一方面，伯恩利在客场表现不佳，10场客场比赛中有6场没有赢球。本赛季他们在进攻端表现出色:进了40球，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该进29球。今天他们将没有关键进攻球员扎鲁伊(4球)。除此之外，最佳射手罗德里格斯(9球)在这场比赛中的表现也很不确定。

在这种情况下，我看到了主场的良好价值。