In my opinion Blackpool have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Odds on hosts raised up too much from opening lines and now I see excellent value on home side.

Blackpool have good mental advantage as they didn't lost in 5 of last 6 home league matches against Birmingham. In previous season Blackpool won 6:1 here against them!

Both teams have very similar potential in attack. Blackpool scored 24 goals so far, according to the expected goals scored model they should score 22.9. Birmingham scored 23 and according to the expected goals scored model they should score exactly 23 goals.

Blackpool have one new absence for this game - defender Marvin Ekpiteta is unavailable. On the other hand Birmingham two the best players in current season (two central midfielders) Bielik and Mejbri are very doubtful for this game. Low chances for their start from first minute.

If You look on the bigger picture - it's always so very logical to bet against Birmingham when they are on the road. Birmingham failed to win in 41 of last 56 away matches in Championship (!).

I see value on home side and I don't agree with market movement here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，布莱克浦很有机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

主机的赔率从开头就上升了太多，现在我看到了主场的绝佳价值。

布莱克浦有很好的心理优势，因为他们在最近6场主场对阵伯明翰的比赛中有5场没有输球。在上个赛季，布莱克浦在这里以6:1战胜了他们!

两支球队的进攻潜力非常相似。到目前为止，布莱克浦进了24个球，根据预期进球数模型，他们应该进22.9球。伯明翰进了23球，根据预期进球数模型，他们应该正好进23球。

本场比赛布莱克浦又有一个人缺阵——后卫马文·埃克皮塔缺阵。另一方面，伯明翰本赛季最好的两名球员(两名中场中锋)贝利克和梅杰布里在这场比赛中表现不佳。从第一分钟开始，他们的首发机会很低。

如果你从大局来看——当伯明翰队在客场时，打赌他们输是非常合理的。伯明翰在过去56场客场比赛中有41场没有赢球!

我看到了国内的价值，我不同意这里的市场波动。