A GREAT match to bet on! 葡联杯法马利康VS通德拉
2022-12-09

Tapio

外籍分析师

葡联杯

12/10 04:45

已完赛

解读理由:

FC Famalicao VS CD Tondela

Famalicao host Tondela for this Portuguese League Cup round 4 clash at Estadio Municipal de Famalicao in Vila Nova de Famalicao. Howerver, in reality both teams have only played so far in this competition. Famalicao have definitely been disappointing in this competition so far and it is high time for them to win if to fight for the top position in the group – and consequently qualify for the play offs.. A draw would not satisfy them and I believe they will be quite aggressive and take risks if they score is level late into the second half. Luckily for the hosts Tondela are not very good on counter attacks.. Famalicao have taken just one point so far in League Cup. However, they would have deserved more points. In their most recent match against Torreense away from home they were not at their best though and eventually lost 0-1. Their offense was lame in this game – lacking especially speed but also creativity. However, they did have 57% ball possession and did record more attacks and dangerous attacks. It seems to betting market has reacted too heavily to this weak performance and the odds on Famalicao are too high here! I see them having a 65% chance to win. Before the Torreense game they would have deserved a win at home against Academico Viseu at home after 65% ball possession and recording more scoring chances, shots on goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. Even so, it was a 1-1 draw which made some of home fans quite angry. Let's remember that A. Viseu are a slightly better team than Tondela. We must not forget that Famalicao do, after all, play at the highest tier and their players total market value according to Transfermarkt.com is close to 40 million – many times more than that of Tondela. Famalicao have taken 11 points and are in the 15th place in Liga Portugal but their number of expected points (xPTS) is higher - 13.21. I see them having potential to finish in the top-10 if they can improve their attacking.. Last season, they finished 8th with 39 points. There has been – and probably will be also in the future – quite a lot of squad rotating in the League Cup which in part explains the sometimes heavy odds movements. However, today Famalicao's coach is expected to field a competitive starting eleven..

Tondela were a little disappointing in their most recent match at home against Torreense as clear favorites according to the bookies. It was a 1-1 draw and a somewhat balanced battle. Tondela did record more scoring attempts and shot on goal but the visitors recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks and were quite dominant at times in the second half. Tondela were relegated from Liga Portugal to Liga Portugal2 for this season. It was definitely not a very good season. They took a total of 28 points last season. At the moment Tondela are in 10th place with 18 points – definitely a big disappointment for them.In terms of xPTS they would have deserved more though – 22.85 points to be precise.Their offense has, however, lacked some speed, creativity and structure and their do not seem to have much potential for improvement in this area of the game unless they buy new players.. Neither team are in good form results-wise but Tondela have not won any of their eight most recent games and have failed to score more than once in all of these eight matches! They will surely struggle to break Famalicao's defense here..

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法马利考VS唐德拉

法马利考主场迎战通德拉队,葡萄牙联赛杯第4轮比赛将在新法马利考的法马利考市政体育场进行。然而,实际上两支球队都只参加了目前的比赛。到目前为止,法马利科的表现确实令人失望,如果他们想要争夺小组头名,那么现在是时候赢了,从而获得附加赛的资格。平局不会让他们满意,我相信他们会很有侵略性,如果他们的比分在下半场接近尾声时持平,他们会冒险。幸运的是,Tondela并不擅长反击。到目前为止,法马利科在联赛杯中只拿到了一分。然而,他们应该得到更多的分数。在最近客场对阵托雷内斯的比赛中,他们并没有发挥出最好的状态,最终以0-1的比分输掉了比赛。他们的进攻在这场比赛中很差劲——尤其缺乏速度,但也缺乏创造力。然而,他们确实有57%的控球率,并且记录了更多的进攻和危险进攻。似乎博彩市场对这种疲软的表现反应过度,对法马利科的赔率太高了!我觉得他们有65%的机会赢。在与托雷塞的比赛之前,他们本应在主场对阵维苏学院的比赛中取得一场胜利,因为他们拥有65%的控球率,并且记录了更多的进球机会、射门、进攻和危险的进攻。即便如此,这场1比1的平局还是让一些主场球迷非常愤怒。让我们记住a. Viseu是一支比Tondela稍强的队伍。我们不能忘记法马里科毕竟是顶级球员,根据Transfermarkt.com的数据,他们球员的总市值接近4000万美元,比通德拉高出许多倍。法马利科已经获得11分,在西甲葡萄牙排名第15位,但他们的期望积分(xPTS)更高,为13.21分。如果他们能提高进攻水平,我认为他们有潜力进入前十。上赛季,他们以39分排名第八。在联赛杯中,球队阵容轮换的次数很多,这在一定程度上解释了有时赔率变动很大的原因。然而,今天法马利考的教练预计会派出一个有竞争力的首发11人。

在最近的主场对阵托雷塞的比赛中,汤德拉的表现有些令人失望。这是一场1比1的平局,可以说是一场势均力敌的比赛。Tondela确实记录了更多的进球尝试和射门,但客队记录了更多的进攻和危险的进攻,在下半场的一些时候占据了主导地位。本赛季,通德拉从葡萄牙甲级联赛降级至葡萄牙甲级联赛。这绝对不是一个很好的赛季。上赛季他们一共得到28分。目前,通德拉以18分排在第10位,这对他们来说绝对是一个很大的失望。就xPTS而言,他们应该得到更多——准确地说是22.85分。然而,他们的进攻缺乏速度、创造力和结构,除非他们购买新球员,否则他们在这方面似乎没有太大的提升潜力。这两支球队的状态都不佳,但Tondela在最近的八场比赛中没有赢过一场,而且在这八场比赛中不止一次没有进球!他们肯定很难攻破法马利科的防线。


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