Big bet! 4 in a row! 世界杯克罗地亚VS巴西
2022-12-09

Rafa

足球分析师

世界杯

12/09 23:00

已完赛

解读理由:

I don't see how Brazil doesn't win this game and I'll explain. My bet for this game is -1 to 1.6 and I'm going to bet really big.

As you know I follow Brazil very closely, I see their news every day. For them the only possible result is to win the World Cup, any other result is not enough. Players have made choices over the last few years to come here at full strength. They had some injuries like Danilo, A. Sandro and Neymar. But Danilo and Neymar are back for the match against Korea and A. Sandro is back for this game. So they will be at the maximum possible strength. They improve a lot with Neymar on the field, because they no longer depend on him alone. Opponents are very concerned about scoring and leave spaces for players like Vinicius Junior, Paqueta or Raphinha. And Richarlison is playing absurdly, he's super confident, he smells like a goal as they say here in Portugal. Defensively there is not much to say, for me they are the best team in that regard. Casemiro is the best defensive midfielder in the world and the defense has the best players in the world and they are very experienced. Tite is a coach who cares a lot about the team defensively and so they are very strong. Opponents are unable to create goal chances.

Croatia is a team at the end of the cycle, for them it's already very good to have managed to reach the quarterfinals. In 2018, with an enthusiastic generation, they surprised the world by reaching the final, but some of those players have already retired and those who stayed are 4 years older. No great players have appeared for the replacements, the only one that has me excited is defender Gvardiol. Their forte is the midfield with Brozovic, Kovacic and Modrid. The whole game goes through them and the rest of the team is of banal quality. As Dalic (coach) said, in 2018 they had strikers who played for AC Milan and Juventos and now they have strikers who play for Dinamo Zagreb and Hajduk Split. This demonstrates how the team has become weaker in technical terms.

In addition to the ambition and difference in the technical quality of the teams, there is another factor that makes me believe a lot in Brazil's victory. The physical conditions of the teams. Brazil rested the starters in the last game of the group stage and in the round of 16 at halftime they already won 4-0 and managed the team physically in the second half. Croatia on the other hand had 2 battles in the last games. The first with Belgium and the round of 16 with Japan in which they were extra time. The team is very tired physically, in a competition like this one pays dearly and the main player, L. Modric, is on his knees.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我不明白巴西怎么会赢不了这场比赛,我会解释的。我对这场比赛的赌注是-1到1.6,我要下很大的赌注。

如你所知,我非常关注巴西,我每天都看他们的新闻。对他们来说,唯一可能的结果就是赢得世界杯,其他任何结果都是不够的。球员们在过去的几年里做出了选择,全力以赴来到这里。他们有一些伤病,比如达尼洛、桑德罗和内马尔。但达尼洛和内马尔将在对阵韩国的比赛中复出,桑德罗将在本场比赛中复出。所以他们会在最大可能的强度。有了内马尔在场上,他们进步了很多,因为他们不再只依赖他一个人。对手非常关注得分,给维尼修斯、帕奎塔或拉芬哈这样的球员留下了空间。理查利森踢得很荒谬,他超级自信,就像葡萄牙人说的,他闻起来像一个进球。防守方面没什么可说的,在我看来,他们是最好的球队。卡塞米罗是世界上最好的防守型中场,球队的后防线上有世界上最好的球员,他们都很有经验。蒂特是一个非常关心球队防守的教练,所以他们非常强大。对手无法创造进球机会。

克罗地亚是一支处于周期末端的球队,对他们来说,能够进入四分之一决赛已经很不错了。2018年,在热情的一代球员的带领下,他们闯入了决赛,震惊了世界,但其中一些球员已经退役,留下的球员年龄大了4岁。没有伟大的球员出现在替补阵容中,唯一让我兴奋的是后卫格瓦迪奥尔。他们的强项是中场有布罗佐维奇、科瓦契奇和莫德。整款游戏都经历了这些挑战,而团队的其他成员的质量却很平庸。正如达利奇(教练)所说,2018年他们有效力于AC米兰和尤文图斯的前锋,现在他们有效力于萨格勒布迪纳摩和斯普利特的前锋。这表明这个团队在技术方面变得越来越弱。

除了两支球队的野心和技术水平的差异,还有一个因素让我对巴西的胜利充满信心。球队的身体状况。巴西队在小组赛的最后一场比赛中让首发球员休息,在16强赛的半场比赛中,他们已经以4-0获胜,并在下半场对球队进行了身体上的控制。另一方面,克罗地亚在上一场比赛中有2场战斗。第一次对阵比利时,16强对阵日本,他们被加时赛淘汰。球队的身体非常疲惫,在这样的比赛中付出了高昂的代价,主要球员莫德里奇(L. Modric)跪在地上。


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