A fine match to bet on! 西乙韦斯卡VS安道尔FC
2022-12-08

Tapio

外籍分析师

西乙

12/08 02:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Huesca VS Andorra

Huesca welcome Andorra for this LaLiga2 clash at Estadio El Alcoraz. A pretty balanced and quite good level match by this league standards is expected here. Many goals being scorered, however, is not probable here. The biggest bookmakers with the biggest stake limits see estimate the number of expected goals being below 2 – I agree! The probability of a draw is exceptionally high – even by LaLiga standards – 36%. Huesca have had massive offensive problems this season and they have netted the ball just 15 goals in this league so far. Even Ponferradina, in the 20th place in this league with a total of 22 goals have scored more goals. They play extremely defensive, often even defensive football even in front of their own fans. The home crowd has at time been quite frustrated with the way Huesca play – often intentionally – but also with the lack of creativity, offensivensive structure and passing accuracy and speed near the opponent's goal. The defensive style of play, howeverm seems to be the only way to score pointd, at least against good teams. Furthermore, there has been more than one goal scored in just one of their most recent home games! Their defense has been quite solid so far – they have conceded 14 goals in this league - but worryingly for them has looked more shaky inrecent weeks. Indeed, they have allowed eight goals in their latest four games – two of these against a small club Torremolinos away from home in a Copa del Rey 1/64-finals clash.

Huesca currently occupy the 11th place in the standings with 24 points in the bank. However, in terms of expected points (xPTS)they would have deserved just 21 points.. Last season they finished in 13th place with 54 points to their account. I rate them only as the 16 best team in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. They have not won any of their latest four games – losing three of these four. In their most recent match they were massively dominated by Eibar away from home despite losing just 1-2. The hosts had close to 70% ball possession and much more scoring attempts, shots on goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Andorra, on the other hand were promoted from Primera RFEF for this season and have been better than expected! The bookies still do not seem to respect them too much. They have really impresses me – especially their offense has been more creative than I estimated in my in-depth preseason analysis. They have scored 20 goals and taken 27 points. Their xPTS is 29. With today's expected lineups they deserve to be solid favorites and with the recommended handicap we have a 74% chance of winning. They have won five of their latest seven games!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

韦斯卡VS安道尔

韦斯卡欢迎安道尔在阿尔科拉兹球场迎战西甲联赛。以这个联赛的标准来看,这是一场相当平衡和相当高水平的比赛。然而,很多进球都是不可能的。最大的博彩公司和最大的赌注限制看到估计的预期进球数低于2 -我同意!即使按照西甲联赛的标准,平局的概率也非常高——36%。韦斯卡本赛季的进攻出现了严重的问题,到目前为止,他们在联赛中只进了15个球。即使是在联赛中排名第20位的庞费拉迪纳也打进了22球。他们踢得非常防守,甚至在自己的球迷面前也经常踢防守足球。主队球迷有时对韦斯卡的打法感到失望——通常是故意的——但同时也对韦斯卡缺乏创造力、进攻结构、传球的准确性和速度感到失望。然而,防守风格似乎是得分的唯一方法,至少对强队是这样。此外,他们在最近的一场主场比赛中就有不止一个进球!到目前为止,他们的防守相当稳固——他们在联赛中丢了14个球——但令人担忧的是,他们在最近几周看起来更加不稳定。事实上,他们在最近的四场比赛中丢了8球——其中两场是在国王杯1/64决赛客场对阵小俱乐部托雷莫里诺斯。

韦斯卡目前以24分排在积分榜第11位。然而,就预期得分(xPTS)而言,他们只应该得到21分。上赛季他们以54分排名第13位。在我的实力评分中,我只把他们评为16支最好的球队,这反映了球队的纯粹水平。在最近的四场比赛中,他们一场也没赢——这四场输了三场。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们在客场被埃巴尔严重压制,尽管他们只输了1-2。东道主的控球率接近70%,进球次数、射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都要多得多。另一方面,安道尔本赛季从西甲RFEF升级,表现比预期的要好!博彩公司似乎仍然不太尊重他们。他们真的给我留下了深刻的印象,尤其是他们的进攻比我在季前赛深度分析中估计的更有创造力。他们已经进了20个球,拿到了27分。他们的xPTS是29。根据今天预期的阵容,他们应该是最受欢迎的,根据推荐的不利条件,我们有74%的机会获胜。他们在最近的七场比赛中赢了五场!


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