In my opinion Croatia have bigger chances to win than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. I see really good value here.

Croatia is very experienced team, they played in big final 4 years ago. They looked very organised at the back - in three group matches they conceded only one goal, at the start of the game against Canada, but they showed big mental strength as they bounced back in great style in that game and won 4:1 at the end of the day.

On the other hand Japan had a lot of luck in this tournament. In first match they won 2:1 against Germany, but that wasn't deserved result at all: Germany had 26 shots and 3.09 expected goals scored. In second match Japan recorded poor loss 0:1 against Costa Rica (opponents scored one goal from 4 shots..). In deciding match Japan won 2:1 against Spain, but Spain had guaranteed place into knockout stage and had full control in this game (only 18% of ball possession for Japan).

Croatia have Modric from Real Madrid in the middle zone. Japan in three group matches had 32.3% average ball possession so I'm sure he will be able to control the ball. That should make big difference in today's game.

Japan in their history played 4 times at this stage of tournament, but they never progressed into quarter final and I see continuation of this streak also today. Croatia is more experienced and more complete team. That should be visible on the pitch today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，克罗地亚获胜的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。我觉得这很有价值。

克罗地亚是一支非常有经验的球队，他们4年前参加过决赛。他们在后防线上看起来很有组织——在小组赛的三场比赛中，他们只丢了一个球，在对阵加拿大的比赛中，但他们展示了强大的精神力量，在那场比赛中他们以出色的风格反弹，并在当天结束时以4:1取胜。

另一方面，日本队在这次比赛中运气很好。在第一场比赛中，他们以2:1战胜了德国队，但这根本不是一个值得的结果:德国队有26次射门，预期进球数为3.09个。在第二场比赛中，日本队0:1惨败哥斯达黎加(对手4次射门进1球)。在决胜战中，日本队以2:1的比分战胜了西班牙队，但西班牙队已经确保了进入淘汰赛阶段的资格，并且在这场比赛中拥有完全的控制权(日本队只有18%的控球率)。

克罗地亚有来自皇马的莫德里奇在中路。日本队在三场小组赛中平均控球率为32.3%，所以我相信他能够控制住球。这对今天的比赛有很大的影响。

日本历史上参加过4次这个阶段的比赛，但他们从未进入过四分之一决赛，我今天也看到了这种连胜的延续。克罗地亚是一支更有经验、更完整的球队。这在今天的球场上应该可以看到。