He is a top man, but to properly shine like he does in Barcelona he needs not only the ball, but also supportive players in the attacking zone and now he has neither.

Even if he is he is not going to the ball in this match either. He only had a few touches of the ball in the whole match v Argentina, and I do see France fully outplaying to clumsy and slowish poles who will have big problems even entering the attacking half in a controlled way.

The goal expectation stats of the Argentina game are a sorry sight, Argentina should has scored 4, Poland in total managed to create worth 0.3 goals, and I except similar numbers today.

Yes, France lost to Tunisia their final round game, but they had already qualified, and did make 9 substitutions to starting lineup.

In the previous matches the scorelines were well in line with the xG-data, so France have more than 3 goals worth of xG per game v opponents more or less equal, or even better than Poland of today, and you have the feeling that there is a lot more in storage. Having been rested last round the first choice lineup is fresh and hungry, meanwhile, Poland ran behind the ball throughout the game v Argentina and were stressed out until the very end.

The clearly outstanding Polish player so far has been keeper Scheczny - I write this wrong everytime - but he can not win matches on his own.

The handicap?

Of course only the win counts and I would definitely not take a higher handicap here than -1.5 for a lot bigger price. Yet, France do know that a lead by 1 goal is not much, it is not easy to defend, and any random action can lead to an equalizer, so I believe that France are not easing up until they have a 2 or 3 goal lead.

The head to head history does not support the idea of a big win, but the class and form and especially the rest are so much in favour of France that I am confident on this one.

No injury worries, Griezmann will pass, Mbappe will run and score.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

他是一个顶级球员，但要像在巴塞罗那那样闪耀，他不仅需要球权，还需要进攻区支持他的球员，而现在他两者都没有。

即使他是，他在这场比赛中也不会有机会。在整个对阵阿根廷的比赛中，他只有几次触球机会，我确实认为法国队完全击败了笨拙而缓慢的波兰人，波兰人即使以可控的方式进入进攻半场也会有很大的问题。

阿根廷比赛的进球预期数据令人遗憾，阿根廷应该进4球，波兰总共创造了0.3球，我今天看到了类似的数据。

是的，法国队在最后一轮比赛中输给了突尼斯队，但是他们已经出线了，并且在首发阵容中换了9人。

在之前的比赛中，得分与xG数据非常一致，所以法国队在对阵对手时，每场比赛xG值超过3个，与现在的波兰队差不多，甚至更好，你会觉得他们有更多的储备。在上一轮的休息之后，波兰的主力阵容显得又新鲜又饥饿。与此同时，波兰队在对阵阿根廷的比赛中一直在球后跑动，直到比赛结束都处于紧张状态。

迄今为止，最杰出的波兰球员是守门员舍茨尼——我每次都写错了——但他不能凭一己之力赢得比赛。

障碍?

当然，只有胜利才算数，我绝对不会在这里以更大的代价接受高于-1.5的障碍。然而，法国队知道1球的领先并不多，防守并不容易，任何随机的动作都可能导致扳平，所以我相信法国队不会放松，直到他们有2或3球的领先。

面对面的历史并不支持大胜的想法，但级别和形式，特别是其他的都非常支持法国，所以我对这场比赛很有信心。

不用担心受伤，格列兹曼会传球，姆巴佩会跑动得分。