In my opinion Netherlands have bigger chances to win than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Netherlands have good record against USA as they won 4 of 5 matches against them. They have also fantastic record against non-European at World Cup as they didn't lost in 19 such matches in a row. On the other hand USA failed to win in 20 of last 23 World Cup matches against teams from Europe (13 losses in the process). USA lost all 3 matches against European teams in knockout stage.

Netherlands coming for this game with the strongest possible line up. They not looked superb in group stage, but won the group - that was the most important thing. Netherlands conceded only one goal in group stage, but they are dangerous upfront - Gakpo scored in all three matches and for sure he wants to make history and be first player to score in first 4 matches for Netherlands at World Cup. Netherlands also have big experience at the bench. Louis Van Gaal didn't lost any of 10 World Cup matches with Netherlands (7 wins in the process).

USA passed group stage, they conceded only one goal, but that wasn't deserved result at all. According to the expected goals scored model they should concede 2.72. On the other hand they have big concerns in offensive formation: two key offensive players Sargent and Pulisic (1 goal and 1 assist). That should be very problematic - USA in group stage only 2 goals and Pulisic was involved twice.

All in all, I believe Netherlands is underrated here. They deserve to be bigger fav.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，荷兰队获胜的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

荷兰队在与美国队的5场比赛中赢了4场，战绩不错。他们在世界杯对阵非欧洲国家的比赛中也有惊人的记录，因为他们在19场这样的比赛中没有输过。另一方面，美国队在世界杯上与欧洲球队的23场比赛中有20场没有获胜(其中13场输了)。美国队在淘汰赛阶段全部输掉了与欧洲球队的3场比赛。

荷兰队带着最强的阵容来参加这场比赛。他们在小组赛中看起来并不出色，但却赢得了小组第一——这才是最重要的。荷兰队在小组赛中只丢了一个球，但他们在前场很危险——加克波在三场比赛中都有进球，他当然希望创造历史，成为荷兰在世界杯前4场比赛中第一个进球的球员。荷兰队在替补席上也有丰富的经验。范加尔在与荷兰队的10场世界杯比赛中没有输过一场(其中7场胜利)。

美国队通过了小组赛，他们只丢了一个球，但这根本不是应有的结果。根据预期进球数模型，他们应该失球2.72个。另一方面，他们在进攻阵型上有很大的问题:两个关键的进攻球员萨金特和普利西奇(1球1助攻)。这应该是非常有问题的——美国在小组赛中只进了2球，普利西奇两次被牵扯进来。

总之，我认为荷兰在这方面被低估了。他们应该得到更大的青睐。