FREE PICK! 世界杯塞尔维亚VS瑞士
2022-12-03

Tapio

外籍分析师

世界杯

12/03 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Serbia VS Switzerland

Serbia and Switzerland lock horns in this Group G battle at Stadium 974 in Doha early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the final round of group stage and stakes are sky-high! The situation goin into this game is pretty straight forward. There is also some extra tension in the match because of a match played in some years ago and some other things done by the Serbs recently.. The main thing behind this tension is the bad relationship between Serbia and Kosovo. There are players with Kosovo Albanian descent playing for Switzerland – Xhaka and Shaqiri. I would not be at all surprised to see heated events, many cards - perhaps even a red card in this clash. Serbia need to win to - otherwise they are out. However, even a win might not be enough if Cameroon manage to cause a massive upset on beat Brazil, the number one favorites to lift the trophy. The convincing Brazil currently top the standings with six points in the pocket Switzerland have three and a goal difference of 1:1, Cameroon (3:4) and Serbia (3:5) have won point to their account. If teams finish on equal points at the end of the season, score difference will be the tie-breaker. After that the decider will be the number of goals scored. The top-2 teams qualify for the play offs. Interestingly, Switzerland also might need a win to qualify if Cameroon wins. The biggest bookmakers with the biggest betting limits see Serbia as the favorites here. I strongly disagree! No one would, of course, be too surprised if the Serbs were to improve and end up winning this but in my opinion Switzerland have looked better so far in this tournament. Not only the results but also expected goals (xG) prove this. The Swiss have a 41% chance to win this very interesting battle. A draw would be enough for my fans and me to win so the chance is over 70%!

Switzerland were better than Serbia against Brazil losing only 0-1 through Casemiro's goal in the 83th minute. Brazil did fully deserve the win but as the Swiss did not record any shots on goal – neither did the Serbs! Brazil were just too good defensively. Even so, Switzerland challenged the Brazilians better than the Serbs did. Brazil only recorded 54% ball possession against them. Switzerland managed to create four goal attempts - the same number as the Serbs did. Brazil's number against the Swiss was nine. However, Brazil beat Serbia 2-0 after recording 24 shots on goal and 59% ball possession.. Furthermore, the Swiss defeated Cameroon 1-0 after not and awesome, but very solid performance! They can, and I believe still improve though - especially offensively. The first half was somewhat balanced but in the second half the Swiss proved their class and scored the goal needed to win. They recorded 1.94 in xG – the Africans number was 0.78. Serbia, on the other hand, played a weird match against Cameroon. The Africans took the lead but then Serbia scored two very quick goals right before half time and seemed to be in control and definitely the better team on the pitch. Fulhams's star striker Mitrovic made it 3-1 in the 53th minute but then things went horribly wrong for Serbia.. They become very passive, a bit lazy and I would say even a bit arrogant/ overconfident.. This should not happen at this level! Cameroon punished them and made it 3-3 and even could have won in the end! As a whole Serbia were slightly the better team though and recorded 2.34 in expected goals – Cameroon's number was 1.98.

Mitrovic has suffered from an ankle injury this autumn and whilst he will probably play here – based on my observations he is far from his best.. His movement on the pitch is 70-80% of his normal (great) level. Juventus's star striker Vlahovic has also suffered from injuries in recent months and might not be able to play – at least not for the full 90 minutes. He is surely not at his best either! Ajax's creative and dangerous Dusan Tadic could save Serbia here but has not found his best level so far in Qatar.. These strikers' situation is a major blow for Serbia's chances against the tactically smart, experienced and surprisingly creative Swiss team. They beat Serbia 2-1 in the 2018 World Cup in Russia and also have an excellent coach, Murat Yakin. I would not be surprised to see some chances in the Serbian defense as Nikola Milenkovic – Milos Veljkovic – Strahinja Pavlovic have not found the best ”chemistry” so far.. I mentioned on my analysis on the Brazil vs Serbia that Serbia's defense is not bad but that their defenders are far from word-class. Well, Serbia's defensive football as a whole has been very far from world-class so far! Let's not forget that Switzerland defeated perhaps the second-best team in the world - and reigning champions, France in the EURO 2020 play offs in the summer of 2021.Taking into account a point should be enough to secure progression, Yakin may implement the same, more cautious/defensive approach he chose to use against in the opening game with Xhaka and Freuler sitting in front of the back four. Talented and often under-rated Embolo is the most probable choice in attack. He is the only player to net the ball for Switzerland up to this point. He is probably being supported by Sow through the middle, while Vargas and Shaqiri could contribute in advanced wide roles.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

塞尔维亚VS瑞士

北京时间周六凌晨,在多哈974体育场举行的G组比赛中,塞尔维亚和瑞士队针锋相对。这是小组赛的最后一轮,赌注很高!这个游戏的情况非常直接。由于几年前的一场比赛和塞尔维亚人最近做的一些其他事情,比赛中也有一些额外的紧张。这种紧张关系背后的主要原因是塞尔维亚和科索沃之间糟糕的关系。有科索沃阿尔巴尼亚血统的球员为瑞士队效力——扎卡和沙奇里。我一点也不惊讶于看到激烈的事件,许多牌-甚至可能是红牌在这场冲突。塞尔维亚需要赢球,否则他们就出局了。然而,如果喀麦隆击败夺冠热门巴西队,即使是一场胜利也可能不够。令人信服的巴西目前以6分领跑积分榜,瑞士有3分,净胜球为1:1,喀麦隆(3:4)和塞尔维亚(3:5)都赢得了积分。如果两支球队在赛季结束时积分相等,那么比分差将成为决胜局。在那之后,决胜局将由进球数决定。前两名的球队有资格参加附加赛。有趣的是,如果喀麦隆获胜,瑞士可能也需要一场胜利才能出线。最大的博彩公司和最大的投注限额认为塞尔维亚是最受欢迎的。我强烈反对!当然,如果塞族人进步并最终夺冠,没有人会太惊讶,但在我看来,瑞士队在本届比赛中迄今为止看起来更好。不仅结果,而且预期目标(xG)也证明了这一点。瑞士人有41%的机会赢得这场非常有趣的战斗。平局就足够让我的粉丝和我赢了,所以机会超过70%!

在对阵巴西的比赛中,瑞士凭借卡塞米罗在第83分钟的进球仅以0-1落败。巴西完全应该赢得这场胜利,但是瑞士人没有任何射门记录,塞尔维亚人也没有!巴西队的防守太棒了。即便如此,瑞士对巴西人的挑战还是比塞尔维亚人强。巴西队在与他们的比赛中只有54%的控球率。瑞士队成功创造了4次进球机会——与塞族人相同的次数。巴西队与瑞士队的比分是9个。然而,巴西队以24次射门和59%的控球率2-0击败塞尔维亚。此外,瑞士人1-0击败喀麦隆后并不和牛逼,但表现非常扎实!他们可以,而且我相信他们仍然在进步——尤其是在进攻端。上半场有点平衡,但下半场瑞士人证明了他们的水平,打进了赢得胜利所需的进球。他们记录的xG为1.94,而非洲人的xG为0.78。另一方面,塞尔维亚在与喀麦隆的比赛中表现怪异。非洲人取得领先,但塞尔维亚在半场结束前迅速打进两球,似乎控制住了局面,绝对是场上表现更好的球队。富勒姆的明星前锋米特罗维奇在第53分钟将比分改写为3-1,但随后塞尔维亚的情况出现了可怕的错误。他们变得非常被动,有点懒惰,甚至有点自大/过度自信。这种事不应该发生在这个级别!喀麦隆惩罚了他们,把比分变成了3比3,甚至可以赢得比赛!塞尔维亚整体表现稍好,预期进球数为2.34,喀麦隆为1.98。

米特罗维奇今年秋天脚踝受伤,虽然他可能会在这里比赛,但根据我的观察,他还远没有达到最佳状态。他在球场上的移动是正常水平的70-80%。尤文图斯的明星前锋弗拉霍维奇最近几个月也受到了伤病的困扰,可能无法踢满90分钟的比赛。他肯定也不在最佳状态!阿贾克斯的创造性和危险的杜桑塔迪奇可以在这里拯救塞尔维亚,但到目前为止在卡塔尔没有找到他的最佳水平。这些前锋的情况对塞尔维亚队在面对战术聪明、经验丰富、创造力惊人的瑞士队时的机会是一个重大打击。他们在2018年俄罗斯世界杯上2-1击败塞尔维亚,他们还有一位优秀的教练穆拉特·亚金。我不会惊讶于塞尔维亚的防守中出现一些机会,因为米伦科维奇- Veljkovic - Pavlovic到目前为止还没有找到最好的“化学反应”。我在分析巴西和塞尔维亚的比赛时提到过,塞尔维亚的防守并不差,但是他们的后卫远远不是世界级的。到目前为止,塞尔维亚的防守足球还远远没有达到世界一流水平!我们不要忘记,在2021年夏天的2020年欧洲杯附加赛中,瑞士队击败了可能是世界第二强的球队,也是卫冕冠军法国队。考虑到一分应该足够确保前进,亚金可能会采用他在首场比赛中选择的更谨慎/防守的战术,扎卡和弗罗伊尔坐在四后卫的前面。有天赋但经常被低估的栓子是最可能的进攻选择。到目前为止,他是唯一一个为瑞士队进球的球员。他很可能在中路得到了sow的支持,而vargas&nbnbsp;和shaqiiri & nbnbsp;可以在高级边锋位置上做出贡献。


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