The best pick for La Liga!
2021-03-06

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

03/07 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Cadiz asian handicap +0.25 is my bet here.

Is truth that lately they are getting terrible results, winless in the last 7 games and only 1 point achieved. But it is also true that the calendar has not been the best: Sevilla (4th), Barcelona (2nd), Betis (6th), Atlético Madrid (1st), Real Sociedad (5th)… All top teams.

I see in this match a very good chance for Cadiz to achieve some point or even the victory. They are a very competitive side, with motivation and whose main target is to recover their good defence. Against teams with similar level their performances weren’t bad, it’s only against strong sides where the quality difference is shown and they concede more than usual.

On the other hand, I can’t see Eibar favorite here. A team who has won only 4 games so far (25 played) - the second team in the whole league with fewer victories. Cadiz has 6 in the pocket.

Their best player Bryan Gil will play injured, so he will be at 20%. Without him, Eibar has zero danger in attack. Even with him, they have the worst attack of La Liga - just 20 goals scored. And that’s why I think that this match will be favorable for Cadiz - hosts will be comfortable defending here, keeping the goal to nil and gaining confidence to achieve the victory.

Eibar is also winless in the last 8 games, but their rivals have been easier than Cadiz: Huesca (17th), Valladolid (18th), Osasuna (14th) or Elche (16th) for example. And this is an important difference.

I’m expecting a tight game, but in any case a team who has won only 4 games can be favorite here. Even more with the best player injured. Draw is very possible here, but hosts have more chances to win here in my opinion.

加的斯最近他们取得了糟糕的成绩,在过去的7场比赛中都没有获胜,只拿到了1分。但球队遭遇魔鬼赛程,对手是:塞维利亚(第4),巴塞罗那(第2),贝蒂斯(第6),马竞(第1),皇家社会(第5)……所有的顶级球队。

我认为这场比赛对加的斯队来说是一个很好的机会,有望迎来反弹,甚至是胜利。他们是一支非常有竞争力的球队,他们的主要目标是恢复他们良好的防守。面对水平类似的球队,他们的表现并不差,只有面对实力强大的球队时,他们表现出了质量上的差异,他们的失球比平时更多。

另一方面,我不看好埃瓦尔。这支球队迄今只赢了4场比赛(25场比赛),是整个联赛中胜利较少的第二支球队。加的斯赢了6场。

他们最好的球员布莱恩·吉尔会带伤参赛,所以他状态会受影响。没有他,埃瓦尔的进攻毫无危险。即使有了他,他们的攻击力也是西甲最差的——只进了20球。这就是为什么我认为这场比赛对加的斯是有利的——加的斯将会在这里轻松防守,保持进球为零,并获得胜利的信心。

埃瓦尔在过去的8场比赛中也没有赢过,但是他们的对手比加的斯要容易一些:韦斯卡(第17),巴拉多利德(第18),奥萨苏纳(第14)或者埃尔切(第16)。这是一个重要的区别。

我期待着一场势均力敌的比赛,但无论如何,加的斯在这里是最受欢迎的。埃瓦尔最好的球员受伤了,情况就更糟了。在这里平局是很有可能的,但是在我看来加的斯有更多的机会赢球。

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