Anyone can score for Mexico? High odds!
2022-11-30

Jarkko

外籍分析师

世界杯

12/01 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

I am going against the expectations of the big audience here, but the fact is that they have been blinded by the results. Yes, the Saudi win over Argentina was huge, but still extremely lucky as with those chances their chance to win was about 10 %, and we are not even counting the near by refereeing actions and the brilliantly high Saudi defense line which survived the numerous offside occasions purely by amazing luck. That match also came with a price as two important players injured themselves and they are still out, in addition to midfield Al Malk who is suspended but accumulation of yellow cards. The Saudi squad may be fit, but there is no depth and not even individual quality. It helps that most of the squad are built around Al Hilal, but the lack of competitive games will show in the end. Middle Eastern league are not even closely on the level of EPL,Serie A or even Mexican league.

Mexico are still without a goal. It was no surprise they did not score v Argentina as the approach was very defensive from both sides, and indeed there are question marks who the scorer might be as Jimenez is not fully fit.

The answer is Hirving Lozano. The Napoli striker will enjoy a game like this - that is if Saudi coach Renard still insists on the high line and high risk. Why would not he? It is hazardous, but as there is a massive gap in class the attack is their best defense.

Comparing player market values here is not really a fair thing to do and some Saudi players may well be too unknown to be properly priced, but Lozano alone is more valuable than the whole Saudi team.

My biggest reason for this pick however is the high defense line. I can see Mexico punishing from it as it does not come as a surprise to them anymore like it did to Argentina, and yet I see Saudi have used all the luck they had for these games.

Good luck!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我这样做违背了在座观众的期望,但事实是,他们被结果蒙蔽了双眼。是的,沙特战胜阿根廷是巨大的胜利,但仍然是非常幸运的,因为在这些机会中,他们获胜的机会大约是10%,我们甚至没有计算近距离的裁判动作和沙特出色的高防线,他们在无数越位的情况下幸存纯粹是由于惊人的运气。那场比赛也付出了代价,两名重要球员受伤了,他们仍然没有参加比赛,除了中场马尔克,他被停赛,但黄牌不断。沙特的阵容可能是健康的,但没有深度,甚至没有个人素质。球队的大部分球员都是围绕着阿尔希拉尔打造的,这是有帮助的,但竞争比赛的缺乏最终会显现出来。中东联赛甚至没有接近英超、意甲甚至墨西哥联赛的水平。

墨西哥仍然没有进球。他们在对阿根廷的比赛中没有进球并不令人惊讶,因为双方都采取了非常防守的方式,事实上谁会是进球者是一个问号,因为希门内斯还没有完全康复。

答案是雇用洛萨诺。那不勒斯前锋将享受这样的比赛——前提是沙特教练雷纳德仍然坚持高线和高风险。他为什么不呢?这是很危险的,但由于等级差距很大,进攻是他们最好的防御。

在这里比较球员市场价值真的不是一件公平的事情,一些沙特球员可能太不知名,无法被合理定价,但洛萨诺一个人比整个沙特球队更有价值。

我选这支球队的最大原因是高防守线。我可以看到墨西哥因此受到惩罚,因为这对他们来说不再像对阿根廷那样令人惊讶,但我看到沙特在这些比赛中使用了他们所有的运气。

好运!


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