There was a mentally and physically really tough loss to Barcelona in the midweek cup game for Sevilla, but they are able to rotate and have a lot to play for in La Liga so I see them overcoming poor Elche side despite this. Barcelona made Sevilla look like amateurs at times, but it was mostly their superiority, Sevilla are performing on a steady level.

Elche have won once in last 19 games, and the only positive thing we can find from this form is that was recently after their managerial change, and at home. The bad thing is that it was vs mediocre Eibar, and somewhat lucky. Here are their last 7 La Liga games with expected goal data.

Last round they faced a very much weakened Granada side which was a match they should had won material-wise, but still lacked class at every department and lost with a late goal. It did nothing good for their fragile self-confidence, and it was one of the most horrible matches for a neutral to follow. Before that match they had been outplayed almost everytime, and the home win vs Eibar was a very unfair result. They have not yet met Sevilla but will do it again after meeting Real Madrid next, and it seems they will be the absolute bottom of the table again sooner than later, and deservedly so as the xG-data would give them only 13 points instead of the 21 they earned mostly in the first months of the season.

Injury situation is decent, Rigoni only confirmed absentee from the attack, but if the doubtful left back Mojica is out it will be a bigger blow as Josema will struggle against who ever there is from Sevilla side, be it Suso, Munir or Papu Gomez.

Sevilla have been solid all season, but the matches vs the top teams have showed that they are not quite the top-3 team. They have lost 6 La Liga games, 3 of them in October vs weaker teams when were on a poorer run, the other 3 are against Atletico, Real Madrid and Barcelona.

Before the Barcelona loss they were however in a good form:

They did not concede a goal in 5 previous games, those teams are the best benchmark and comparison to Elche as they are all also in the relegation battle, just a bit better.

Sevilla will have the 2nd leg of CL vs Dortmund next week which means that Lopetegui is unlikely to take risks with recovering players, so Rakitic, Ocampos, Acuña and even a few others probably start from the bench, but if it means we have Gudilj, Papu, Rekik and Munir in it should be no problem, and honestly I do have no fear of the poor Elche side.

However as this is not the top match of week for Sevilla I settle for a straight win, but a comfortable one. If Elche create worth than 0.4 of xG I will be very surprised!

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本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

周中塞维利亚在与巴塞罗那的比赛中输掉了一场精神上和身体上都很艰难的比赛，但是他们可以轮换，在西甲有很多比赛要打，所以我看到他们战胜了可怜的埃尔切队。巴萨有时让塞维利亚看起来像个业余选手，但主要是他们的优势，塞维利亚表现稳定。

埃尔切在过去的19场比赛中只赢了一场，我们能从这种状态中找到的唯一积极的事情是最近他们的主教练换人之后，在主场。糟糕的是，这是对平庸的伊巴尔，有点幸运。以下是他们最近7场西甲比赛的进球数据。

上一轮他们面对的是非常虚弱的格拉纳达队，这场比赛他们本应该在物质上获胜，但在各个方面都缺乏水准，最后因为一个进球而输掉了比赛。这对他们脆弱的自信没有任何好处，而且对于中立者来说，这是最糟糕的比赛之一。在那场比赛之前，他们几乎每次都被击败，而主场战胜艾巴尔是一个非常不公平的结果。他们还没有见过塞维利亚但会再做一次会晤后皇马接下来,似乎他们又将表的绝对底部早于后,,理所当然地xG-data会给他们只有13分,而不是21他们获得主要在本赛季的第一个月。

伤情还算不错，里戈尼只是确认缺席了进攻，但如果左后卫莫希卡缺席，这将是一个更大的打击，因为何塞马将面临塞维利亚的任何对手，无论是索索、穆尼尔还是帕普戈麦斯。

塞维利亚整个赛季表现都很稳定，但是与顶级球队的比赛表明他们还不是前三名。他们已经输掉了6场西甲比赛，其中3场是在10月份输给了表现不佳的弱队，另外3场是输给了马竞、皇家马德里和巴塞罗那。

在输给巴萨前，他们状态很好:

他们在之前的5场比赛中没有失球，这些球队是最好的基准和比较埃尔切，因为他们都在保级战中，只是稍微好一点。

塞维利亚将第二段CL vs多特蒙德下周这意味着Lopetegui不大可能冒险与恢复的球员,所以Rakitic,奥坎波,Acuna甚至其他一些可能从板凳上,但如果它意味着我们有Gudilj, Papu, Rekik和姆尼尔应该没问题,老实说我没有恐惧的可怜的埃尔切。

然而，由于这不是塞维利亚本周的第一场比赛，我认为这是一场轻松的连胜。如果埃尔切创造的价值超过0.4 xG，我将非常惊讶!

预测比分0:1。