Hi Guys! I hope You well :)
Today I would like to share with You my bet from Group F. It's game between Croatia and Canada. In my opinion Canada have really good chances to make at least one point in this game. I see bigger chances for them than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. I see good value on Canada in this game.
We already saw first matches in this group and I believe now is easier to make some predictions.
I watched both games: Croatia against Morocco and Belgium against Canada. My thoughts: Canada impress me more, looking more convincing. To be honest with You - they impressed me. I cannot say the same things about Croatia.
Croatia not looking convincing for me at all. Obviously, they had Modric from Real Madrid in the middle zone. He is experienced, already legendary midfielder. He knows how to control middle zone that's why they looked good at the back, but I saw their problem upfront because in that game Croatia had only 5 shots, not scored any goal and had only one decent chance to score. Nothing more. Their offensive players like Vlasic or Kramaric not looked good - not looking good at the moment, they don't have good seasons in their clubs. This is reason why Croatia had problems with creativity and goalscoring and I see similar story also today.
Obviously, Modric is their brain and heart, but Canada also have very goood player on central midfielder position.
Canada in first game lost against strong Belgium 0:1, but that was extremely unfair result because according to the expected goals scored model Canada should score more than 2 goals in that game, Belgium less than 1. As You can see - it's huge difference and this is result shouldn't look like this.
Canada impressed me to be honest with You. I spoke about Modric in Croatia middle zone, but Canada have Eustaquio from Porto and he looked extremely good in first match, he had more than 50 accurate passes in that game. He looked productive, I really like his performance.
Canada looking so good in attack. They looked very dangerous, very dangerous, they pushed all the time. Who was man of the match? Belgium goalkeeper Courtois. Canada can make big problems - they have strong striker David from Lille (great season in Ligue 1).
Where I see big problem for Croatia? Right side of the pitch, they have there right defender Juranovic. He is average player, I remember when he played for Legia Warsaw, now he is in Celtic, but on his side will play super Alphonso Davies from Bayern. I'm sure he will make huge troubles for Juranovic. He should be able to make a lot of space there. Eustaquio will play a lot of balls to Davies and probably we will see many balls from Davies to David. I see again a lot of chances to score for Canada.
Canada not coming for this game with head down because they lost, no. They want to continue to play on this level, their coach said: We wants to beat Croatia! They coming with positive mindset, they not played at World Cup over 50 years and they wants to do something positive. I like this attitude.
Croatia is under pressure. Last World Cup they played in Final, but without any shadow of doubt they are not on level where they were 4 years ago.
Croatia is under pressure, Canada coming from underdog position and that should work well for them.
All in all, I don't see Croatia as a big fav in this game.
Canada have all required tools to avoid loss.
Good luck for all of You
Przem
本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
嗨,伙计们!我希望你一切都好。
今天我想和大家分享一下我在f组的赌注:克罗地亚和加拿大的比赛。在我看来,加拿大有很好的机会在这场比赛中至少得一分。我看他们的胜算比赌徒给我们的赔率要大。我认为加拿大在这场比赛中很有价值。
我们已经看到了这个小组的第一场比赛,我相信现在更容易做出一些预测。
两场比赛我都看了:克罗地亚对摩洛哥,比利时对加拿大。我的想法:加拿大更让我印象深刻,看起来更有说服力。说实话,他们给我留下了深刻的印象。我不能对克罗地亚说同样的话。
克罗地亚对我来说一点都不可信。显然,他们有来自皇马的莫德里奇在中路。他经验丰富,已经是传奇中场。他知道如何控制中路区域,这就是为什么他们的后防线看起来很好,但我看到了他们前面的问题,因为那场比赛克罗地亚只有5次射门,没有打进任何进球,只有一次像样的进球机会。仅此而已。他们的进攻球员,比如弗拉西克和克拉马里奇,看起来不太好——现在看起来不太好,他们在俱乐部没有好的赛季。这就是克罗地亚在创造力和进球方面存在问题的原因,我今天也看到了类似的故事。
显然,莫德里奇是他们的大脑和心脏,但加拿大也有非常好的中场中路球员的位置。
加拿大在第一场比赛中0:1输给了强大的比利时,但这是非常不公平的结果,因为根据预期进球数模型,加拿大在那场比赛中应该进2球以上,比利时不到1球。你们可以看到,差别很大结果不应该是这样的。
加拿大打动了我,让我对你诚实。我说过莫德里奇在克罗地亚的中路,但加拿大有波尔图的尤斯塔基奥,他在第一场比赛中表现非常好,他在那场比赛中有超过50次准确传球。他看起来很有成效,我真的很喜欢他的表现。
加拿大看起来进攻很好。他们看起来非常危险,非常危险,他们一直在推。谁是本场比赛的最佳球员?比利时门将库尔图瓦。加拿大可以制造大麻烦——他们有来自里尔的强壮前锋大卫(法甲伟大的赛季)。
我认为克罗地亚的大问题在哪里?在球场的右侧,他们有右后卫Juranovic。他是一名普通球员,我记得他在华沙军团踢球的时候,现在他在凯尔特人,但在他的球队里会有来自拜仁的超级球员阿方索·戴维斯。我相信他会给朱拉诺维奇带来很大的麻烦。他应该能在那里腾出很多空间。尤斯塔基奥会给戴维斯传很多球,也许我们会看到戴维斯给大卫传很多球。我又看到了很多为加拿大进球的机会。
加拿大不来参加这场比赛,因为他们输了,不。他们想要继续在这个水平上比赛,他们的教练说:我们要击败克罗地亚!他们带着积极的心态来,他们已经50年没有参加世界杯了,他们想做一些积极的事情。我喜欢这种态度。
克罗地亚面临着压力。上届世界杯,他们参加了决赛,但毫无疑问,他们已经不在4年前的水平上了。
克罗地亚处于压力之下,加拿大处于劣势,这对他们来说应该很好。
总而言之,我不认为克罗地亚会是这场比赛的大热门。
加拿大都有必要的工具来避免损失。
祝你们所有人好运
Przem