Argentina already out? High odds! 世界杯阿根廷VS墨西哥
2022-11-26

Jarkko

外籍分析师

世界杯

11/27 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Mexico are not all a bad side, they had a decent performance v Poland and should could won, and we all know what happened to Argentina v Saudi Arabia. Mexico also could had lost as they needed their veteran keeper Ochoa saved a penalty from Lewandowski.

Yet, even if the Argentina's performance weakened on the 2nd half and some commentators say that is a well-deserved Saudi win that naturally is not the case. Argentina got disallowed goals in 1st half, and there is no way that even with the actions that happened on the pitch the Saudi would win a match like this only once out of 10 at max.

Mexico are constant failures at World cup level, or is it just their own class? They are just not good enough. A look at the recent history vs Argentina is rather revealing:

I agree that the head-to-head record is not the most useful piece of stats, especially when the sample is spread over a long time. Yet, Argentina have 6 times out of the last 7 by at least 2 goals, and I do not want to ignore that now when Argentina do have their best team for a long time!

Neither of the teams should have any injuries. Raul Jimenez (Mex) is not fully fit but for sure will get some minutes. This current Mexico team misses badly a good centreforward, and they are not likely to create anything in possession play with slow attacks, and their hope relies on getting Hirving Lozano to full speed.

ARG: E. Martinez; Montiel, Romero, Li. Martinez, Tagliafico; De Paul, Paredes, Mac Allister; Messi, La. Martinez, Di Maria.

MEX: Ochoa; Sanchez, Montes, Moreno, Gallardo; Alvarez, Herrera, Chavez; Lozano, Martin, Vega.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

墨西哥并不都是一支糟糕的球队,他们在对阵波兰时表现不错,应该能赢,我们都知道阿根廷对阵沙特阿拉伯时发生了什么。墨西哥也有可能输掉比赛,因为他们需要他们的老将门将奥乔亚扑出莱万多夫斯基的点球。

然而,即使阿根廷队在下半场的表现有所减弱,一些评论员说这是沙特当之无愧的胜利,但情况自然并非如此。阿根廷在上半场的进球被判无效,即使是在球场上发生的动作,沙特人也不可能在这样的比赛中赢得最多10场比赛中的1场。

墨西哥队在世界杯级别上屡屡失利,还是说这只是他们自己的水平?他们只是不够好。看看最近的历史与阿根廷的对比就会发现:

我同意,面对面的记录不是最有用的统计数据,特别是当样本分布在很长一段时间时。然而,在过去的7场比赛中,阿根廷有6次至少领先2球,我不想忽视这一点,现在阿根廷确实有他们很长一段时间以来最好的球队!

两支球队都不应该有任何伤病。劳尔·希门尼斯(墨西哥)还没有完全恢复,但肯定会得到一些出场时间。目前这支墨西哥队严重缺少一名优秀的中锋,他们不太可能通过缓慢的进攻创造出任何控球比赛,他们的希望寄托在让洛萨诺全速前进上。

ARG: E. Martinez;Montiel, Romero, Li。马丁内斯,Tagliafico;德·保罗,帕雷德斯,麦克·阿利斯特;梅西,洛杉矶。马丁内斯,迪玛利亚。

墨西哥人:奥乔亚;桑切斯、蒙特斯、莫雷诺、盖拉多;阿尔瓦雷斯、埃雷拉、查韦斯;洛萨诺,马丁,维加。


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