A GREAT match to bet on! 世界杯摩洛哥VS克罗地亚
2022-11-23

Tapio

外籍分析师

世界杯

11/23 18:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Morocco VS Croatia

Morocco challenge Croatia in this first match in Group F at Al Bayt Stadium in Al Khor Wednesday evening Beijing time. It is easy for everyone who follows football closely to say that Croatia are the favorites here. However, I see them having an even bigger chance than the betting market does to take all three points!The probability is 53%. I think it is weird that odds on Croatia with the biggest and usually sharp bookies have been coming up today.. Luckily for my fans and me there is a lot of not so smart money on the betting market in this tournament, the biggest sports event on the planet and the bookies adjust their odds as bettors place bets. Croatia have an edge in all areas of the game. The biggest difference in their favor is in midfield where Real Madrid's Luca Modric is expected to prove his class once again. He has not shown any signs of slowing down despite the ripe age of 37! His ability to read the game and more than 90% of the time to give the correct pass are at an amazing level! He was in a big role in May when Real Madrid went all the way in Champions League beating PSG, Manchester City and lastly Liverpool in the final! He was excellent also in the World Cup back in 2018 when his country even made it to the final but lost to France 2-4 after a huge fight. The spot in the final was something that many would not have guessed! I do not expect Croatia to be quite this good this time but they still have an awesome number of quality players who play for very good clubs. Ivan Perišić, for example, is another player to watch closely. This experienced (33 years old) and very creative guy plays for Tottenham, a team that currently occupies the 4th place in the Premier League, the best league in the world– just three points behind the mighty Manchester City. They also have an excellent goalkeeper in Livakovic, 27. Furthermore, Croatia were excellent in the qualification. They won the group with 23 points and a stunningly good score difference of 21:4. There were pretty good countries like Russia - who beat Spain in the World Cup Play Offs in 2018, Slovenia and Slovakia in the group so the way Croatia performed needs to be respected a lot!

Croatia have won five games in a row and lost just one of their latest 16 matches. This loss happened early summer in UEFA Nations League 0-3 at home against Austria, a pretty good team and we must remember that Croatia did not start the game with their best players. Furthermore, the final score is very misleading as Croatia had close to 60% ball possession and much more attacks and dangerous attacks. They also beat France, the reigning World Champions, in the Nations League early in the summer 1-0. They won the tough group with 13 points. Denmark, another string team came second with 12 points. Croatia beat the Danes even in Copenhagen 1-0 allowing the hosts just one shot on goal! Morocco too have done well results-wise recently but have not faced teams of Croatia's caliber for a long time and their good record is probably the main reason behind the over-valuation on the betting market here. Beating teams like like Georgia and Jamaica even with by several goals' difference in friendly matches does not impress me too much ahead of this massive challenge! In the last World Cup they took just one point and even lost to Iran 0-1. Their FIFA ranking is 22th – which is too high in my opinion. Croatia, on the other hand, are in 12th place reflects their level well in my view.

GOOD LUCK!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

摩洛哥VS克罗地亚

北京时间周三晚上,F组第一场比赛在阿尔霍尔的阿尔贝特体育场举行,摩洛哥挑战克罗地亚。每一个密切关注足球的人都很容易说克罗地亚是夺冠热门。然而,我看到他们有一个甚至更大的机会比博彩市场所做的拿三分!概率是53%。我觉得很奇怪,克罗地亚的赔率是最大的,而且通常是非常敏锐的。幸运的是,对于我和我的球迷来说,在这场世界上最大的体育赛事中,博彩市场上有很多不那么聪明的钱,而博彩公司会在投注者下注时调整赔率。克罗地亚在比赛的各个方面都有优势。他们最大的优势在于中场,皇马的莫德里奇有望再次证明自己的水平。尽管已经37岁了,但他并没有表现出任何放缓的迹象!他阅读比赛的能力和超过90%的时间给出正确的传球是一个惊人的水平!他在五月的欧冠决赛中扮演了重要的角色,皇马一路击败了巴黎圣日耳曼,曼城,最后在决赛中击败了利物浦!在2018年的世界杯上,他也表现出色,当时他的国家甚至进入了决赛,但在激烈的战斗后以2-4输给了法国。很多人都不会想到决赛中的这个位置!我不认为克罗地亚这次会这么好,但他们仍然有很多优秀的球员效力于非常好的俱乐部。例如,伊万·佩里希奇是另一个值得密切关注的球员。这位经验丰富(33岁)且极具创造力的球员效力于托特纳姆热刺,这支球队目前在英超排名第四,世界上最好的联赛——仅落后强大的曼城3分。他们还有一名出色的门将,27岁的利瓦科维奇。此外,克罗地亚在预选赛中表现出色。他们以23分和21:4的惊人比分赢得小组第一。有很多很棒的国家,比如俄罗斯——在2018年世界杯附加赛中击败了西班牙,斯洛文尼亚和斯洛伐克分在小组中,所以克罗地亚的表现需要非常尊重!

克罗地亚在最近的16场比赛中只输了一场,取得了5连胜。这场输球发生在初夏的欧足联国家联赛中,主场0-3不敌奥地利,这是一支相当不错的球队,我们必须记住,克罗地亚在比赛开始时并没有派出最好的球员。此外,最后的比分是非常误导人的,因为克罗地亚有接近60%的控球率,更多的进攻和危险的进攻。今年夏初,他们还在国家联赛(Nations League)中以1比0击败了卫冕世界冠军法国队。他们以13分赢得了这个艰难的小组。另一支劲旅丹麦以12分排名第二。克罗地亚甚至在哥本哈根以1-0击败了丹麦,东道主只射了一球!摩洛哥最近也取得了不错的成绩,但他们已经很长时间没有面对克罗地亚这样水平的球队了,他们的良好记录可能是这里博彩市场估值过高的主要原因。即使在友谊赛中以几球之差击败格鲁吉亚和牙买加这样的球队,也不会给我留下太大的印象。上届世界杯,他们只拿了一分,甚至0-1不敌伊朗。他们在国际足联的排名是第22位,在我看来太高了。另一方面,克罗地亚排在第12位,这在我看来很好地反映了他们的水平。

< / p > < p >祝你好运!


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