4th WINNER in a row? 世界杯墨西哥VS波兰
2022-11-22

Tapio

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Mexico VS Poland

Mexico and Poland lock horns for in this World Cup group C clash at Stadium 974 in Doha. It is the first match for both teams in this tournament and the stakes are extremely high. Argentina, one of the biggest favorites to lift the trophy, will very probably win the group.. Saudi Arabia, on the other, should not be able to qualify – at least not without some luck. This means that Mexico and Poland will probably decide which one of the two teams qualify for the Play Offs. A draw would, of course, leave everything to be decided in the matches against Argentina and the Saudis. Opening games between pretty equal teams are often very cautious and defensive battles with a low number of expected goals. A defeat here would indeed be a major blow for both countries.. The biggest, sharpest bookies with the biggest betting limits estimate that the goal expectancy here is about 2.10. Whilst this is lower than in top football on average I would set the number of expected goals at only 1.88. The probability of a draw is very high – 34%. This result would be enough for my fans and me to win with the recommended handicap option on Poland! The chance of winning is 73%. The betting market estimates that Poland are the favorites but I cannot agree with this. I have watched almost all of both teams' most recent 20 matches and spent a few weeks analyzing this tournament in-depth! Poland are the narrow favorites here!

It is true that betting on teams who heavily rely on one player is quite often not a good idea..No professional football bettor can disagree with the fact that Robert Lewandowski is a very important player for Poland – especially in terms of goal-scoring potential He has been on fire with his new club, Barcelona, this season and there are no signs of him slowing down even at the ripe age of 34. He is still one of the best strikers on the planet but, unlike Leo Messi, Neymar or many other super stars, dislikes media spotlight and concentrates on scoring goals instead.Perhaps partly because of this he is a bit under-rated.. He is extremely fit - thanks to his dedication to optimal training/rest ratio and to a super-healthy diet. He is a true winner and his presence will surely – once – again boost his team mates confidence! Furthermore, I think the betting market, many bettors and football journalists alike should respect Poland's other players than ”Lewa” more despite the fact that they are not world-class stars. Let's also remember that only very good teams qualify for this tournament from Europe - the continent with by far the biggest number of strong football countries.

Poland finished second in the group that England won and went on the beat a pretty strong team, Sweden, in the Promotion Final 2-0 at home. They were very good in most qualification matches. It was a fine performance! In the UEFA Nations League League A they were pretty okay as well despite finishing in third place after very good football countries Netherlands and Belgium. They even took a draw in Netherlands. Wales, who are also playing in the World Cup were the fourth team in this group. Poland also competed in the EURO 2020 in the summer of 2021 and played quite well - better than many people would have expected! They were the better team on the pitch against both Slovakia and Sweden despite the unlucky defeats - 1-2 to Slovakia and 2-3 to the Swedes. They recorded a high ball possession percentage as well as more scoring chances and shots on goal in both of these matches. Moreover, they even forced Spain, a massive favorite in the match, to a 1-1 draw through Lewandowski's fine goal in the 2nd half.

Mexico have qualified from the group stage - and lost in the first round of Play Offs - in several World Cups in a row and always play organized football and usually have a fine defensive structure. They have, however, also had some luck on their side especially in the 2018 World Cup. They have a few very good players but no world-class super stars! They are expected to definitely be worse than in 2014 and 2018. Striker Santiago Tomas Gimenez, 21, is very talented player and has scored a lot of goals but he plays for a Dutch team, Feyenoord, who are not among the best teams in Europe – not even close! He lacks experience at this level and is, along with a many other Mexicans - a bit over-rated guy in my opinion.. Lastly, I want to mention that Mexico were not overly convincing in the qualification and finished in second place – behind Canada - in the group with the likes of Honduras and Jamaica. Moreover, they only grabbed four more points than Panama and three more points than Costa Rica. These are,after all, pretty lowly football countries.. Quite weirdly, they scored only 17 goals in 14 matches and I believe they will struggle trying to score in this match and especially against Argentina!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

墨西哥VS波兰

墨西哥和波兰将在多哈974体育场进行世界杯C组的比赛。这是两队在本届比赛中的第一场比赛,赌注非常高。阿根廷队是最有希望捧起大力神杯的球队之一,很有可能在小组中获胜。另一方面,沙特阿拉伯应该无法获得参赛资格——至少如果没有一些运气的话。这意味着墨西哥和波兰可能会决定哪支球队有资格参加附加赛。当然,如果平局,一切都将取决于与阿根廷和沙特的比赛。实力相当的球队之间的开局比赛通常都是非常谨慎的防御战,预期进球数很低。如果在这方面失败,对两国都是重大打击。最大、最敏锐、下注上限最大的博彩公司估计,这里的目标预期约为2.10英镑。虽然这低于顶级足球的平均水平,但我认为预期进球数只有1.88个。平局的概率非常高——34%。这个结果将足以让我的球迷和我赢得与推荐的波兰障碍选项!中奖几率为73%。博彩市场估计波兰是夺冠热门,但我不同意这一点。我几乎看了这两支球队最近的20场比赛,花了几周时间深入分析了这场比赛!波兰队在这里险胜!

的确,把赌注压在严重依赖一名球员的球队上通常都不是一个好主意。任何职业足球赌徒都不能否认罗伯特·莱万多夫斯基对波兰来说是一名非常重要的球员——尤其是在进球潜力方面。本赛季,他在新俱乐部巴塞罗那的表现非常出色,即使到了34岁的高龄,他也没有放缓的迹象。他仍然是这个星球上最好的前锋之一,但与里奥·梅西、内马尔或许多其他超级球星不同,他不喜欢媒体的聚光灯,而是专注于进球。也许部分原因是他被低估了。他非常健康,这要归功于他对最佳训练/休息比例的执着和超级健康的饮食。他是一个真正的胜利者,他的出现肯定会再次增强他的队友的信心!此外,我认为博彩市场,许多投注者和足球记者都应该更尊重波兰的其他球员,而不是“莱瓦”,尽管事实上他们不是世界级的球星。我们也要记住,只有非常优秀的球队才能从欧洲获得参赛资格——欧洲是迄今为止足球强国数量最多的大陆。

波兰队在英格兰队获胜的小组中排名第二,并在升级决赛中主场2-0击败了实力相当强大的瑞典队。他们在大多数预选赛中都表现出色。这是一场精彩的演出!在欧足联国家联赛甲级联赛中,他们表现也不错,尽管只排在足球强国荷兰和比利时之后,排名第三。他们甚至在荷兰打了一场平局。同样参加世界杯的威尔士是小组第四名。波兰还参加了2021年夏天的2020年欧洲杯,而且表现非常好——比很多人预期的要好!在对阵斯洛伐克和瑞典的比赛中,他们都表现得更好,尽管两场比赛都不幸落败——1比2输给斯洛伐克,2比3输给瑞典。在这两场比赛中,他们的控球率都很高,得分机会和射门次数也更多。此外,凭借下半场莱万多夫斯基的漂亮进球,他们甚至迫使大热门西班牙队1-1战平。

墨西哥队连续几届世界杯都从小组赛出线,但在附加赛第一轮就输掉了比赛,他们踢得很有组织,防守结构也很好。然而,他们也有一些运气,尤其是在2018年世界杯上。他们有一些非常好的球员,但没有世界级的超级球星!预计今年的情况肯定比2014年和2018年更糟。21岁的前锋圣地亚哥·托马斯·希门尼斯是一名非常有天赋的球员,他已经打进了很多球,但他效力于荷兰的费耶诺德队,这支球队在欧洲并不数一数二——甚至还差得远呢!他缺乏这方面的经验,在我看来,他和许多其他墨西哥人一样,有点被高估了。最后,我想说的是,墨西哥在预选赛中表现不太令人信服,与洪都拉斯和牙买加同组,排在加拿大之后,排名第二。此外,他们只比巴拿马多得4分,比哥斯达黎加多得3分。毕竟,这些都是足球水平很低的国家。非常奇怪的是,他们在14场比赛中只进了17球,我相信他们会努力在这场比赛中进球,特别是对阵阿根廷!


观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。