A GREAT match to bet on! 国际赛黑山VS斯洛伐克
2022-11-17

Tapio

外籍分析师

国际赛

11/18 01:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Montenegro Slovakia

Montenegro and Slovakia lock horns in this friendly match at Podgorica City Stadium. The largest and usually pretty sharp bookmakers with the biggest betting limits see the hosts as the favorites here. I cannot agree with this! First, of all Slovakia are ranked much higher in the FIFA rankings that reflects the teams' current class. Whilst for example Belgium,currently in the 2nd place in the ranking, are surely not in top-5 in reality – as the World Cup winner odds available on the betting market confirm – the FIFA ranking is still a pretty good indicator of the team's class.. Slovakia are currently in the 55th place with 1425.59 points. The hosts, on the other hand, currently occupy the 69th place with 1341.03 points. We must also remember that some 1.5 years ago Slovakia played quit well in the EURO 2020 tournament. Indeed, they beat Poland 2-1 and played a somewhat balanced match against Sweden despite losing 0-1 as clear underdogs. Poland, interestingly, even made it to this year's World Cup! Montenegro did not qualify for the EURO 2020. The home advantage is there, but is not very big here as not a large number of home fans are expected at Podgorica City Stadium today., The probability of Slovakia winning is 40% of winning and with the recommended +0.5 goals handicap option my fans and I have a 71% chance of taking the 3rd winner in a row.

Neither team have been in good form lately – especially results-wise. Montenegro were very disappointing in their most recent match against my home country, Finland. It was a UEFA Nations League League B match. I have watched the game twice and can assure you Montenegro were lame! Yes, Z. Tomasevic received a red card already in the first half but still I would have expected a lot more from Montenegro - especially offensively against Finland who have been in decline since the EURO 2020. Montenegro were the favorites in this match but recorded just one shot on the Finland's goal. Slovakia are clearly stronger than Finland.. Before this Montenegro traveled to Zenica and got beaten by Bosnia&Herzegovina. 1-0 was the final score but it could easily have been a bigger win for the host in this Nations League clash as they recorded more scoring chances, shots on target, passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Furthermore, on the 14th of June they took an undeserved 3-0 win over Romania away from home. Romania made some silly defensive mistakes in this match and Montenegro played above their normal level in this game. A would say a draw would have been a justified result as Romania had 60% ball possession but Montenegro did record more scoring chances and shots on goal. I believe this surprising win might affect the odds too much here..

Slovakia have a pretty new but talented manager from Italy F. Calzona. So far they result under him have not been great but now he had some time to work with the team and coaching staff so we can surely expect an improvement on the pitch.The visitors have been extremely unlucky in their latest Nations League matches against Belarus (1-1) Azerbaijan (1-2 loss) and Kazakhstan - another 1-2 loss. The betting market seems to have started to under-value the Slovaks as a result of these results.They have been the better team in all the three games as expected goals numbers and other key statistics show. Slovakia have many interesting new players worth following here. Six new players have been called up to the senior squad including the Zilina trio Tomas Nemcik, Matus Rusnak and Adrian Kapralik, and they will all be hoping to get their first run-outs for their home country on Thursday and are surely very motivated to prove their skills to Calzona!

Montenegro possible starting lineup:

Mijatovic; Vesovic, Savic, Vujacic, Radunovic; Jovovic, Jankovic, Vukcevic, Haksabanovic; Mugosa, Jovetic.

Slovakia possible starting lineup:

Dubravka; Pekarik, Skriniar, Satka, Hancko; Kucka, Lobotka, Hamsik; Duda, Bozenik, Duris

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

黑山斯洛伐克

黑山和斯洛伐克在波德戈里察城市体育场进行了一场友谊赛。规模最大、通常相当精明、下注限额最大的博彩公司认为,东道主是最受欢迎的。我不同意!首先,斯洛伐克在国际足联的排名中要高得多,这反映了球队目前的水平。例如比利时,目前排名第二,在现实中肯定不是前五——正如博彩市场上的世界杯冠军赔率所证实的那样——国际足联的排名仍然是一个很好的衡量球队水平的指标。斯洛伐克目前以1425.59分排名第55位。相反,韩国队以1341.03分排名第69位。我们还必须记住,大约1.5年前,斯洛伐克在2020年欧洲杯上发挥出色。事实上,他们2-1击败了波兰,在与瑞典的比赛中表现得有些平衡,尽管他们以0-1的比分明显落后。有趣的是,波兰甚至打进了今年的世界杯!黑山没有获得2020年欧洲杯的参赛资格。主场优势在那里,但在这里不是很大,因为今天不会有很多主场球迷来到波德戈里察城市体育场。斯洛伐克获胜的概率是40%,加上推荐的+0.5球障碍选项,我的球迷和我有71%的几率连续第三次获胜。

这两支球队最近的状态都不太好,特别是在结果方面。黑山在最近与我的祖国芬兰的比赛中非常令人失望。这是一场欧足联国家乙联赛的比赛。我看了两遍比赛,可以向你保证黑山队很差劲!是的,托马塞维奇在上半场就已经吃到一张红牌了,但我还是希望黑山能有更多的表现,尤其是在对芬兰队的进攻上,芬兰队自2020年欧洲杯以来一直在走下坡路。在这场比赛中,黑山队是夺冠热门,但芬兰队只有一次射门。斯洛伐克显然比芬兰强。在此之前,黑山来到泽尼察,被波黑打败。1-0是最后的比分,但在这场国家联赛中,东道主本可以轻松取得更大的胜利,因为他们记录了更多的进球机会,射正,传球,完成传球,进攻和危险的进攻。此外,在6月14日,他们在客场3-0大胜罗马尼亚。罗马尼亚在这场比赛中犯了一些愚蠢的防守错误,黑山在这场比赛中发挥超出了他们的正常水平。A会说平局是一个合理的结果,因为罗马尼亚有60%的控球率,但黑山记录了更多的进球机会和射门次数。我认为这场意外的胜利可能会对赔率产生太大影响。

斯洛伐克有一位来自意大利的漂亮而有才华的新教练F.卡尔佐纳。到目前为止,他们在他的带领下表现不佳,但现在他有时间和球队和教练组一起工作,所以我们当然可以期待他在球场上的进步。客队在最近的几场国家联赛中非常不幸,分别是白俄罗斯(1-1)、阿塞拜疆(1-2)和哈萨克斯坦(1-2)。由于这些结果,博彩市场似乎开始低估斯洛伐克人的价值。正如预期进球数和其他关键数据所显示的那样,他们在三场比赛中都表现得更好。斯洛伐克有许多有趣的新球员值得关注。6名新球员已经被征召到成年队中,包括Zilina三人组Tomas Nemcik, Matus rusnak&  & nbnbsp;Adrian Kapralik,他们都希望能在周四的比赛中第一次为自己的祖国出场,他们肯定非常有动力向卡尔佐纳证明自己的技术!

黑山可能的首发阵容:

米贾托维奇;维索维奇、萨维奇、武贾西奇、拉都诺维奇;乔沃维奇、扬科维奇、乌克切维奇、哈萨巴诺维奇;Mugosa Jovetic。

斯洛伐克可能的首发阵容:

当地的葡萄酒;Pekarik, Skriniar, Satka, hanko;库卡、洛博特卡、哈姆西克;杜达,博泽尼克,杜里斯


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