An interesting match in Israel! 以超贝塔耶路撒冷VS萨克宁
2022-11-15

Tapio

外籍分析师

以超

11/15 02:15

已完赛

贝塔耶路撒冷
1:0
萨克宁
解读理由:

Beitar Jerusalem VS Sakhnin

Beitar Jesusalem welcome Sakhnin for this Ligat ha'AL round 13 clash at Teddy Stadium in Jerusalem early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This league is of decent level by European standards. The differences in class and financial resources are unfortunately big though. For example Maccabi Haifa even beat Juventus some weeks ago in the Champions League! Neither of the two teams here could realistically achieve anything like that.. The largest, sharpest bookies see the match as close to a coin toss- a 50-50% match at least at the time of writing this preview. I will not be fooled by the standings here. The host have had had difficult season so far and have grabbed just 10 points. Their goal difference is also not good at all – 13:25. Indeed, their coach has a lot of work to to do to improve their defensive structure and - I would say – attitude too..

In terms of expected points(xPTS) the hosts would have deserved 13 points and in terms of expected goals (xG) 34 goals. As for the visitors the numbers are 14 points and 12 goals. In reality Sakhin have 15 points to their account and occupy the 7th place. Their goal difference is 11:13. Solid defending indeed - with some luck in many mathes though. I am certain they will start allowing more goals per match as the season progresses. According to a well-known and respected German website Transfermarkt.com the hosts’ squad is valued at 8.20 million euros. The visitors’ players have a total market value of just 5.20 million. The market values can, of course, sometimes be misleading, but the bookies and many professional football bettors pay more and more attention to these numbers.. The football (players) market is, after all, a global one. However, if two players are equally good and one of them is 25 years old and the other is 35 years old the younger one, of course, has a much bigger market value. In my view, the market values here are more or less correct – the hosts should indeed have potential for much better performances than we have seen so far and they will probably start climbing up the league table soon! They have, in fact, been in a little better for than Sakhnin recently. The visitors have not won any of their recent five matches losing three of these five games. The hosts have won one and taken two draws in their latest five games and their performances have looked better lately than in the early season. Five days ago they lost to Hapoel Tel-Avis 1-2 away from home but the much was a balanced one and they would have deserved a draw. Before this they lost to Maccabi Haifa at home as massive underdogs 1-4 but the final score is very misleading. They fought well and the ball possession was 50-50%. They have a 44% chance to win here!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

比塔耶路撒冷VS萨赫宁

北京时间周二凌晨,比塔耶萨萨勒姆在耶路撒冷的泰迪球场迎来了萨赫宁队在西甲联赛第13轮的比赛。以欧洲标准来看,这个联赛的水平还算不错。不幸的是,阶级和经济资源的差异很大。例如,海法马卡比甚至在几周前的欧冠比赛中击败了尤文图斯!这里的两支球队都不可能取得这样的成就。最大、最精明的博彩公司认为这场比赛就像掷硬币一样——至少在撰写这篇预览文章的时候是五五开的比赛。我不会被这里的排名所愚弄。到目前为止,主队的表现并不好,只拿到了10分。他们的净胜球也很差——13:25。的确,他们的教练有很多工作要做,以改善他们的防守结构,我想说的是,态度。

从预期积分(xPTS)来看,东道主应该得到13分,从预期进球数(xG)来看,应该得到34球。客队的数据是14分12球。事实上,萨钦队获得了15分,占据了第7名。他们的净胜球是11:13。防守确实很稳固——虽然在很多数学上有些运气。我确信随着赛季的进展,他们每场比赛会允许更多的进球。据德国知名和受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com统计,东道主球队的身价为820万欧元。客队球员的总市值只有520万。当然,市场价值有时可能具有误导性,但博彩公司和许多职业足球投注者越来越关注这些数字。足球(球员)市场毕竟是一个全球性的市场。然而,如果两个球员同样优秀,其中一个25岁,另一个35岁,年轻的那个当然有更大的市场价值。在我看来,这里的市场价值或多或少是正确的——东道主确实应该有潜力取得比我们目前看到的更好的表现,他们可能很快就会开始爬上排行榜的前列!事实上,他们最近的情况比萨赫宁好一点。客队在最近的五场比赛中没有赢过一场,这五场比赛输了三场。在最近的5场比赛中,东道主取得了1胜2平的成绩,他们最近的表现看起来比赛季初要好。五天前,他们客场1-2输给了哈普尔特拉-阿维斯,但这是一场势均力敌的比赛,他们应该打平。在此之前,他们在主场以1-4输给了海法马卡比,但最终的比分非常具有误导性。他们打得很好,控球率是50-50%。他们有44%的机会赢!


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