Defensive monsters, or not? 意甲尤文图斯VS拉齐奥
2022-11-13

Jarkko

外籍分析师

意甲

11/14 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Smells like a goalless game to me, or does it?

Juventus have the best defensive record in Serie A and especially at home, on the other hand Lazio have conceded only in 1 game in their latest 9 games, an amazing record!

Of course there is some luck involved as the total xG against Lazio in those games is about 10 goals, but it also tells that the defense and the keeper are doing some things right. In a few of those games the opposing team has actually created chances worth of 2 goals, but the ball just have not found their way into the net. There are a few injuries only at Lazio and we might see top scorer Immobile starting as well

I backed Juventus last round to beat Verona by -1.5 asian handicap, and it was a poor bet, poor performance and they were lucky to win the first place. Verona had more chances, more shots, more xG and a draw would had been the fairest result. Ok, it was away, but it was also against Verona who are bottom of the league and who missed several key players.

Late subbed player Alex Sandro took even a red card from Juventus side. He is not so badly missed but there are still half a dozen key players injured or doubts, and unlikely risked ahead of the long international break, like top scorer Vlahovic.

Probable Juventus lineup: Szczesny; Danilo, Bonucci, Bremer; Cuadrado, Fagioli, Locatelli, Rabiot, Kostic; Kean, Milik.

Lazio: Provedel; Hysaj, Casale, Romagnoli, Marusic; Milinkovic-Savic, Cataldi, Vecino; Cancellieri, Anderson, Pedro.

As mentioned above Lazio have been both good and lucky, and often these two go together hand in hand as success builds on self confidence and self confidence and stubbornness bring results. I mentioned the xG against Lazio, and indeed they should or could had conceded 15-16 goals instead of the 8, but in fact the situation is similar to Juventus as they also seem to be riding their luck defensively. They concede chances, but not goals.

From the 3 big games this season Lazio have gained 2 wins and 1 loss, Juventus are 1-1-1, and there is no reason not to see a very even game tonight at Torino. I am even tempted to go for a draw here but let us stick with the X2.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我觉得这是场没有进球的比赛,是吗?

尤文图斯拥有意甲最好的防守记录,尤其是在主场,另一方面,拉齐奥在最近的9场比赛中只丢了1场,这是一个惊人的记录!

当然这其中也有一些运气因素,因为在那些比赛中对阵拉齐奥的xG总进球数约为10球,但这也说明了防守和门将在某些方面做得不错。在其中的几场比赛中,对方确实创造了相当于2球的机会,但球就是没有找到入网的路。只有拉齐奥有一些伤病,我们可能会看到头号射手因莫比勒首发

上一轮我支持尤文图斯以-1.5的亚洲差距击败维罗纳,这是一个糟糕的赌注,糟糕的表现,他们很幸运地赢得了第一名。维罗纳有更多的机会,更多的射门,更多的xG,平局将是最公平的结果。好吧,这是客场比赛,但也是对阵联赛垫底的维罗纳,他们失去了几名关键球员。

迟到的球员亚历克斯·桑德罗甚至从尤文图斯得到了一张红牌。他没有被严重缺阵,但仍有6名关键球员受伤或被怀疑,不太可能在漫长的国际比赛日之前冒险,比如头号射手弗拉霍维奇。

尤文图斯可能的阵容:什琴斯尼;达尼洛、博努奇、布雷默;夸德拉多、法吉奥利、洛卡特利、拉比奥、科斯蒂克;肯恩,Milik。

拉齐奥:Provedel;希萨伊、卡萨尔、罗马尼奥里、马鲁西奇;米林科维奇-萨维奇,卡特迪,维奇诺;Cancellieri, Anderson, Pedro。

如上所述,拉齐奥既优秀又幸运,这两者通常是携手并进的,因为成功建立在自信之上,而自信和固执带来了结果。我提到了xG对拉齐奥的比赛,事实上他们应该或者可能丢15-16球,而不是8球,但事实上情况与尤文图斯相似,他们似乎也在靠防守运气。他们失去了机会,但没有进球。

在本赛季的三场重要比赛中,拉齐奥取得了2胜1负的成绩,尤文图斯是1胜1负,没有理由不看到今晚在都灵的一场非常势均力敌的比赛。我甚至想在这里打个平手但我们还是坚持X2。


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