11月12日伯恩茅斯 VS 埃弗顿比赛分析直播
解读理由：
In my opinion Everton have really good chances to make positive result in today's match up. Odds on Everton are simply too high. +0 AH looks like very safe bet to play. I don't see home win here.
Both teams played each other in Bournemouth just 4 days ago in EFL CUP. Bournemouth won 4:1, but Everton played without many of their key players - central midfielders Onana & Gueye, also without central defenders pair Coady and Tarkowski. That should make big difference today because defensive patterns works much worse without those players. I expect more stability and consistency at the back.
Everton conceded only 3 goals in last 4 Premier League matches. On the other hand Bournemouth is extremely unstable at the back - they conceded at least one goal in last 7 matches in a row in all competitions. Cherries conceded more than one goal in last 3 consecutive league matches. In addition to that today they are without first goalkeeper Neto (injury)and key central defender Mepham (he is suspended). That should have very bad impact on their performance in defense.
Everton also is more productive and more dangerous team in attack than Bournemouth. It's really visible if You look on the expected goals scored model. Bournemouth in current season scored 15 goals, but according to the model they should score only 9.30. Cherries scored 6 goals in 7 home matches, but they have 5.17 expected goals scored. On the other hand Everton scored 11 goals so far, but according to the model they should score 14.7. The Toffees on the road scored 5 goals, but they should score 9.54.
Funny fact - Everton manager Frank Lampard won all 12 matches as a player against Bournemouth manager Gary O'Neil.
Everton is more solid at the back and have bigger potential upfront. On those circumstances I'm going against Bournemouth.
本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：
在我看来，埃弗顿有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得积极的结果。埃弗顿夺冠的几率太高了。+0 AH看起来是非常安全的赌注。我看家乡赢不了。
4天前，两支球队在伯恩茅斯举行的英冠杯比赛中进行了交锋。伯恩茅斯以4:1获胜，但埃弗顿在比赛中缺少了他们的许多关键球员——中场奥纳纳和安普;盖耶，同样缺少中卫搭档科迪和塔科夫斯基。这在今天应该会有很大的不同，因为没有这些球员的防守模式会更糟糕。我希望后防线更加稳定和稳定。
埃弗顿在最近4场英超比赛中只丢了3球。另一方面，伯恩茅斯的后防线非常不稳定——他们在最近的7场比赛中至少丢了一个球。樱桃在最近连续3场联赛中丢球超过1球。除此之外，今天他们没有了第一门将内托(受伤)和关键中卫梅芬(停赛)。这将对他们的防守表现产生非常坏的影响。
埃弗顿在进攻端也比伯恩茅斯更有效率、更危险。如果你看一下预期进球数模型，这是很明显的。本赛季伯恩茅斯进了15球，但根据模型，他们应该只进9.30球。樱桃在7场主场比赛中打进6球，但他们的预期进球数为5.17个。另一方面，埃弗顿到目前为止进了11球，但根据模型，他们应该进14.7球。客场的太妃糖进了5球，但他们应该进9.54球。
有趣的事实——埃弗顿主帅弗兰克·兰帕德在对阵伯恩茅斯主帅加里·奥尼尔的比赛中赢得了所有12场比赛。
埃弗顿的后防线更加稳固，前场的潜力更大。在这种情况下，我对伯恩茅斯不利。
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作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论，意见，倾向等都只是作者本人的观点，和平台，组织网站等第三方没有关系。