[91% correct] Best Premier League pick! 英超热刺VS利兹联
2022-11-12

Ricards

外籍分析师

英超

11/12 23:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Many games are going to happen on Saturday night in the English Premier League and Tottenham Hotspur is going to host Leeds United. When only 1 game is left until the World Cup break, Tottenham is 4h best team with 26 points while Leeds is almost in the middle of the table as they have 15 points which gives them the 12th position.

Tottenham isn't having the best right now as they have won only 1 out of the last 4 games. 2 of them have been at home (against Liverpool and Newcastle) but this is a great opportunity for Tottenham to get back on the winning track as the team has won all 5 home games that have been against teams lower in the table than Liverpool and the average margin has been 2.2 goals. Leeds is on 2 game winning streak - they managed to beat Liverpool on the road and then came back from 1-3 and beat Bournemouth. Before this streak, the team didn't win in 8 straight games.

Yes, the recent 2 losses at home have been Tottenham's only ones this season. The team has won 5 home games and which is the 4th best result in the league and they have scored 17 goals (4th best) and conceded 8. On the other hand, Leeds is playing poorly on the road with only 1 win and 1 draw in 6 games which is the 5th worst result. The team has scored only 7 goals and conceded 13.

The xG stats also give an advantage to Tottenham. While playing at home, the team is expected to score 2.05 goals (6th best) while Leeds is expected to score 1.53 away from home (10th best). Tottenham has 9th best defense with 1.42 expected allowed goals but Leeds is expected to concede 1.71 goals (9th worst).

Since rejoining the league, Leeds United hasn't been able to beat Tottenham on their home soil as Leeds has lost both games. When scoring the opening goal this season, Tottenham hasn't lost any of the 6 games (5 wins, 1 draw). The good news for Tottenham fans is that both Dejan Kulusevski and Richarlison are back on the active roster. Tottenham is desperate to get the win before the break and with help of the home fans, they should be able to do it.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周六晚上的英超联赛将有很多比赛,托特纳姆热刺将主场迎战利兹联。在离世界杯还剩1场比赛的情况下,热刺以26分排在积分榜的第4位,利兹联积15分,几乎排在积分榜的中间,排名第12。

热刺现在的状态不是最好的,因为他们在过去的4场比赛中只赢了1场。其中2场比赛是在主场(对阵利物浦和纽卡斯尔),但这对热刺来说是一个回到胜利轨道的好机会,因为球队在面对积分榜排名低于利物浦的球队的5场主场比赛中都取得全胜,平均净胜球为2.2球。利兹联有两连胜——他们在客场击败了利物浦,然后从1-3逆转,击败了伯恩茅斯。在这波连胜之前,这支球队连赢8场比赛。

是的,最近的两场主场失利是热刺本赛季仅有的两场主场失利。球队赢得了5场主场比赛,这是联赛第四好的成绩,他们进了17球(第四好的)丢了8球。另一方面,利兹联在客场的表现很糟糕,6场比赛只有1胜1平,排名第五。球队只进了7球丢了13球。

xG数据也显示热刺有优势。在主场比赛时,球队预计进球数为2.05球(最佳排名第六),而利兹联预计在客场进球数为1.53球(最佳排名第十)。热刺以1.42个失球排名第九,利兹联则以1.71个失球排名第九。

自从重新加入联赛以来,利兹联还没能在主场击败热刺,因为利兹联两场比赛都输了。在本赛季打进首开纪录的时候,热刺在6场比赛中没有输过一场(5胜1平)。对热刺球迷来说,好消息是库鲁塞夫斯基和理查利森都回到了现役球员名单上。热刺非常想在假期前取得胜利,在主场球迷的帮助下,他们应该能够做到。


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