Floridsdorfer AC VS SV Horn

Floridsdorfer welcome Horn for this Austrian 2.Liga round 16 clash at FAC-Platz in Vienna very early on Saturday Beijing time. This is a quite low-level league by European standards and the difference compared to the first tier is substantial. However, I think betting-wise this is a very lucrattive match! The largest, sharpest bookies see the host as narrow favorites. I cannot agree with this at all.. The visitors surely have the better chance of taking all three points here. The draw would be enough for my fans and I and me with the recommended +0.5 goals handicap on the visitors. The probability of the draw is 32% - more than in on average in this league and us winning 72%. The bookies estimate the goal expectancy here at approximately 2.27 but I think the accurate number is only 2.08. Horn usually play surprisingly defensive, even cautious – for a strong team - football away from home especially against the top-10 teams. Furthermore, I think Floridsdorfer will also avoid too big risks here as Horn can be deadly on the counter attacks. They have allowed just five goals on the road and have netted the ball eight times in seven matches this season. Moreover, they have lost just one away game. Indeed, the home advantage here is lower than on average in this league as Floridsdorfer are only the 11th-best home team so far in this league with a total of 16 teams. They do not have the most enthusiastic or loud fans.

Horn have been excellent so far and currently and currently top the standings with a huge number of points -30! They have lost just three games in this league and allowed just 15 goals – second-lowest number in this league. They have exceeded the bookies', probably most football analysts' and my expectations and I have massively raised their power rating that illustrates' the teams pure class from my in depth preseason analysis. They are currently in second place in this ranking. Bookies still seem to think they have massively over-performed and keep undervaluing them. The have, however, improved a lot from last season.Horn are in much better form than Floridsdorfer and have lost just one of their latest five matches. In their most recent match, they locked horn with a dangerous team, Amstetten and took a solid 2-1 home win as only narrow favorites – priced around 2.30 to win on the betting market. They had 56% ball possession and recorded much more goal attempts (13-4), shots on goal, attacks and dangerous attacks – 91-55. Floridsdorfer are having disappointing season and have looked much worse than last season – when they were lucky in terms of expected points though.. They are in 7th place in the standings with 24 points but the the bookies do not seem to recognize their decline.. They have not win any of their latest five matches and according to my sources their team spirit is far from optimal.. In their most recent match they faced Austria Vienna II away from home as very clear favorites but were very lame especially offensively. It was goalless draw but the the hosts taking a narrow win would not haven been unjustified as they recorded more in expected goals.