Very great value NBA pick! NBA奇才VS独行侠
2022-11-10

Ricards

外籍分析师

NBA

11/11 08:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Only 4 games on Thursday night in the NBA and I'm going to talk about the matchup between Washington Wizards and Dallas Mavericks. Washington is having a tough time right now as they have won only 2 out of the last 7 games but they are still in the 8th position in the conference. Last night Mavericks 4 game winning streak was snapped as they lost to Orlando Magic on the road.

In this game, I'm taking the Mavericks. Washington is going to be without Bradley Beal and this is a huge loss. He has missed the last 2 games and the Wizards lost to Memphis and beat Charlotte. On the other hand, Dallas is going to miss Christian Wood and he has been an important piece for the team. The most important piece, of course, is Luka Doncic. Last night was 1st time this season when Doncic didn't score at least 30 points and I'm very sure that he's going to bring up some Luka Magic tonight.

The Mavericks average 110.4 points per game this season and Washington is 9 spots below with 107 points per game. On defense, Dallas provides 3rd best performance as they allow only 106.1 points per game but Washington lets opponents score 111.1 points per game (11th best). If we look from an advanced stat perspective, Dallas is the 8th best team on offense (114.3) but the Wizards are the 6th worst (108.5). On the other side, the Mavericks demonstrate 9th best defense (109.5), and Washington is only in 22nd position (112.8).

The Mavericks are perfectly mediocre when it comes to performing on the 2nd night of a back-to-back under Jason Kidd. They’re 6-6-1 against the spread in these situations with the 1 push coming earlier this year in a 9-point win over the Magic. When handed a rest advantage, such as the one they’ll receive Thursday, the Wizards have failed to capitalize. Since Wes Unseld Jr. took over in 2021, they’re just 6-14-1 against the spread.

Dallas gets 34.8% of all points from 3-point land and that is the 10th-best result in the league. At the same time, Washington allows opponents to shoot 38.2% from downtown which is the 4th worst result in the league. The Wizards struggle from behind the arc as they get only 25% of all points from 3-pointers so that means they are going to drive a lot but the visitors' defense should get the job done.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周四晚上NBA只有4场比赛,我要谈谈华盛顿奇才和达拉斯小牛队之间的比赛。华盛顿现在的处境很艰难,因为他们在过去的7场比赛中只赢了2场,但他们仍然排在西部第8位。昨晚小牛在客场输给奥兰多魔术,4连胜被终结。

这场比赛,我要拿下小牛队。华盛顿将失去布拉德利·比尔,这是一个巨大的损失。他缺席了最近的两场比赛,奇才输给了灰熊,击败了夏洛特。另一方面,达拉斯将会想念克里斯蒂安·伍德,他一直是球队的重要组成部分。当然,最重要的是卢卡·东契奇。昨晚是东契奇本赛季第一次没有得到至少30分,我非常肯定他今晚会拿出卢卡·魔术师的样子。

小牛队本赛季场均得分110.4分,奇才队场均得分107分,落后9位。在防守端,小牛场均只让对手得106.1分,排名第三,而华盛顿奇才则让对手场均得111.1分(排名第11)。如果我们从高级数据的角度来看,小牛在进攻端排名第八(114.3分),而奇才则排在倒数第六(108.5分)。另一方面,小牛队的最佳防守为109.5分,排在第9位,奇才队仅排在第22位(112.8分)。

在基德执教的背靠背的第二个晚上,小牛队的表现非常平庸。在这种情况下,他们的战绩是6胜6负,今年早些时候他们在1分的推动下战胜了魔术。当他们得到休息优势时,比如周四他们将得到的,奇才没有利用好。自从小韦斯·昂塞尔2021年接手球队以来,他们的胜率只有6胜14负1负。

小牛的三分球得分占总得分的34.8%,在联盟中排名第十。与此同时,华盛顿允许对手在市中心投篮38.2%,这是联盟第四糟糕的结果。奇才在三分线后很挣扎,他们只有25%的得分来自三分球,这意味着他们会有很多突破,但客队的防守应该会完成任务。


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