Since losing to Mallorca on their first home game - and undeservedly so - the team from Vallecas have impressed at home, and the best proof of that was the huge win over Real Madrid last round.

The 0-0 draw v Getafe ruins the statistics, but in the light of performance data that should also have been a 2-0 win, Rayo won all statistics clearly and were the better team throughout the game.

Rayo fans are already dreaming of European spots, and perhaps that is a bit too much asked in the long run as they are mediocre on their travels, but at home they are a beast and last season they had the best home record of all European top-5 leagues!

Celta did not have high expectations for this season as they lost important key players like Mina and Brais Mendez, but today they are also very likely without their absolute star Iago Aspas, who injured himself in Tuesday's training session but does travel to Madrid.

Result-wise Celta are in the relegationn zone and recently they have replaced coach Coudet by Carvalhal. He has made some minor changes in the formation, turning away from the idea of a lone defensive midfielder.

The results lately are an absolute horror and explain also my choice of handicap here, if you can lose badly to Almeria and Valladolid away you can do it also in Vallecas! There have been unluck in some games, but also very toothless performances in some others. The keeper Marchesin also fails night after night, and in open play Celta have conceded almost 10 goals more than they should have according to goal expectation data xG.

There are other absentees today at Celta. Important Hugo Mallo is out, mentally they are in a bad place and can not wait for the international break - La Liga will continue at the end of December, and I can see Rayo enjoying themselves with a dominant and strong performance and clear home win. If you want to watch a match tonight this might be the most entertaining choice in Spain.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

自从第一次主场输给马洛卡之后——这是不应该的——这支来自巴列卡斯的球队在主场给人留下了深刻的印象，最好的证明就是上一轮对皇马的大胜。

0-0战平赫塔菲破坏了统计数据，但从表现数据来看，这也应该是一场2-0的胜利，拉约显然赢得了所有的统计数据，在整场比赛中是更好的球队。

拉约的球迷们已经梦想着进入欧洲赛场了，也许从长远来看这个要求有点过分，因为他们在客场表现一般，但在主场他们是一头野兽，上赛季他们在欧洲五大联赛的主场战绩最好!

塞尔塔对本赛季的期望并不高，因为他们失去了像米娜和布雷斯·门德斯这样的关键球员，但今天他们也很可能失去他们的绝对球星伊阿古·阿斯帕斯，他在周二的训练中受伤，但将前往马德里。

结果塞尔塔在降级区，最近他们用卡瓦哈尔取代了教练库代特。他在阵型上做了一些小的改变，放弃了单打防守中场的想法。

最近的结果绝对是可怕的，这也解释了我在这里选择的障碍，如果你能在客场惨败给阿尔梅里亚和巴拉多利德，你也可以在巴列卡斯做到!在一些比赛中有不走运的表现，但在其他一些比赛中也有非常无力的表现。守门员Marchesin也在一夜又一夜的失败，在开放比赛中塞尔塔已经比他们的进球预期数据xG多丢了近10个球。

今天塞尔塔还有一些人缺席。重要的雨果·马洛缺阵了，他们的精神状态很糟糕，已经等不及国际比赛日了——西甲联赛将在12月底继续，我可以看到拉约很享受自己的统治力和强大的表现，并在主场取得胜利。如果你今晚想看一场比赛，这可能是西班牙最有趣的选择。