Espanyol VS Villarreal

Espanyol host Villarreal for LaLiga round 14 clash at RCDE Stadium early Thursday morning Beijing time.This is the second-best league on the planet after English Premier League - followed by German Bundesliga and French Ligue 1. A very balanced and relatively low-scoring battle is expected here. For entertainment the Bundesliga is probably a better option today..The biggest, usually pretty accurate bookmakers with the biggest stake limits estimate the goal expectancy at approximately 2.26. I would, however, estimate that only 2.07 goals are expected here. The probability of a draw is quite high – 32.5%. This result would be enough to extend my fans' and my super-hot streak of 16/17 and 7/7 most recent picks won betting on this top-level league! The betting market sees Villarreal as the favorites here. I cannot agree with this and rate the hosts as marginal favorites with a 34.5 % chance of taking all three points. With the recommended handicap bet we have a 67% chance of winning!

Villarreal currently occupy the 9th place in the standings with 18 points. This is something they are surely not satisfied with.. Their goal difference is 14:10. Indeed, their defense has been quite solid but we must realize that in terms of expected goals allowed(xGA) they should have conceded 16 or 17 goals!. On the other hand, they would have deserved 17 goals in terms of xG. Furthermore - unlike some football journalists claim - in terms of expected points they have got what they deserved. I do rate them as the 7th best team in LaLiga in my power rating the reflects the teams' pure class but their current form is worse than their pure class! They have lost three games in a row and seem to be low in confidence at the moment.. Indeed, their coach Quique Setién has a lot of work to do with his players.. I am not quite sure if I trust him to succeed in this task.. At the moment it seems incredible that Villarreal qualified for the semi-finals over the mighty Bayern Munich in the Champions League in the spring! They won the first leg in Spain and in Munich it was a 1-1 draw. They were extremely lucky in both legs and I believe that bettors and bookies alike still remember this great achievement and fail recognize their current level – resulting in over-valuation..

Villarreal were horribly bad against a mediocre team Mallorca last Sunday and lost 0-2 at home. They only recorded 0.45 in expected goals despite the seemingly impressive 71% ball possession. Indeed, Mallorca put up a brilliant defensive performance but still recorded 0.81 in xG. Villarreal have to improve a lot - or get lucky if they want to beat Espanyol here! Before the Mallorca defeat they got beaten in Poland in UEFA Conference League 3-0 by Lech Poznan. Furthermore, before this they were once again lame offensively and lost to Athletic Bilbao 0-1 away from home. The hosts have taken 12 points so far but in terms of expected points they would have deserved 19 points. The bookies should respect them a lot more! They have now played three draws in a row and would probably be pretty okay with a fourth one despite the loud fans probably hoping for more.. In their most recent match, they took a point from Atletico Madrid away from home through a 1-1 draw. They did have some luck though but defended very well and showed great fighting spirit - once again! They have netted the ball 16 times so far and in this area of the game they, quite amazingly, even look better than Villarreal at the moment! They attack very well as team despite not having any super-talented players in the squad. Defensively Villarreal unarguably have an edge though.

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西班牙人VS比利亚雷亚尔

北京时间周四凌晨，西班牙人主场迎战比利亚雷亚尔的西甲联赛第14轮比赛。这是世界上第二好的联赛，仅次于英超，其次是德甲和法甲。这将是一场非常平衡且分数相对较低的战斗。就娱乐而言，德甲可能是如今更好的选择。最大的、通常非常准确的博彩公司估计，进球数约为2.26球。然而，我估计这里只有2.07个目标。平局的概率相当高- 32.5%。这个结果将足以延长我的球迷和我的超热连续16/17和7/7最近的选择赢得这个顶级联赛的赌注!博彩市场认为比利亚雷亚尔是最受欢迎的球队。我不同意这一点，我认为东道主以34.5%的几率获得全部三分，是最受欢迎的。与推荐的障碍打赌，我们有67%的机会获胜!

比利亚雷亚尔目前以18分排名第九。这肯定是他们不满意的。他们的净胜球是14:10。的确，他们的防守相当稳固，但我们必须意识到，根据预期的进球(xGA)，他们应该丢16或17球!另一方面，以xG计算，他们应该得到17个进球。此外，与一些足球记者所说的不同，就预期积分而言，他们已经得到了他们应得的。在我的实力评估中，他们在LaLiga中排名第七，这反映了球队的水平，但他们目前的状态比他们的水平更糟糕!他们已经连输了三场比赛，目前看来信心很低。的确，他们的教练基克Setién有很多工作要做他的球员。我不敢肯定是否相信他能完成这项任务。现在看来，比利亚雷亚尔在春季的欧冠半决赛中击败强大的拜仁慕尼黑似乎是不可思议的!他们在西班牙赢得了首回合的胜利，而在慕尼黑则是1-1战平。他们在两回合比赛中都非常幸运，我相信投注者和赌马人仍然记得这一伟大的成就，没有认识到他们目前的水平——导致估值过高。

比利亚雷亚尔在上周日对马洛卡的比赛中表现糟糕透顶，在主场以0:2输掉了比赛。尽管他们的控球率达到了令人印象深刻的71%，但他们的预期进球数只有0.45。的确，马洛卡在防守方面表现出色，但xG仍为0.81。比利亚雷亚尔必须提高很多——如果他们想在这里击败西班牙人，那就走运吧!在输给马略卡之前，他们在波兰的欧联联赛中被莱赫·波兹南以3:0击败。此外，在此之前，他们的进攻再一次疲软，客场0-1不敌毕尔巴鄂竞技。到目前为止，东道主已经拿了12分，但从预期积分来看，他们应该得到19分。博彩公司应该更加尊重他们!他们已经连打了三场平局，如果能有第四场平局，他们可能会很满意，尽管球迷们可能希望有更多的平局。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场1-1战平马竞，从马竞手中拿到1分。他们确实有一些运气，但防守很好，展示了伟大的战斗精神——再一次!到目前为止，他们已经有16次进球，在这方面，他们甚至看起来比比利亚雷亚尔更好。他们的进攻非常出色，尽管球队中没有任何超级天才球员。防守端比利亚雷亚尔毫无疑问有优势。

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