Mallorca VS Atletico Madrid

Mallorca welcome visitors from the capital of Spain for LaLiga round 14 clash at Visit Mallorca Estadi in Palma de Mallorca early Thursday morning Beijing time. This is the second-best league on the planet after English Premier League and followed by German Bundesliga and French Ligue 1. A very balanced and low-scoring battle is on the cards here. The biggest, sharpest bookmakers with the biggest stake limits estimate the goal expectancy at approximately 1.80. This is indeed a low number by LaLiga standards. I would go even further and would estimate that only 1.70 goals are expected here. The probability of a draw is definitely higher than on average in this league – 35%. This result would be enough to extend my fans' and my terrific streak of 16/17 and 7/7 latest picks won betting on this league! We also won a bet on LaLiga2 a few days ago. The betting market sees Atletico Madrid as solid favorites here. I cannot agree with this and only rate them as very slim favorites with a 34 % chance of taking all three points. With the recommended bet we have a 66% chance of winning! The LaLiga champions from the 2020-2021 season are undoubtedly weaker than last season – not to mention the victorious season when they had for example still in-form Luis Suarez scoring important goals..

The visitors currently occupy the 4th place in the standings but I do rate them as the 3rd best team in this league in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. However, I want to highlight that they are not much better than the two teams from the Basque country – Athletico Bilbao and Real Sociedad, Betis or Villarreal. Past achievements and some famous players in the lineup probably are the main reasons behind the over-valuation on the betting market here.. Their Champions League campaign was a total catastrophe as they finished last in Group B with just five points to their account! They won only one game and had a score difference of 5:9. It was, on top of it all, an easy group! Porto finished first, Club Brugge, a quite small club from Belgium second and under-performing German club, Bayer Leverkusen, qualified for the Europa League 1/16-finals. Their offensive football was very lame in most matches and lacked speed and creativity. Perhaps they should start looking for a replacement for their legendary Argentinian manager, D. Simeone.. In LaLiga they have been more effective though scoring 21 goals and taking 24 points. However, this is a whopping 13 points less than Barcelona who currently top the standings. Real Madrid, too, have 32 points already to their account. Unlike some football journalists believe, Atletico will have no chance to even seriously challenge these two clubs this season – or in the future I believe..

The visitors are certainly not in good shape and have won just one of their latest five matches. Even this win was an undeserved as the hosts, Real Betis, were the better team on the pitch creating 1.43 in expected goals – Atletico's number was just 0.52. Atletico were the favorites in this game according to the bookies but Betis had 55% ball possession and recorded more scoring chances(17-9), shots on target, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks! Mallorca, on the other hand have been surprisingly good this season and I have raised their power rating as a result from the in-depth preseason analysis! They are in 12th place with a respectable 16 points but would have deserved 18 points in terms of expected points. Their defense has been very solid – they have allowed just 13 goals! However, they too, have struggled with efficiency in offense. In their most recent three games, they have taken two brilliant wins away from home and played a draw against Espanyol at Visit Mallorca Estadi. Last Sunday they beat Villarreal as massive underdogs 2-0 after yet another great defensive effort! On the 22nd of last month they defeated a dangerous club, Valencia 2-1, again as very clear underdogs according to the bookies! Having said that, the visitors still do have a small edge in terms of defensive capability - offensively the edge is bigger but taking the substantial home advantage into account makes this close to a 50-50% match.

Mallorca have a completely healthy squad in terms of injuries, as the impressive Kang-in Lee looks likely to continue up front with in-form Muriqi. Wing-back Pablo Maffeo will continue to serve his suspension after a straight red card against Espanyol two weeks ago though. Forward Dani Rodriguez has picked up his fifth yellow card and is also out.For the first time in quite a long time, Atletico Madrid also are expected to be without any injury doubts for this match, after Yannick Carrasco and Marcos Llorente have fully overcome their recent setbacks. The visitors do have suspensions to deal with, though, as crucial center-back Jose Maria Gimenez, along with Joao Felix, will both be out due to too many of yellow cards. Even a goalless draw would not surprise me here!

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马略卡VS马竞

北京时间周四凌晨，马略卡在帕尔马的马略卡球场迎接来自西班牙首都的游客，观看西甲联赛第14轮的比赛。这是世界上第二好的联赛，仅次于英超，其次是德甲和法甲。这是一场非常平衡和低分数的战斗。最大、最敏锐、赌注上限最大的博彩公司估计，目标预期约为1.80。按照LaLiga的标准，这确实是一个较低的数字。我甚至会进一步估计，这里只有1.70个进球。平局的概率肯定高于这个联盟的平均水平——35%。这个结果将足以延续我的球迷和我的连续16/17和7/7的最新选择赢得这个联盟的赌注!几天前我们还赢了一个关于LaLiga2的赌注。博彩市场认为马德里竞技是最受欢迎的球队。我不同意这种说法，我只认为他们是非常微弱的热门球队，有34%的机会拿到全部三分。根据推荐的赌注，我们有66%的机会获胜!2020-2021赛季的西甲冠军毫无疑问比上赛季弱，更不用说那个胜利的赛季了，当时他们还有状态良好的苏亚雷斯打进了重要的进球。

客队目前在积分榜上排名第四，但在我的实力评价中，他们在联赛中排名第三，这反映了两支球队纯粹的水平。然而，我想强调的是，他们并不比来自巴斯克地区的两支球队——毕尔巴鄂竞技队和皇家社会，贝蒂斯或比利亚雷亚尔好多少。过去的成就和阵容中的一些著名球员可能是博彩市场估值过高的主要原因。他们的欧冠之旅完全是一场灾难，因为他们在B组垫底，仅积5分!他们只赢了一场比赛，比分相差5:9。最重要的是，这是一个轻松的小组!波尔图排名第一，布鲁日俱乐部是比利时的一家规模很小的俱乐部，排名第二，表现不佳的德国俱乐部勒沃库森获得了欧联杯1/16决赛资格。他们的进攻足球在大多数比赛中都很差劲，缺乏速度和创造力。也许他们应该开始为他们传奇的阿根廷主帅D.西蒙尼寻找接班人。在西甲联赛中，他们打进了21球，拿到了24分，表现更加出色。然而，这比目前排名第一的巴塞罗那少了13分。皇马也已经获得32分。与一些足球记者所认为的不同，马竞在本赛季甚至没有机会真正挑战这两家俱乐部——或者我相信在未来。

客队的状态当然不是很好，他们最近的五场比赛只赢了一场。即使是这场胜利也是不应该的，因为东道主皇家贝蒂斯在场上表现更好，创造了1.43个预期进球数，而马竞的预期进球数只有0.52个。根据博彩公司的统计，马竞在这场比赛中是最受欢迎的球队，但贝蒂斯拥有55%的控球率，记录了更多的进球机会(17-9)，射正，总传球，完成传球，进攻和危险的进攻!另一方面，马洛卡本赛季出乎意料的出色，我通过深入的季前赛分析提高了他们的实力评级!他们以令人尊敬的16分排名第12，但从预期积分来看，他们应该得到18分。他们的防守非常稳固，只丢了13个球!然而，他们也在努力提高进攻效率。在最近的三场比赛中，他们在客场取得了两场辉煌的胜利，并在马略卡埃斯塔迪客场战平西班牙人。上周日，他们在又一次伟大的防守努力后，以2-0击败了处于劣势的比利亚雷亚尔!上个月22日，他们以2比1击败了危险的瓦伦西亚俱乐部，根据博彩公司的说法，他们再次明显处于劣势!话虽如此，客队在防守能力上仍有些许优势——进攻方面的优势更大，但考虑到主场的优势，双方的比数接近50%。

就伤病而言，马洛卡的阵容是完全健康的，令人印象深刻的康因·李(Kang-in lee)看起来很可能在状态良好的穆里奇(Muriqi)的带领下继续担任锋线。不过，边后卫巴勃罗·马菲奥(Pablo maffeo&nbnbsp;)在两周前对阵西班牙人的比赛中连续吃到红牌后，将继续接受禁赛。前锋丹妮·罗德里格斯(Dani Rodriguez )吃到了自己的第五张黄牌，也被淘汰了。在扬尼克·卡拉斯科和马科斯·略伦特完全克服了最近的挫折之后，马德里竞技很长一段时间以来第一次有望在这场比赛中没有伤病的困扰。客队确实要处理停赛的问题，因为关键的中后卫何塞·玛丽亚·希门尼斯和若昂·菲利克斯都将因为吃到太多黄牌而缺席比赛。即使是一场平局也不会让我感到惊讶!