8th LaLiga WINNER in a row? 西甲阿梅里亚VS赫塔费
2022-11-09

Tapio

外籍分析师

西甲

11/10 02:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Almeria VS Getafe

Almeria welcome Getafe at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos for this Spanish LaLiga round 14 clash early Thursday morning Beijing time. This is the second-best league on the planet after English Premier League. Neither team are among the top teams in LaLiga but we can still expect a good-level and balanced match. Almeria currently occupy the 15th place with 13 points. They have netted the ball 15 times but their defense has been somewhat shaky allowing 22 goals. They would have to improve in this area of the game to avoid relegation.. Their defense lacks structure and the defenders are quite limited in terms of individual skill level by LaLiga standards. Almeria were promoted from LaLiga2 for this season and we must remember that LaLiga is of massively higher level! It is much more high-paced and the players are clearly more skilled. Defensive mistakes are a lot more costly than at the 2nd tier. It seems that quite a few Almeria's players need more time to adjust to LaLiga level.. I have them in the 19th place in my power rating in my power ratings that illustrate the teams's pure class in this league with a total of 20 teams. They will surely drop down in the standings as the season progresses. Furthermore, Almeria have taken two more points than they would have deserved in terms of expected points(xPTS) and are definitely over-valued by the bookies here!

Getafe, on the other hand, have grabbed one more point than the hosts and are in the 14th place in the standings. Their score difference is 12:19. Their number of xPTS is the same is the actual number of 14. However, their defense is better than the 19 goals allowed would reflect. Almeria's number of expected goals allowed(xGA) is 25. Indeed, in this area of the game the visitors have a clear edge. Offensively rate the teams equally good. Last season Getafe played a strong season by their standards and finished in the 15th place with 39 points and a goal difference of 33:41. 15th is their place also in my power rating. Girona have unarguably been quite good at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos so far this season and taking the home advantage into consideration I see this match as a coin toss (50-50%) without a favorite. This means that my fans and I have a 66% chance of winning with the recommended pick - for the 8th time in a row in LaLiga! Getafe, however, have also been pretty good on the road lately taking two wins and two draws and losing just one of their latest five matches a way from home. We must remember, though, that Almeria have also been lucky in many home games.. For example on the 20th of October they beat Girona 3-2 but did not deserve the win. The visitors had 66% ball possession and one more goal attempts. They also recorded much more total passes, completed passes, attacks(60-121) and dangerous attacks – 21-54. Their number of expected goals was 2.71 – Almeria recorded 2.07. Lastly, I want to mention that Getafe have have not lost any of their most recent five games. Almeria's record is two wins and three defeats.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

阿尔梅里亚VS赫塔菲

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北京时间周四凌晨,阿尔梅里亚在Mediterráneos球场欢迎赫塔菲参加西甲联赛第14轮的比赛。这是这个星球上仅次于英超的第二好的联赛。两支球队都不是西甲联赛的顶级球队,但我们仍然可以期待一场高水平和平衡的比赛。阿尔梅里亚目前以13分排名第15。他们有15次进球,但他们的防守有些不稳定,进了22球。要想保级,他们必须在这方面有所提高。他们的防守缺乏结构,按照LaLiga的标准,后卫的个人技术水平相当有限。阿尔梅里亚本赛季从LaLiga2升班马,我们必须记住,LaLiga的水平要高得多!它的节奏要快得多,球员的技术也明显更高。防守失误的代价要比第二梯队高得多。看来很多阿尔梅里亚的球员需要更多的时间来适应LaLiga的水平。在我的实力排名中,他们排在第19位,在我的实力排名中,这说明了这支球队在联盟中总共有20支球队。随着赛季的进展,他们的排名肯定会下降。此外,阿尔梅里亚已经拿了两个多的积分比他们应该得到的预期积分(xPTS),肯定被博彩公司高估了!

另一方面,赫塔菲比东道主多拿了一分,目前排名第14。他们的比分差是12:19。他们的xPTS的数量是相同的,实际的数量是14。然而,他们的防守比被允许进的19球要好得多。阿尔梅里亚的预期进球数(xGA)是25个。的确,客队在这方面的比赛有明显的优势。在进攻端,两队的得分都相当不错。上个赛季,赫塔菲按照他们的标准打出了一个强劲的赛季,以39分和33:41的净胜球排名第15。他们在我的权力等级中也排在第15位。本赛季到目前为止,赫罗纳在Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos球场的表现毫无疑问非常好,考虑到主场优势,我认为这场比赛就像抛硬币(50-50%),没有哪支球队最喜欢。这意味着我的粉丝和我有66%的机会赢得推荐的选择-在LaLiga连续第8次!然而,赫塔菲最近的客场表现也相当不错,取得了两胜两平的成绩,在最近的五场客场比赛中只输了一场。我们必须记住,阿尔梅里亚在许多主场比赛中也很幸运。例如,在10月20日,他们3-2击败了赫罗纳,但并没有赢得这场胜利。客队有66%的控球率,还有一次进球机会。他们的总传球、完成传球、进攻(60-121)和危险进攻(21-54)也都有所增加。他们的预期进球数是2.71个,阿尔梅里亚则是2.07个。最后,我想提一下赫塔菲最近的五场比赛都没有输过。阿尔梅里亚队的战绩是2胜3负。


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