The best Monday pick!
2022-11-07

Ricards

外籍分析师

西甲

11/08 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Only 1 game is being played on Monday in the European TOP5 leagues. The only match is going to be in La Liga between two teams from Madrid - Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid. The host Vallecano is the 9th best team with 18 points but Real Madrid is in 2nd place with 32 points and 2 points behind Barcelona although Real has played 1 less game.

Vallecano hasn't lost in the last 4 games as they have 2 wins and 2 draws. In the last La Liga game, Real Madrid drew against Girona on the home floor. Real's manager Carlo Ancelotti was very frustrated after the game and he wasn't happy with the referee's decision. The team had a great opportunity to blow some steam off as they crushed Celtic in the last Champions League group stage game with a 5:1 victory.

Real has won 7 straight-away games and it has happened for the 1st time since 2017 when they won 13 games in a row away from home. Vallecano is only the 12th best home team in La Liga as they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in front of their fans. Per xG stats, Vallecano is 3rd best team with 2.21 expected goals at home while Real is the best away team with 2.34 expected goals. Vallecano is expected to allow only 1.03 goals at home while Real is expected to concede 1.37 goals.

Real Madrid has an excellent record against Rayo Vallecano and has won 21 of the last 25 matches played between the 2 teams. Rayo Vallecano has lost 14 of their 19 home games against Real Madrid in La Liga - their 3rd highest loss percentage against a single opponent at home in the competition.

Karim Benzema and Toni Kroos won't be able to help Real Madrid but the team knows that they can't afford to lose points as Barcelona is ahead of them. Only 2 games are left until the World Cup break and the players should be very motivated to be at the top when the break starts and we can't forget about the last game versus Girona. The head-to-head results are very much in favor of Real and they should be able to get 3 points.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

欧洲五大联赛周一只有一场比赛。唯一的比赛将在西甲进行,两支来自马德里的球队——巴列卡诺和皇家马德里。东道主巴列卡诺以18分排名第九,皇马以32分落后巴萨2分排名第二,尽管皇马少踢了一场比赛。

巴列卡诺在过去4场比赛中没有输过,他们取得了2胜2平的成绩。在上一场西甲比赛中,皇马在主场战平赫罗纳。皇马主帅安切洛蒂在赛后非常沮丧,他对裁判的判罚很不满意。在上一场欧冠小组赛中,他们以5:1的比分击败了凯尔特人队,这是他们释放压力的绝佳机会。

皇马已经取得了7场客场连胜,这是自2017年以来的第一次,当时他们在客场取得了13场连胜。巴列卡诺在西甲主场战绩为3胜1平1负,仅排在第12位。根据xG数据,巴列卡诺以2.21个预期主场进球排名第三,皇马则以2.34个预期客场进球排名第一。巴列卡诺预计在主场只丢1.03球,而皇马预计将丢1.37球。

皇马在对阵巴列卡诺的比赛中取得了优异的成绩,在两队最近的25场比赛中取得了21胜。巴列卡诺在西甲19场主场对阵皇家马德里的比赛中输掉了14场,这是巴列卡诺在西甲主场对阵单一对手的第三高输球率。

本泽马和克罗斯不能帮助皇马,但球队知道他们不能丢分,因为巴萨在他们前面。离世界杯休息期只剩下2场比赛了,球员们应该在休息期开始时保持斗志,我们不能忘记上一场对阵赫罗纳的比赛。正面交锋的结果非常有利于皇马,他们应该能够得到3分。


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