In my opinion Montpellier have bigger chances to avoid loss today than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Montpellier coming for this game without any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. They lost last 5 matches in a row, but in last 4 games Montpellier played against really good teams: Monaco, Lens, Lyon and Rennes. Last two matches they played with new manager Romain Pitau and looked better than their results shows. In last round they lost 0:3 on away against Rennes, but they not deserved for such big loss: expected goals scored for Montpellier 0.90, for Rennes 1.22. I see positive - they don't have big problems with goalscoring: already 22 goals in 13 matches. They didn't lost 6 matches in a row in Ligue1 in last 18 years. Today is good moment to break bad streak.

Clermont failed to win in last 3 matches. They have problems with creativity - they scored 17 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 12.6. In addition to that today they are without offensive left back Borges (he scored a goal and received Man of the match award in last game). Clermont at home is not convincing at all. In 2022 only Angers lost more home games than Clermont in Ligue1. Defensive formation don't have stability: 12 goals in 6 home matches. In addition to that today they are without their best defender Caufriez. It's huge blow and should have very bad impact on their defense.

Montpellier should be able to score and make first positive result with new coach on the bench.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，蒙彼利埃今天避免失利的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

蒙彼利埃本场比赛没有新球员缺阵，所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮完全一样。他们在最近的5场比赛中输掉了比赛，但在最近的4场比赛中，蒙彼利埃对阵的是真正的强队:摩纳哥、伦斯、里昂和雷恩。最近两场他们与新教练罗曼·皮托的比赛，他们的表现比结果要好。上一轮他们客场0:3输给了雷恩，但他们不该输这么大的球:蒙彼利埃的预期进球数是0.90，雷恩是1.22。我看到的是正面的——他们在进球方面没有大问题:在13场比赛中已经进了22球。他们在过去的18年里没有在法甲联赛中输掉6场比赛。今天是打破坏习惯的好时机。

克莱蒙特在最近3场比赛中都没有获胜。他们的创造力有问题——他们进了17个球，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该只进12.6球。除此之外，今天他们失去了进攻左后卫博尔赫斯(他在上一场比赛中打进一球并获得了本场最佳球员奖)。克莱蒙特在主场的表现一点也不令人信服。在2022年的法甲联赛中，只有昂热的主场输球比克莱蒙特多。防守阵型不稳定:6场主场比赛进12球。除此之外，今天他们失去了最好的后卫考弗里兹。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对他们的防守产生非常坏的影响。

蒙彼利埃在新教练坐上替补席的情况下应该能够取得进球并取得第一个积极的结果。