In my opinion Leicester have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Leicester had awful start of the season, but looks like they finally turned a corner. Leicester didn't lost in 4 of last 6 matches and conceded only 3 goals in the process - new central defender Wout Faes so far played extremely solid and consistent. In last round Foxes lost 0:1 at home against Manchester City, but not shame at all as that was very close game: expected goals scored for Leicester 0.71, for City 1.03. Leicester finally have stability at the back and this is reason why results started to get better. In attack obviously they have so many dangerous players like Maddison, Barnes or Vardy. Leicester scored at least one goal in last 12 matches in a row against Everton at Goodison Park so why not today?

Everton defensive formation obviously looks much better in comparison to the previous season, but they are really overrated. Everton so far conceded only 12 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 21.2 - it's huge difference especially at this stage of the season. They not conceded a single goal in last two matches (against Crystal Palace & Fulham), but according to the model they should conceded 2.81 in total. Leicester have big quality in attack and Everton luck cannot last forever.

Everton failed to win in 4 of 6 home matches so far and I don't see them as so big favorite against dangerous Leicester with raising form.

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在我看来，莱斯特城有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

莱斯特城本赛季开局糟糕，但看起来他们终于有了转机。莱斯特城在过去的6场比赛中有4场没有输球，在这个过程中只丢了3球——新中卫Wout Faes到目前为止发挥非常稳定。在上一轮的比赛中，狐狸主场0:1输给了曼城，但这并不丢人，因为那是一场非常接近的比赛:莱斯特城的预期进球数是0.71，曼城是1.03。莱斯特城的后防线终于稳定了，这就是为什么比赛结果开始好转的原因。在进攻端，他们有很多危险的球员，比如麦迪森、巴恩斯和瓦尔迪。莱斯特城在古迪逊公园球场连续12场对阵埃弗顿的比赛中至少进了一个球，为什么今天不进呢?

埃弗顿的防守阵型显然比上个赛季好得多，但他们确实被高估了。埃弗顿到目前为止只丢了12球，但是根据预期丢球模型，他们应该丢21.2球——这是巨大的差距，尤其是在赛季的这个阶段。他们最近两场比赛一球未失(对阵水晶宫&富勒姆)，但根据模型，他们总共应该丢2.81球。莱斯特城的进攻质量很高，埃弗顿的好运不会永远持续下去。

到目前为止，埃弗顿在6场主场比赛中有4场没有赢球，我不认为他们在对阵状态上升的莱斯特城时有多大的胜算。