100% Serie A predictions!
2022-11-04

Ricards

外籍分析师

意甲

11/05 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:

On Friday night 1 game in the Italian Serie A is going to happen as Udinese will host Lecce. After 12 rounds, Udinese is in 8th position with 22 points while Lecce sits in 17th place (1 spot above the relegation zone) with 8 points. In this game, I'm confident that Udinese will win and get the very necessary 3 points.

Udinese had won 6 games in a row but right now the team hasn't won in the last 4 games. The only victory for Lecce this season was on 16th September but since then the team has lost 3 games and drew 2. While playing at home, Udinese has been the 6th best team in the league with 3 wins, 2 draws and 11 total points while Lecce away from home has 4 points with 1 win and 1 draw. Udinese has beaten teams like Fiorentina, Roma and Inter on their home soil this season.

If we look at xG stats, Udinese has been better. In front of their fans, Udinese is expected to score 1.66 goals while Lecce on the road is expected to score only 0.88 goals which is the worst result in Serie A. At home, Udinese is expected to allow 1.53 goals while Lecce is expected to allow 1.76 goals away from home. Udinese has conceded only 5 goals at home which is 4th best result from teams that are in TOP9.

In the last 2 games, Udinese didn't manage to win against lower-seeded teams although they controlled the ball more and had more opportunities to score. This is a golden opportunity for Udinese to get back on the winning track as Lecce is also struggling. Udinese have won 11 of their 14 home games against Lecce in the Serie A and both teams have drawn only 1 of their 28 Serie A matches so far - the lowest percentages of draws played between two teams that have met at least 12 times in the competition. Udinese will be very motivated and should start the weekend on a high note.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周五晚上,意甲的一场比赛将在乌迪内斯主场迎战莱切。12轮过后,乌迪内斯积22分排名第8,莱切积8分排名第17(比降级区高1位)。在这场比赛中,我有信心乌迪内斯会赢下比赛并拿到非常必要的3分。

乌迪内斯已经取得了6连胜,但是现在球队在最近的4场比赛中都没有赢过。莱切本赛季唯一的一场胜利是在9月16日,但从那以后球队已经输了3场,平了2场。在主场比赛中,乌迪内斯以3胜2平总积11分排名联赛第6位,而莱切则以1胜1平积4分。本赛季乌迪内斯在主场击败了佛罗伦萨、罗马和国际等球队。

如果我们看看xG的数据,乌迪内斯更好。在球迷面前,乌迪内斯预计进球数为1.66球,而客场的莱切预计进球数仅为0.88球,这是意甲联赛的最差成绩。在主场,乌迪内斯预计失球1.53球,莱切预计在客场失球1.76球。乌迪内斯在主场只丢了5球,在排名前9的球队中排名第四。

在过去的两场比赛中,乌迪内斯在面对低种子队时没有取得胜利,尽管他们控球更多,也有更多的进球机会。这是乌迪内斯回到胜利轨道上的绝佳机会,而莱切也在苦苦挣扎。乌迪内斯在意甲主场对阵莱切的14场比赛中取得了11胜,两队迄今为止在意甲的28场比赛中只取得了1平——这是两队在意甲至少12次交锋的球队中平局率最低的一次。乌迪内斯将会非常有动力,周末应该会有一个好的开始。


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