Europa League is finishing the group stage on Thursday night. A very interesting situation is in Group H where 3 teams are competing for the spot in the next round. Monaco is in 2nd place with 7 points while their opponents Crvena Zvezda are 4th with 6 points. Between both teams is Trabzonspor with also 6 points and they will host the group leader Ferencvaros who has 10 points and is already qualified. Both games are going to happen at the same time and Monaco can't afford to lose points because with Trabzonspor's victory the French team would lose 2nd place.

In the last Europa League round, Monaco was leading against the Ferencvaros but they didn't manage to keep the sheet clean as both teams got a point. In the French league, Monaco beat Angers and now is tied for the 5th spot. Recently Monaco has played very well at home as they have 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 games. Monaco has conceded 1 or no goals during that home stretch and has scored less than 2 only in 1 game.

The French team can't underestimate Crvena Zvezda who started the tournament with 2 losses but now can qualify for the next round. The problem is that the Serbian team hasn't beaten any French team in the last 13 meetings - 3 draws and 10 losses. Crvena Zvezda has lost 3 away games in a row in European competitions as well.

The xG stats are in favor of Monaco. While playing at home, Monaco is expected to score 2.44 goals while Crvena Zvezda on the road is expected to score 1.49 goals. Monaco has 1 of the best defenses as the team is expected to allow only 1.03 goals in front of their fans but the Serbian team is expected to allow 1.74 goals on the road.

While Ruben Aguilar is still out for Monaco, bigger questions about the roster are on the Serbian side. Veljko Nikolic and Sekou Sanogo are both out with injuries while Aleksandar Dragovic is suspended for this one because of too many yellow cards.

Monaco can't afford to play with the faith in this one. They are at home and in front of their fans so anything less than a win would be a disaster. If they win, they don't need to look at other results. Crvena Zvezda is good at their domestic tournament, but this is a completely different level of competition and I'm confident that Monaco will secure 3 points and place in the next round.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

欧联杯小组赛将在周四晚上结束。一个非常有趣的情况是在H组，3支球队争夺下一轮的名额。摩纳哥以7分排名第二，而他们的对手茨维兹达以6分排名第四。两支球队之间的对手是同样积6分的特拉布宗体育，他们将主场迎战积10分且已经出线的小组头名费伦茨瓦罗斯。两场比赛将同时进行，摩纳哥不能丢分，因为如果特拉布宗波尔获胜，法国队将失去第二名的位置。

在上一轮的欧联杯中，摩纳哥领先于费伦茨瓦罗斯，但他们没能保持不败，因为两队都拿到了一分。在法甲联赛中，摩纳哥击败了昂热，现在并列第五。最近摩纳哥在主场踢得非常好，他们在过去的4场比赛中取得了3胜1平的成绩。摩纳哥在这一阶段的主场比赛中只丢了1球或者没有丢球，只有一场比赛进球数不足2球。

法国队不能小看克维纳·兹维兹达，他们在比赛开始时输了2场比赛，但现在可以晋级下一轮。问题是塞尔维亚队在过去13次交锋中没有击败任何法国队——3平10负。兹维兹达在欧洲比赛中已经连续输掉3场客场比赛。

xG数据对摩纳哥有利。在主场比赛中，摩纳哥预计将打进2.44球，而客场比赛的茨维兹达预计将打进1.49球。摩纳哥是防守最好的球队之一，他们在球迷面前的失球预计只有1.03个，而塞尔维亚队在客场的失球预计只有1.74个。

虽然鲁本·阿吉拉尔还没有为摩纳哥出战，但塞尔维亚方面的大问题是阵容问题。尼科利奇和萨诺戈都因伤缺阵，而德拉维奇则因为黄牌太多而被停赛。

摩纳哥不能带着对这名球员的信心踢球。他们现在是在主场，在球迷面前，所以如果不能赢球，那将是一场灾难。如果他们赢了，他们不需要看其他结果。兹维兹达在他们的国内比赛中表现很好，但这是一个完全不同级别的比赛，我有信心摩纳哥将获得3分并在下一轮获得一席之地。