12月20日弗赖堡 VS 柏林赫塔比赛分析直播
In my opinion Freiburg have really good chances to make good result in today's match up.
In overall Freiburg have very solid record against Hertha in Bundesliga - they lost only 2 of last 14 matches against them. Freiburg went unbeaten in last 7 home Bundesliga matches in a row against Hertha. I believe they are able to continue this streak today.
Freiburg don't have any new important absences, they coming with the strongest possible squad and they have a lot of options, especially upfront - players like Grifo, Jeong, Sallai and Peteresen are in great form, Freiburg scored more than one goal in last 3 matches in a row. On the other hand Hertha have squad problems in offensive formation - their best scorer Cordoba is not fully fit to start in first squad, key offensive midfielder Cunha is very doubtful, he have to play on pain killers. Hertha failed to score in 2 of last 4 matches. In last round against Mainz (0:0) Hertha even not recorded single shot on target.
Freiburg is in great form, they didn't lost in last 4 matches and they looked very convincing in these matches, in all games they had higher expected goals number than their opponents. Last two matches Freiburg won 2:0 - at home against Bielefeld and on away against Schalke. They coming here full of confidence. Hertha as well is unbeaten in last 4 matches in a row, but 3 matches finished with draw. Only in derby of Berlin against Union Hertha played better than their opponents, in all 4 matches Hertha expected goals number was below 0.76.
Freiburg went unbeaten in 4 of 6 home matches so far, but they played better than their results shows - they scored 9 goals, but they should more (expected goals scored: 12.24), they conceded 11 goals, but they should less (expected goals conceded: 7.30). Hertha won 2 of 6 away matches, but they played worse than their results shows - they scored 12 goals, but they should less (expected goals scored: 7.10), they conceded 8, but they should more (expected goals conceded: 10.50).
I trust for Freiburg here.
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在我看来,弗莱堡在今天的比赛中有很好的机会取得好成绩。
总的来说弗莱堡在德甲对阵赫塔的比赛中表现非常稳定——他们在过去14场比赛中只输了2场。弗莱堡在最近7场德甲主场对阵赫塔的比赛中保持不败。我相信他们今天能够继续保持这种连胜势头。
弗莱堡没有任何重要的缺阵,他们拥有尽可能强大的阵容,他们有很多选择,特别是前锋——像格里夫、郑、萨莱和彼得森这样的球员状态很好,弗莱堡在最近三场比赛中打进了一个以上的球。另一方面,赫塔在进攻阵型上有问题——他们最好的射手科尔多巴还不能完全适应首发阵容,关键的进攻中场库尼亚很不确定,他必须打止痛药。赫塔在最近4场比赛中有2场没有进球。在上一轮对阵美因茨(0:0)的比赛中,赫塔甚至没有命中目标的单打记录。
弗莱堡的状态很好,他们在最近4场比赛中没有输过,而且他们在这些比赛中看起来很有说服力,在所有的比赛中,他们都比对手有更高的进球数预期。最近两场比赛弗莱堡在主场2:0战胜比勒费尔德,客场战胜沙尔克。他们满怀信心地来到这里。赫塔也在最近4场比赛中保持不败,但有3场比赛以平局结束。只有在与柏林德比的比赛中赫塔的表现优于对手,在所有4场比赛中赫塔的预期进球数都低于0.76。
弗莱堡在6场主场比赛中4场保持不败,但他们的表现比结果显示的要好——他们进了9个球,但他们应该进更多(预期进球数:12.24),他们丢了11个球,但他们应该少一些(预期进球数:7.30)。赫塔赢了6场客场比赛中的2场,但他们的表现比结果显示的要差——他们进了12个球,但他们本应该少一些(预期进球数:7.10),他们失球8个,但他们本应该多一些(预期丢球数:10.50)。
我相信弗莱堡在这里。